Another Scare Amicus?

JackLuis

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"A new study published in the American Meteorological Society’s Journal of Climate warns that global climate change may actually be twice as detrimental as previously predicted, with temperatures climbing by as much as nine degrees by 2100, leading to mass migrations, wars and "hundreds of millions" dead.

and finishes with:
""Because vehicles last for years, and buildings and powerplants last for decades, it is essential to start making major changes through adoption of significant national and international policies as soon as possible," advised an MIT press release regarding the new study. "The least-cost option to lower the risk is to start now and steadily transform the global energy system over the coming decades to low or zero greenhouse gas-emitting technologies."

Here
 
I've always respected MIT's research; they possess a high degree of professionalism and thoroughness. Still, what they give is only a projection model, not a doomsday prophecy. As many simulations and models as they used, I am sure they are well aware of the impact of thousands of different variables.

What caught my eye in the article, though, was this statement concerning the recently-approved (by the House Energy and Commerce Committee) energy plan:

"This bill, when enacted into law this year, will break our dependence on foreign oil, make our nation the world leader in clean energy jobs and technology, and cut global warming pollution," said committee chairman Henry Waxman (D-CA).

That's a hell of a bold claim.

Kudos if future administrations can stick to it (if it is indeed passed this year, or at any time during Obama's tenure).
 
Bullshit JACKIE

Climate forecasting is valid and reliable for about as long as it takes you to open the window blinds and look at the sky. There are too many variables and confounding events to figure. If a mountain somewhere blows up, it may cool the Earth for years. Plus these perfesser-wizards never expose the positive effects of GW for public scrutiny, like the Arctic Circle becoming habitable for people and crops, and the opening of the Arctic Ocean for navigation.
 
Bullshit JACKIE

Climate forecasting is valid and reliable for about as long as it takes you to open the window blinds and look at the sky. There are too many variables and confounding events to figure. If a mountain somewhere blows up, it may cool the Earth for years. Plus these perfesser-wizards never expose the positive effects of GW for public scrutiny, like the Arctic Circle becoming habitable for people and crops, and the opening of the Arctic Ocean for navigation.

JBJ I maynot agree withyou everytime, well maybe 50%, dead on the money this time...


It is one of the greatest scam in history. I am amazed, appalled and highly offended by it. Global Warming; It is a SCAM.

Some jackass scientists with environmental and political motives manipulated long term scientific data back in the late 1990's to create an allusion of rapid global warming. Other scientists of the same environmental wacko type jumped into the circle to support and broaden the "research" to further enhance the totally slanted, bogus global warming claims. Their 'friends' in government steered huge research grants their way to keep the movement going. Soon they claimed to be a consensus

http://www.kevinking.com/3rdNational.gif
 
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AUSTIN

The bottomline is Global Warming is the next big gig for Washington lawyers to milk for major bucks. Its something new to scare the rubes with.

We have these eruptions every 20 years or so. The last was tobacco. Ralph Nader got the ball rolling sueing Detroit for unsafe small cars.
 
Temperature rise has stopped. Check the data, it really has. Then add to your computer model the recently announced 'quiet sun'. There has been a dearth of solar flares and sunspots for a longer time than any astronomer has living memory of. The last time this happened, we went into a Little Ice Age. Computer models are only as good as the information put into them.
 
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AUSTIN

The bottomline is Global Warming is the next big gig for Washington lawyers to milk for major bucks. Its something new to scare the rubes with.

We have these eruptions every 20 years or so. The last was tobacco. Ralph Nader got the ball rolling sueing Detroit for unsafe small cars.

Yup, I'm still pissed over the tobacco deal, taking one of the South's leading industries and just fucking run it in the ground! Why in the hell can't Washington leave shit alone! No, their gonna scam billions off this Global Warming crap... and just wait and see what happens with the banking industry...
 
The lawyers follow the money and stampede the rubes.
 
Temperature rise has stopped. Check the data, it really has.


Gee, do you think someone ought to mention it to the media ( you know-- NPR, the New York Times, the Beeb, NBC, ... )? Maybe somebody should say something to Henry Waxman and the general public? A little whisper?



Then add to your computer model the recently announced 'quiet sun'. There has been a dearth of solar flares and sunspots for a longer time than any astronomer has living memory of. The last time this happened, we went into a Little Ice Age. Computer models are only as good as the information put into them.

Try telling that to James Hansen, Al Gore, the UN IPCC, Nancy Pelosi and all the adolescents who have been brainwashed.

 
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Yup, I'm still pissed over the tobacco deal, taking one of the South's leading industries and just fucking run it in the ground! Why in the hell can't Washington leave shit alone! No, their gonna scam billions off this Global Warming crap... and just wait and see what happens with the banking industry...
They should be growing marijuana instead. Talk about a cash crop!
 
What's the matter with you people? The sky is falling! The sky is falling!

I'm gonna need a huge grant from the government to find all the pieces and glue them back together.
 
"Global Warming", "Climate Change", is the scam of the century. Cap and Trade is a way to take the money from the "Evil Rich" nations and re-distribute it to the poor nations.

It's a redistribution of wealth scheme thought up the the ultra-left bed wetters.


All I have to say on the subject is...

The climate changes everyday, one day it's warm the next is cool. And if man, the least populace species on the face of the earth, can affect the climate of a planet with circumference of 25,000 miles and a surface area of ... hell I'm to lazy to look it up ... then you have no brains what-so-ever.

Man does not have the capacity to infuse that much of any of the green house gases into the atmosphere. One good volcano will vent more green house gas into the air than all of mankind's emission since man's been around.

If you can't see the scam then you better bend over and kiss your ass good-bye.
 
The climate changes everyday, one day it's warm the next is cool.

