Elections, Conservative Women, Palin, Tea Party & Unions in Arkansas…

[Dragonlipz]

~~~

RealClearPolitics polling service 06/14/10

I heard she was up 11 points...

Reid it and weep....

Amicus

We'll see who's weeping after the polls have closed. She's the kind of wack job that you like and that puts her in the solid 20% nutjob range.....Harry doesn't even have to campaign: all he has to do is let her run her mouth.......
Once again you prove your lack of intelligence as well as political savvy......
Way to go old fuck.....................

 

[JamesSD]

RealClearPolitics polling service 06/14/10

I heard she was up 11 points...

Reid it and weep....

Rassmussen is pretty crappy these days. Their house model for "likely voters" is skewing things heavily republican.

Nevada is clearly in "toss-up" territory right now. Big question is if voters will go with the Asshole they know (Reid) or learn more about this new asshole and stay away from her (Angle). There's already been a pretty strong polling effect where generic republicans polled much better than specific candidates. Voters aren't that happy with incumbent Dems, but look at who the Rs are putting up against them and not getting excited. I've got Nevada at 50-50 in my predictions.

Again, I stand by my prediction Republicans will gain roughly 7 senate seats in 2010, not quite enough to put Joe Lieberman in charge.

 

[Pure]

?

which seven?

Here's a list of seven, plus one: Arkansas, Delaware, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Indiana, ....Illinois ?

i agree with the prediction of some gains, but not enough to eliminate Dem majority in either House or Senate.

 

[Pure]

I love you, Sharron.

Sharron Angle Floated

'2nd Amendment Remedies' As 'Cure' For 'The Harry Reid Problems'


First Posted: 06-16-10 09:41 AM | Updated: 06-16-10 09:41 AM




Sharron Angle, the Tea Party candidate turned Republican primary winner in Nevada, has taken heat for a number of extreme affiliations and policy positions. One of the more outlandish was a statement she made during a radio interview last January in which she floated the idea that the public would bring down an out-of-control Congress with "Second Amendment remedies."

Since the clip surfaced, courtesy of the Plum Line's Greg Sargent, there has been no comment from the Angle campaign. The candidate herself spent much of Tuesday rubbing elbows with Republicans on the Hill and avoiding the media. In the interim, however, the Huffington Post has been forwarded more evidence demonstrating the candidate's apparent comfort with the notion of armed insurrection against the government.

In an interview she gave with conservative talk show host Bill Manders earlier in the campaign, Angle conspicuously floated, once again, "Second Amendment remedies" to deal not just with the supposedly ever-growing "tyrannical" U.S. government, but to replace her now general election opponent: Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.).

===

Something we odds counters failed to take into acct. Losing Republicans restore their divine right to govern, using "2nd amendment remedies."

As advocated by the AH right wing, as well.

 

[dicky911]

Sharron Angle Floated

'2nd Amendment Remedies' As 'Cure' For 'The Harry Reid Problems'


First Posted: 06-16-10 09:41 AM | Updated: 06-16-10 09:41 AM




Sharron Angle, the Tea Party candidate turned Republican primary winner in Nevada, has taken heat for a number of extreme affiliations and policy positions. One of the more outlandish was a statement she made during a radio interview last January in which she floated the idea that the public would bring down an out-of-control Congress with "Second Amendment remedies."

Since the clip surfaced, courtesy of the Plum Line's Greg Sargent, there has been no comment from the Angle campaign. The candidate herself spent much of Tuesday rubbing elbows with Republicans on the Hill and avoiding the media. In the interim, however, the Huffington Post has been forwarded more evidence demonstrating the candidate's apparent comfort with the notion of armed insurrection against the government.

In an interview she gave with conservative talk show host Bill Manders earlier in the campaign, Angle conspicuously floated, once again, "Second Amendment remedies" to deal not just with the supposedly ever-growing "tyrannical" U.S. government, but to replace her now general election opponent: Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.).

===

Something we odds counters failed to take into acct. Losing Republicans restore their divine right to govern, using "2nd amendment remedies."

As advocated by the AH right wing, as well.

well there seem to be more crazies around in the US these days than, er, 'normal'....

 

[JamesSD]

which seven?

Here's a list of seven, plus one: Arkansas, Delaware, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Indiana, ....Illinois ?

i agree with the prediction of some gains, but not enough to eliminate Dem majority in either House or Senate.

North Dakota is a definite switch to Republican.

Arkansas and Delaware are looking pretty close to locks, and Indiana is also highly likely to switch.

From there I lump Nevada, Penn, Colorado and Illinios into a group of "toss-ups". So if they split 50-50 it would actually only be 6. It's actually fairly likely they'll move as a group or near group, so 8 isn't out of the question.

Really, 7 is a guess, there's a spread of probabilities. Anywhere between the Democrats losing 4 to 9 seats is reasonable right now. 9 would make Joe Biden a busy man.

 

[amicus]

South Carolina...Haley...Tea Party backed Candidate...endorsed by Palin...to emphasize the thread title....more evidence....

Amicus

 

[JamesSD]

Your girl Angle is struggling, big time. Another terrible, tea bagger backed candidate that will struggle to win moderate voters where a mainline republican probably would have done ok. Rand Paul 2.0? Perhaps they can get her ready to face the real press in time for the election... perhaps.

South Carolina is... South Carolina. There was no way in hell it was switching. I respect the Republicans for putting up far right candidates in their stronghold states like Utah and South Carolina.

 

[Boxlicker101]

North Dakota is a definite switch to Republican.

Arkansas and Delaware are looking pretty close to locks, and Indiana is also highly likely to switch.

From there I lump Nevada, Penn, Colorado and Illinios into a group of "toss-ups". So if they split 50-50 it would actually only be 6. It's actually fairly likely they'll move as a group or near group, so 8 isn't out of the question.

Really, 7 is a guess, there's a spread of probabilities. Anywhere between the Democrats losing 4 to 9 seats is reasonable right now. 9 would make Joe Biden a busy man.

You can probably add CA. Boxer, the incumbent has a snmall lead, but the majority of the voters don't like her. http://www.politicsdaily.com/tag/Barbara+Boxer/

 

[colddiesel]

Welsh rarebit?

And not just in the USA. This morning the Australian Prime Minister was dumped by his party and replaced by Julia Gillard, originally a migrant from Wales.

 

[amicus]

And not just in the USA. This morning the Australian Prime Minister was dumped by his party and replaced by Julia Gillard, originally a migrant from Wales.[/QUOTE]

