What voters has Trump gained since 2020?

[adrina]

https://www.youtube.com/@TheLincolnProject/featured

https://www.youtube.com/@RepublicanVotersAgainstTrump

https://www.youtube.com/@RepublicanVotersAgainstTrump/shorts

Conservative reddit isn't exactly a hoppin' and happening place. Truth social traffic is anemic at best. His base isn't getting younger. Women, especially younger women, aren't in support of him because of Dobbs.

Is there a group that has seen significant increase in support for Trump?

 

[RobDownSouth]

Racist Georgia congressman Mike Collins has noted a significant upswing in Trump support amongst male Gen-z college fraternity members.

 

[Philthy_Phil]

The rapist will probably win in 2024.

 

[BabyBoomer50s]

Just the Polls is a great thread for keeping up with the latest national and state presidential polls. To gain insight into where each candidate is strong or weak, cross tabs often break down each candidate’s level of support by issue, party, sex, and age. Some track ethnicity. Especially valuable to look at sub segments in the battleground states.

 

[ishtat]

2020 was a record turnout for both winner and loser. 2024 could likely produce a very large reduction in voter participation. I suspect that a significant proportion of the electorate is unimpressed with both candidates. An actuary friend who is a devoted psephologist produced an interesting analysis that suggested on a reduction of 8 to 10 million in participating voters, Biden could win the popular vote by 5 to 6 million but it might still be nip and tuck in the electoral college.

Participation (or not) could prove to be the vital factor.

 

[schism666]

bullets, lawsuits, rape charges, tolerance to meth, unwanted babies.

 

[adrina]

Just the Polls is a great thread for keeping up with the latest national and state presidential polls. To gain insight into where each candidate is strong or weak, cross tabs often break down each candidate’s level of support by issue, party, sex, and age. Some track ethnicity. Especially valuable to look at sub segments in the battleground states.

Considering how you gloat spam that thread you should be in the position to list exactly which groups. As you watch over them so closely.

I'm not seeing the Trump enthusiasm. He's not getting the crowds. His small money donors are tapped out. His unfavorables are as high as ever.

So given the polls, what group(s) is/are Trump gaining with?

 

[Lazaran]

2020 was a record turnout for both winner and loser. 2024 could likely produce a very large reduction in voter participation. I suspect that a significant proportion of the electorate is unimpressed with both candidates. An actuary friend who is a devoted psephologist produced an interesting analysis that suggested on a reduction of 8 to 10 million in participating voters, Biden could win the popular vote by 5 to 6 million but it might still be nip and tuck in the electoral college.

Participation (or not) could prove to be the vital factor.

Attrition due to elderly right wing voters dying off, a growing number of “Never Trump” republicans, young women voters, the GLBT community, and climate change events will all have a major influence on this election.

The corrupt orange traitor may have made anecdotal gains, but there has undoubtedly been an erosion in some key areas.

 

[Chernosoth]

Colorblind voters.

 

[BabyBoomer50s]

Considering how you gloat spam that thread you should be in the position to list exactly which groups. As you watch over them so closely.

I'm not seeing the Trump enthusiasm. He's not getting the crowds. His small money donors are tapped out. His unfavorables are as high as ever.

So given the polls, what group(s) is/are Trump gaining with?

Trump appears to be gaining among Hispanic voters based on NYT Siena and other recent polls. He’s leading by 4 to 5 points in key states he lost to Biden in 2020. Most notably GA, NV, and AZ. In addition, MI, MN, PA, and WI are Biden states where Trump is showing razor thin leads within the polling margin of error. Fair to say they’re all in play.

None of this is to say Trump’s going to win. Everyone tracking the race closely recognizes it’s extremely close.

 

[jaF0]

His base isn't getting younger.

Racist Georgia congressman Mike Collins has noted a significant upswing in Trump support amongst male Gen-z college fraternity members.

See the KC Butkicker dude.

 

[jaF0]

Don't write it off. The Orangutan could very well 'win' it.

 

[adrina]

Trump appears to be gaining among Hispanic voters based on NYT Siena and other recent polls. He’s leading by 4 to 5 points in key states he lost to Biden in 2020. Most notably GA, NV, and AZ. In addition, MI, MN, PA, and WI are Biden states where Trump is showing razor thin leads within the polling margin of error. Fair to say they’re all in play.

None of this is to say Trump’s going to win. Everyone tracking the race closely recognizes it’s extremely close.

Now see that wasn't so tough was it.

However, reality check. NV and AZ have the highest hispanic population at 30%. MI at 18%. The rest WI, GA, MN, PA range from 6-10%. Hispanic voter turnout has been on the rise, but nationwide were looking at about 20 million voters. Most of which reside in NM and California.

 

[BabyBoomer50s]

Don't write it off. The Orangutan could very well 'win' it.

Here are the betting odds as of now.

 

[jaF0]

The Donnies are not dying out. If anything the youngers are even more of a virulent virus.

 

[butters]

how many voters actually participate in polls? i don't know how well they reflect what the actual vote will look like in the end.

 

[BabyBoomer50s]

Now see that wasn't so tough was it.

However, reality check. NV and AZ have the highest hispanic population at 30%. MI at 18%. The rest WI, GA, MN, PA range from 6-10%. Hispanic voter turnout has been on the rise, but nationwide were looking at about 20 million voters. Most of which reside in NM and California.

No disagreement. I don’t think the polls can be explained by any single ethnic, age, sex, religious or other demographic. If I had to pick one common characteristic of swing voters in the Trump column this cycle, I’d go with working class voters who shop for groceries and handle the task of paying monthly bills.

 

[BabyBoomer50s]

how many voters actually participate in polls? i don't know how well they reflect what the actual vote will look like in the end.

The major polls that campaign managers, media, and analysts track usually sample “likely voters.” The determination of that assessment is based on voting history and other questions.

 

[Chernosoth]

The blue bluster cult is bleeding members and faith.

 

[Bray123]

The rapist will probably win in 2024.

He'll declare himself the winner anyway, he's too frightened of justice to do otherwise.

 

[wizzard426]

The Blew Wave!

"We work hard........so you don't have to!"

 

[snailspace]

2020 was a record turnout for both winner and loser. 2024 could likely produce a very large reduction in voter participation. I suspect that a significant proportion of the electorate is unimpressed with both candidates. An actuary friend who is a devoted psephologist produced an interesting analysis that suggested on a reduction of 8 to 10 million in participating voters, Biden could win the popular vote by 5 to 6 million but it might still be nip and tuck in the electoral college.

Participation (or not) could prove to be the vital factor.

No human voted dementia Joe

It was all made up

 

[lovecraft68]

It would be hard to tell seeing in some areas if you say you'll vote for Trump you could lose your job, your family, or be assaulted.

We all know how tolerant the left is towards anyone who thinks differently than them. They create Stasi lists of Trump voters, Nazi's that they are.

 

[JoePepsiCo]

What voters has Biden lost in his four years?

It was a close election. Trump needs no gains.
This is why Biden is panicking and trying to hand out things like free education to his coalition...

 

[JoePepsiCo]

It would be hard to tell seeing in some areas if you say you'll vote for Trump you could lose your job, your family, or be assaulted.

We all know how tolerant the left is towards anyone who thinks differently than them. They create Stasi lists of Trump voters, Nazi's that they are.

"Those" areas aren't going to vote for Trump anyway...

No need to pipe up.