Wrong Element
Sentient Onion
- Joined
- May 5, 2002
- Posts
- 24,909
.
For what it's worth; I saw an interview with an expert who said that speculation about Omicron being less virulent is premature because it is confronting populations that are highly vaccinated or with some natural immunity, and thus may only APPEAR to be less of a threat than Delta.
Rememeber that most hospitalizations and deaths are among the unvaccinated even with Delta.
If everybody was vaccinated, Delta would APPEAR to be less dangerous than some earlier variants.
The good news is, with a combination of vaccines, natural immunity, and therapeutics, a total collapse of healthcare services is unlikely.
That ^ doesn't mean healthcare services won't be severly stressed, which justifies the continued need for mitigation efforts.
*nods*
All true, except I would add that the U.S. health care system is run by human beings who have been dealing with this shit for 2 years, and they've all about had it. Another surge of new patients is going to be more than many of them can manage.
I think the big remaining questions with Omicron are:
1. How dangerous it will be for those who have no level of immunity from either a vaccine or from a previous Covid infection. That's a minority at this point, but in the U.S. that's still millions of people.
2. Whether it really does lead to fewer hospitalizations and deaths, or if that's just an illusion caused by its speed. Omicron cases seem to have already peaked in South Africa, where it hasn't even yet been a month since it was revealed to be a new variant, so there hasn't really been time for a lot of these cases to advance to the point of hospitalization.

