Morris Says A Landslide Is On The Way

[unregistered]

 

[Wrong Element]

Morris's latest dispatch from Planet Wacko. Note that he apparently believes Minnesota has more electoral votes than Michigan. I guess that's another liberal media myth:


Here’s the rundown:
• Romney leads in all the states McCain carried in 2008 for 179 electoral votes.
• Romney is convincingly ahead in Indiana (10), North Carolina (15), Florida (29), Colorado (9), and Virginia (13) total: 255 needed to win: 270
• Ohio (18): It looks like we are ahead. Rasmussen has us up by two. So do some internal polls. But with the variation in turnout motivation and the undecided going against the incumbent, we should win by more than that.
• Iowa (6) Ditto. Latest polls have us one ahead.
• NH (4) Rasmussen has us up by two but probably more than that given turnout and undecided voters.
• Pennsylvania (20) Our ace in the hole! We are outspending Obama 6:1 here. Partly because of your donations to Super PAC for America (Michael Reagan’s outfit). Give some more! Last night’s poll had us ahead by two in Pennsylvania. If we lose Ohio, Pennsylvania will put us over the top.
• Wisconsin (10) Rasmussen has it tied at 49-49. We have a great organization here that won the recall contest against Gov Walker. I bet we win here. Now the focus of a major Romney effort.
• Minnesota (16) Believe it or not, coming within range. Just a few points behind and a lot of money going in there this weekend.
• Michigan (15) We should be closer here than we are. Lots of new money going in over the weekend, but we have faded a bit here.
Overall: Likely a 5-10 pt Romney win and above 300 electoral votes.

 

[Squibbs]

This thread sure doesn't deliver.

 

[RjThoughts]

This thread sure doesn't deliver.

Who want good delivery, call Pizza Hut or Dominos

 

[lovecraft68]

I still think Romney is going to pay the price of the republican's poor stance on women's rights.

Santorum was mouthing off about birth control and abortion.

Limbaugh and his slut remarks

Paul Ryan bringing up rape babies

Mourdock coming out with not only that ridiculous rape statement, but bringing religion into it as well.

The women fear(and rightly so) the republican's would overturn R Vs W

In the end the barefoot and pregnant campaign is what will cost the republican's this race.

http://brainwrap.com/various/gop_rape_advisory_single_column.gif

 

[Beco]

I'm not convinced.

Keep in mind the "lean forward" crowd seem willing to take it up the ass for the next 4 years.....

I don't see it.....I hope, but its going to be tight, very tight victory no matter who gets the nod.

 

[Beco]

Dead heat in Wisconsin.....Republicans never win Wisconsin!!

 

[unregistered]

 

[IrezumiKiss]

Today in Incredibly Unlikely Predictions: This is How ‘Unskewed Polls’ Projects the Presidential Election

http://cdn.theatlantic.com/static/mt/assets/tanehisicoates/unskewedmap.banner.unskewedpolls.jpg

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/11/a-manly-mans-map/264403/

“Unskewed Polls” based this on averaging together the results from the last four elections and a number of other bizarre factors (and I guess a few polls too). “This projection is expected to be spot-on accurate for predicting the outcome in all 50 states and the District of Columbia and close to the actual popular vote.” AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH oh man, even the most optimistic Republican doesn’t think THIS is going to be the outcome. HAHAHHAHHAHAHAH

http://media.tumblr.com/tumblr_mctyyrg3lv1qa0tls.gif

 

[Wrong Element]

Oh my. Signs of some second thoughts! Note the excuse he's beginning to build for himself regarding Sandy:


As Election Day approaches, we must be very sensitive to last minute changes in the polls. Remember that President George W. Bush fell from a 4 point lead into a tie over the last weekend in 2000 and Clinton rose from a tie to a 5 point win in the last weekend of 1992.

With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48.

That is troublesome.

And, in Pennsylvania, Romney led on Wednesday night by two points but on Thursday night’s polling, he was tied.We have also seem slippage for Romney in Michigan.

More troubling, Rasmussen shows a two point gain for Obama in job approval rising from 48% to 50% in the current poll.

All of these changes are, no doubt, related to hurricane Sandy.

Nobody really knows what the impact of hurricane Sandy will be on the election. Until its waves crashed into the New Jersey shore, the election was well in hand for the Romney campaign.

