RobDownSouth
No Kings
- Joined
- Apr 13, 2002
- Posts
- 77,760
For more years than I can count, our Lit glibertarian AJ has opined that economics wasn't a "real" science, because there were too many variables to model. Instead, he pushed the Von Mises institute propaganda that "Economics cannot be measured, so the person that yells the loudest is teh winner".
The Nobel Prize in Economics was awarded today to three economists who categorically disputed the Von Mises claptrap. David Card, Joshua Angrist and Guido Imbens for proving a novel theory postulated by Professor Alan Kreuger, who died in 2019 (Nobel does not award prizes posthumously).
The novel theory? "Facts matter".
They measured changes in state economic policies NOT in traditional "before and after" modeling. Instead, they chose to look at similar demographics in adjoing states to measure the success or failure of a government policy.
For example, noted shitposter Ishmael screeched for almost two decades that raising the minimum wage would directly lead to less employment. Guess what? Ishmael was wrong...the econsomist measure the economy and job grownth in adjacent states and found that raising the minimum wage had virtually no effect on job growth.
More recently, they applied their model to states who curtailed unemployment benefits early post-Covid relief. Guess what? A statistically insignificant difference in overall employment rates in virtually all stats in all employment areas when compared against states that kept Covid benefits going.
Nobel 1, MAGA 0
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/11/opinion/nobel-prize-economics.html
The Nobel Prize in Economics was awarded today to three economists who categorically disputed the Von Mises claptrap. David Card, Joshua Angrist and Guido Imbens for proving a novel theory postulated by Professor Alan Kreuger, who died in 2019 (Nobel does not award prizes posthumously).
The novel theory? "Facts matter".
They measured changes in state economic policies NOT in traditional "before and after" modeling. Instead, they chose to look at similar demographics in adjoing states to measure the success or failure of a government policy.
For example, noted shitposter Ishmael screeched for almost two decades that raising the minimum wage would directly lead to less employment. Guess what? Ishmael was wrong...the econsomist measure the economy and job grownth in adjacent states and found that raising the minimum wage had virtually no effect on job growth.
More recently, they applied their model to states who curtailed unemployment benefits early post-Covid relief. Guess what? A statistically insignificant difference in overall employment rates in virtually all stats in all employment areas when compared against states that kept Covid benefits going.
Nobel 1, MAGA 0
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/11/opinion/nobel-prize-economics.html