~~~

Thank you, colddiesel...I had not heard that on the news....wonder why?

Also could not help myself in terms of cutting and pasting juicy tidbits of the following...so...I ate the whole thing!

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/jun/23/australian-pm-kevin-rudd-coup

Australia has its first female prime minister, British-born Julia Gillard, this morning, after Kevin Rudd stood down before a leadership ballot could be held.

Rudd had been expected to lose today's planned ballot, amid predictions of defeat for the ruling Labor party in an election scheduled for October.

Although he scored a landslide election victory against an 11-year-old Liberal government led by John Howard in November 2007, he had said he was confident he would win the challenge. But commentators were already writing him off. "He's a goner. You can stick a fork in him," Nick Economou of Monash University told Reuters.

For Rudd, the transformation in his political fortunes has been startling. Only six months ago, with the opposition going through its third leadership change since he beat Howard, Rudd and his government seemed untouchable.

A year ago he rivalled Bob Hawke as Australia's most popular prime minister. Now he will join Hawke as the only other Labor prime minister to be dumped by his party, making him the first one-term prime minister since 1932.

Putting on a brave front, Rudd told a news conference yesterday that he was proud of his achievements, such as signing the Kyoto protocol on climate change, apologising to disadvantaged Aborigines and steering Australia through the global financial crisis. He blamed factional powerbrokers within Labor for plotting against him and vowed to fight.

Gillard is expected to present more of a change of leadership style than substance, but investors hope she will soften the government's controversial "super profits" mining tax, which is threatening $20 billion worth of investment and has rattled voters.

The tax had faced vociferous opposition from big firms such as BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto, who conducted a multimillion dollar advertising campaign against the plan, and voters are worried it would damage the Australian economy and risk jobs.