Coming off strong debate performances in which he debunked Obama’s negative attacks on him, the former Massachusetts governor was doing very well. Obama was reeling, unable to regain his footing, in search of a message, and bedeviled by questions about his increasingly obvious coverup of the Libyan attacks.

But after the storm? Who knows? We have never had a storm so close to a national election, much less one as close as this is.

Many a governor or mayor has recovered from political oblivion by actively running around his state seeming to coordinate storm relief. And just as many have fallen apart because of a failure to clean up promptly.

It may be that Obama’s visit to New Jersey and the high profile (figurative) kisses bestowed on him by nominal Republican Mayor Bloomberg of New York and real Republican Chris Christie of New Jersey might have helped him.

Perhaps he is erasing the image of a nit-picking, petulant president deep into negative charges against his opponent and replacing it with the image of an executive handling a tough situation for our country.

This race is not over yet! And with a media determined to re-elect Obama, we may see the president’s recovery continue unless we step up our own efforts to thwart it.

We are still likely to win. The undecided vote always goes against the incumbent and all the polling suggests we will be more successful than they will be at turning out our vote. But, early warning signs must be headed.

Bottom line: WORK LIKE HELL!!!


http://www.dickmorris.com/in-the-last-few-hours-sudden-danger-signs-in-polling/

 

[Wrong Element]

Damn, must be some denial gong on.

I imagine so!

Today in Incredibly Unlikely Predictions: This is How ‘Unskewed Polls’ Projects the Presidential Election

http://cdn.theatlantic.com/static/mt/assets/tanehisicoates/unskewedmap.banner.unskewedpolls.jpg

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/11/a-manly-mans-map/264403/

“Unskewed Polls” based this on averaging together the results from the last four elections and a number of other bizarre factors (and I guess a few polls too). “This projection is expected to be spot-on accurate for predicting the outcome in all 50 states and the District of Columbia and close to the actual popular vote.” AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH oh man, even the most optimistic Republican doesn’t think THIS is going to be the outcome. HAHAHHAHHAHAHAH

http://media.tumblr.com/tumblr_mctyyrg3lv1qa0tls.gif

I presume the simpleton behind "Unskewed Polls" has killed himself by now. Those "skewed polls" were on the money.

 

[Sean]

Dead heat in Wisconsin.....Republicans never win Wisconsin!!

Well, you were half right.

 

[HAL_9000]

Unimaginable derptitude.

 

[unregistered]

 

[chas4037]

Morris, Rove, and Barone were wrong along with thousands of others.

They don't call themselves FAUX NEWS for nothing!

 

[Purple Haze]

I imagine so!










I presume the simpleton behind "Unskewed Polls" has killed himself by now. Those "skewed polls" were on the money.

too funny...

 

[renard_ruse]

Probably been covered earlier in the thread, not going back to read through it, probably more rude, snide, and hateful remarks against the GOP from the usual Lit children, but Morris explaned today that he had based his prediction on a return to 2004 turnout models assuming that 2008 was an aberration, which made perfect sense in all rational logic prior to the election.

The one thing we knew was it was going to be a turn out election, and it was decided based on that. The opposite groups turned out than a lot of people expected. I think everyone is still trying to analyze why that happened and what take aways to draw from it. Pre-written mainstream liberal media articles are not going to be the final word on the consensus takeaway.

 

[RobDownSouth]

I imagine so!

I presume the simpleton behind "Unskewed Polls" has killed himself by now. Those "skewed polls" were on the money.

He actually manned up and admitted he was absolutely wrong.

And then he had more than a few unkind things to say about Rasmussen Polls (The Republicans' Friend)

 

[wat123]

eh, Morris is losing credibility. conservative talk show hosts prior to this election had already said he had been overly optimistic in previous elections and they rather not drink his kool aid this time.

i think the deciding factor in the election was the Dems ability to get most of their voters to the polls even though they had supposedly less enthusiasm than 2008. turned out to be a D+6 election last i heard, which was better for the Dems than most expected.





also, CNN claimed the Dems had a much better ground game:

http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/07/politics/why-romney-lost/

Obama organizers, meanwhile, had been deeply embedded in small towns and big cities for years, focusing their persuasion efforts on person-to-person contact.

