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Just the Polls

Bloomberg/Morning Consult, December 14, 2023

Trump now leads Biden across all seven swing states​

Eleven months before the election, Trump is leading Biden by 5 percentage points among registered voters in a head-to-head matchup across seven swing states. Trump’s lead is inside the margin of error in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, but is larger in Georgia and North Carolina. The poll had a margin of error of 1 percentage point for all seven states combined and between 3 and 5 percentage points for individual states.

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-us-election-key-state-voter-polling/december-2023-poll/

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
 

Biden opens up lead on Trump amid growing gender gap: Quinnipiac poll​


https://thehill.com/homenews/campai...ads-trump-growing-gender-gap-quinnipiac-poll/

President Biden has opened up a 6 point lead in a hypothetical head-to-head match-up with former President Trump, new polling shows, amid signs of a growing gender gap in support for the two party front-runners.


A new Quinnipiac University national poll found Biden with 50 percent support among registered voters, ahead of Trump’s 44 percent. That’s a shift in the incumbent’s favor from December, when Quinnipiac found the same Biden-Trump hypothetical “too close to call,” with Biden at 47 percent support and Trump at 46 percent.


Biden also scored majority support among independents in the latest findings, with 52 percent support to Trump’s 40 percent.
The poll additionally found a growing gender gap when it comes to support for the current and former presidents as they each run for a second White House term.


Fifty-eight percent of women say they support Biden, up from 53 percent in December. At the same time, 53 percent of men say they support Trump, “largely unchanged” from 51 percent in December.
Click to expand...

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Gallup
FEBRUARY 7, 2024
Democrats Lose Ground With Black and Hispanic Adults


STORY HIGHLIGHTS
- Democrats’ party advantages among Black and Hispanic adults are at new lows

- Democrats retain smaller advantage among young adults

- Educational gaps continue to expand

Of particular note,

- The Democratic Party's wide lead over Republicans in Black Americans’ party preferences has shrunk by nearly 20 points over the past three years.

- Democrats' leads among Hispanic adults and adults aged 18 to 29 have slid nearly as much, resulting in Democrats' holding only a modest edge among both groups.

- Whereas Democrats were at parity with Republicans among men as recently as 2009, and among non-college-educated adults as recently as 2019, they are now in the red with both groups.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/609776/democrats-lose-ground-black-hispanic-adults.aspx
 
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