Gillard was said to have been reluctant to challenge Rudd, until the Sydney Morning Herald reported this week that the prime minister had used his chief of staff, Alister Jordan, to sound out backbench MPs on their support. This followed a poll which indicated that Labor was facing electoral defeat.

"There's no way Kevin will walk. The bloke's wanted the fucking job for 10 years,'' one powerbroker had earlier told the Herald. "Howard had it for 11 years and they couldn't get rid of him.''

Rudd's support had been ebbing after a series of political reversals this year. In April, he shelved his main climate policy involving a carbon trading scheme, a key platform for his election victory three years ago. Rudd backtracked because he lacked the votes in the senate, so the scheme has been postponed until 2011.

(Obama's "Cap & Trade")

I know there are several Ozzie's on board...comment?

Amicus

 

[colddiesel]

Rudd was sacked by his party because the Unions hated him. They went along with him as the only person who could knock off Howard which he achieved.

He was foolish because he kept the Unions out of the plum jobs in his government so the minute his popularity slipped they replaced him with Julia Gillard. He would probably have had minimal support if he had contested her because once the MP's had worked out that Gillard would win no-one wanted to offend the Labor Party faction bosses which essentially means the Unions.

A few people are pissed because the electorate voted for Rudd 2.6 years ago and the same electorate has therefore been vetoed by the party. Most people don't care much because almost all politicians in OZ are despised .

 

[JamesSD]

You can probably add CA. Boxer, the incumbent has a snmall lead, but the majority of the voters don't like her. http://www.politicsdaily.com/tag/Barbara+Boxer/

If the unemployment rate in CA doesn't improve between now and November, the Republicans *might* be able to somehow win California. But the fact is Fiorna is a weak, inexperienced candidate going against one of the Senate's big dogs, a fierce, experienced campaigner with a lot of clout in a Blue State.

Even Rasmussen has Boxer up by about 5% as of his latest poll, and by now we should all know his house effect is about +3 R. I'd put the Republican chances to win California at about 1 in 3. A lot can happen in four months, but if the election was held today Boxer would win by a safe margin.

 

[Huckleman2000]

Anyone who wants to see a political career vaporize before your eyes should watch Sharron Angle's first interview outside the Right-wing echo-chamber. Astounding in its vapidity! http://www.mynews4.com/story.php?id=21420

 

[Boxlicker101]

Anyone who wants to see a political career vaporize before your eyes should watch Sharron Angle's first interview outside the Right-wing echo-chamber. Astounding in its vapidity! http://www.mynews4.com/story.php?id=21420

I believe this is the most recent statistic on those who favor Angle against those who favor Reid: http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20008886-503544.html

ETA: It's fairly far down the article, but here is what it says:

But Angle still leads Reid in the latest poll. A Rasmussen poll released yesterday shows Angle leading Reid by 48 percent to 41 percent. Furthermore, a majority of Nevadans favor repealing health care reform, one of the most significant pieces of legislation Reid helped push through.

After reading some of her positions, I have my doubts that I could vote for her. At the same time, if I lived in Nevada, I could certainly see myself voting against Reid.

 

[TE999]

The Republicans are their own worst enemies. They field marginal candidates, squabble among themselves over whether to take a Conservative or Moderate approach to issues important to voters and are still harboring too many RINO's.

Their last two presidential candidates were aging, crippled war veterans who were neither photogenic or charismatic...while this country worships personality,charisma, youth and beauty...which explains Clinton's re-election and Obeyme's coronation...um...election.

Sometimes I think the GOP likes being the minority party...they get all the elected officals' perks and bennies and do none of the heavy lifting.

I gotta give the Democrat's credit...they may fight among themselves, but they present a united front when it counts.

 

[JamesSD]

Had the Republican Party of Nevada nominated a more moderate candidate they would be pretty heavily favored to take out Reid. But Angle is indeed her own worst enemy. Factoring out Rasmussen's house effect, Nevada is still a dead heat and Reid has the momentum, for now.

It amazes me how late some states have their primaries. Colorado and New Hampshire are two in particular where the Republican nominee can make things much better or worse for the Democrats. Colorado isn't decided until August and New Hampshire September!