The more nuanced data they collected, often with handwritten notes attached, were synced nightly with their prized voter database in Chicago.

After the dust had cleared, the GOP field operation, which had derided the Obama operation and gambled on organic Republican enthusiasm to push them over the top, seemed built on a house of cards.

"Their deal was much more real than I expected," one top Republican with close ties to the Romney campaign said of the Obama field team.

Sources involved in the GOP turnout effort admitted they were badly outmatched in the field by an Obama get-out-the-vote operation that lived up to their immense hype -- except, perhaps, in North Carolina, where Romney was able to pull out a win and Republicans swept to power across the state.

Multiple Romney advisers were left agog at the turnout ninjutsu performed by the Obama campaign, both in early voting and on Election Day.

Not only did Obama field marshals get their targeted supporters to the polls, they found new voters and even outperformed their watershed 2008 showings in some decisive counties, a remarkable feat in a race that was supposed to see dampened Democratic turnout.

congrats to the Dems, Republicans have a ways to go now to get back on track.

 

[RobDownSouth]

Merc, UD, Rob, et al, call your office:

Here comes the landslide
By Dick Morris - 10/30/12 06:33 PM ET

Dick Morris: I Predicted Romney’s Landslide To Help Him Win


Dick Morris visited the Hannity show tonight to explain how he got it so wrong with his prediction of a “landslidey” Romney win. After blaming Hurricane Sandy and acknowledging that he got it “dead wrong” about the demographic turnout, Morris made a jaw-dropping admission. That his prediction was designed to help turn around Romney’s failing campaign.

Vetty, you got played.

LINK

 

[unregistered]

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Everyone knows what went wrong:

http://www.nationalreview.com/blogs/print/333344

Do you know what the Republican Party exists for now? The enabler of your enemy. If you think that the earth is about to die from glow ball warning, the Republicans are with the polluters. Think your wages are too low, jobs are too scarce and benefits too few, the Republicans are with the rich. Marriage on the rocks? Republicans are against gay marriage, therefore, they are anti-family. Are your food and gas prices rising faster than your paycheck? Republicans conspire with Big Food and Big Oil for profiteering, because they are with the rich. Is it the same with Big Pharm! Think the world hates you and your country caused the hate, well, Republicans did that too. Shrinking middle class? Republicans. Poverty on the rise? Republicans. Autistic child? Republicans. Hurricane? Republicans. Nothing on TV?, you guessed it...

It is dying, but it laughs.

http://spectator.org/archives/2012/11/14/obamas-smug-america

 

[unregistered]

 

[RobDownSouth]

Everyone knows what went wrong:

http://www.nationalreview.com/blogs/print/333344

Do you know what the Republican Party exists for now? The enabler of your enemy. If you think that the earth is about to die from glow ball warning, the Republicans are with the polluters. Think your wages are too low, jobs are too scarce and benefits too few, the Republicans are with the rich. Marriage on the rocks? Republicans are against gay marriage, therefore, they are anti-family. Are your food and gas prices rising faster than your paycheck? Republicans conspire with Big Food and Big Oil for profiteering, because they are with the rich. Is it the same with Big Pharm! Think the world hates you and your country caused the hate, well, Republicans did that too. Shrinking middle class? Republicans. Poverty on the rise? Republicans. Autistic child? Republicans. Hurricane? Republicans. Nothing on TV?, you guessed it...

It is dying, but it laughs.

http://spectator.org/archives/2012/11/14/obamas-smug-america

Stop whining, AJ. It's unmanly.

Vetty has his faults, but he was man enough to accept the election results without whining.

You've been a non-stop excuse-fest for over a week.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

All they have to do is turn into good Democrats and they will win again.

Doubtful. The good guys need an enemy and Socialism needs an excuse. As long as they can find one lone Akin, they can isolate ridicule and continue to brand, after all, the press is firmly in their camp in this war where culture and feelings shove aside economics and reason. The Republicans will never be allowed to moderate, but lately that gaggle of metrosexuality has been seriously getting in touch with their feelings and treating reason as an ugly, red-headed stepchild...

They are now busily tattooing and piercing themselves (metaphorically) in order to be considered part of the cool crowd but they are still going to be laughed at as ridiculous in the attempt.

If you believe in something, believe in it dammit or fold up the tent and return to the corn field.