:rolleyes:

That's Weather, not Climate. If that's the level of your knowledge about Climatology, I'm not surprised you don't believe spewing tons of CO2 and other noxious materials into the atmosphere is avery bad thing to continue doing -- evenif it isn't changing the climate, it is an exceedingly stupid thing for mankind to continue doing.
 
:rolleyes:

That's Weather, not Climate. If that's the level of your knowledge about Climatology, I'm not surprised you don't believe spewing tons of CO2 and other noxious materials into the atmosphere is avery bad thing to continue doing -- evenif it isn't changing the climate, it is an exceedingly stupid thing for mankind to continue doing.
Never said it was a good thing, I sure wish people wouldn't put words in my mouth, I have enough trouble with the ones already there.

Like I said "We're pretty arrogant to think the wee amount of shit we put in the atmosphere would cause anything except smog." Sure as hell won't cause the planet to warm or cool.

Some stuff I've read have all those scientists, who aren't collecting grant money from the government, scratching their heads...that the data they see has the planet warming up then the co2 increases. Then the planet cools.

Then again the human population-those that keep records-have only been around for such a short period of time...maybe you can tell me what the temperature of the Earth is supposed to be? Maybe it's supposed to be five degrees higher that it is now? Of course that would really suck, especially for those with water front property.
 
"...Welcome to the website of Stephen Webster, composer for film, television, and video games.

Above, you can navigate to pages containing Stephen's biography, samples of his work, photos, and blog entries, as well as finiding contact information.

If you are looking for a skilled, professional and reliable composer for one of your projects, do get in touch!..."

Stephen C. Webster is a reporter, writer, blogger and activist from Lewisville, Texas. He is an Investigative Reporter with The Lone Star Iconoclast in Crawford, Texas, the Staff Writer for The News Connection in southern Denton County, an organizer with DallasRally.com and The Dallas Peace Center, and blogs regularly at GonzoMuckraker.BlogSpot.com. His work has appeared in publications such as The Dallas Morning News, and Peace Journalism Magazine, among others. His Investigative Reporting has been publicized by venues such as The Jones Report, 911 Blogger, What Really Happened, The Raw Story, 911Truth.org, The Memory Hole, D Magazine (and its blog FrontBurner), and The American Chronicle.

~~~

Maybe next you could post an article by Alvin the Chipmunk Gore? Would be just as biased.

Sheez, thas poor even for the OP.

Amicus
 
Like I said "We're pretty arrogant to think the wee amount of shit we put in the atmosphere would cause anything except smog." Sure as hell won't cause the planet to warm or cool.

Ever seen the satellite pictures of the yellow cloud sweeping of of China and the Indian Subcontinent?

Ever seen the pictures of the damage Acid Rain does to forests; the mechanism for removing CO2 from the atmosphere?

It is paradoxically arrogant to think we can continue to use the entire atmosphere as a garbage dump without having global effects.

Whether those effects are turning the planet into an Easy Bake Oven or a Coleman Cooler, I neither know or care; but we can't continue theyway we've been going since the start of the industrial revolution -- doubling or output of combustion byproducts and simultaneously slashing, burning, and paving over the mechanisms that remove our garbage from the air.

FWIW, I do agree with you that Cap & Trade is a scam touted as redistributing wealth to the "third world" but a boondoggle that will actually redistribute more wealth to those who already have most of it.
 
Temperature rise has stopped. Check the data, it really has. Then add to your computer model the recently announced 'quiet sun'. There has been a dearth of solar flares and sunspots for a longer time than any astronomer has living memory of. The last time this happened, we went into a Little Ice Age. Computer models are only as good as the information put into them.

Um, nope it hasn't. It's not a linear curve, never has been, and deviations from the median have always been predicted. The trend is still the same. As to "the quiet sun" - did you actually read the article you posted?

This has resulted in some people suggesting that a similar cooling might offset the impact of climate change.

According to Prof Mike Lockwood of Southampton University, this view is too simplistic.

"I wish the Sun was coming to our aid but, unfortunately, the data shows that is not the case," he said.

Prof Lockwood was one of the first researchers to show that the Sun's activity has been gradually decreasing since 1985, yet overall global temperatures have continued to rise.

"If you look carefully at the observations, it's pretty clear that the underlying level of the Sun peaked at about 1985 and what we are seeing is a continuation of a downward trend (in solar activity) that's been going on for a couple of decades.

"If the Sun's dimming were to have a cooling effect, we'd have seen it by now."

This computer model is actually quite complex:

IGSM

Solar activity has been factored in. Here is the full MIT article btw:

MIT on IGSM results article
 
Ah, Past Participle, it must be a dismal outlook indeed, especially if you consider the two billion plus Indians and Chinese having their Industrial Revolution at the moment and the entire Continent of Africa and South America to soon follow suit.
"...Since there are so many uncertainties, especially with regard to what human beings will choose to do and how large the climate response will be, "we don't pretend we can do it accurately..."

From your precious MIT link, but beyond that the piece is intellectually dishonest by presenting all of man's activities as injurious to the environment and none beneficial.

The entire Global Warming Dogma is perhaps even more dangerous to the well being of man than the scourge of either Christianity or Marxism, both of which attempted to mold man in their limited vision.

Ayn Rand described it long, long ago, as the "Anti Industrial Revolution", and I would have thought by now most would recognize the Environmental hoax for what it is, an anti human, anti intellectual rant left over from the 1850's.

I guess not, as the fools continue to attract an audience of true believers.

Such a pity.

Amicus
 
JBJ I maynot agree withyou everytime, well maybe 50%, dead on the money this time...


It is one of the greatest scam in history. I am amazed, appalled and highly offended by it. Global Warming; It is a SCAM.

Some jackass scientists with environmental and political motives manipulated long term scientific data back in the late 1990's to create an allusion of rapid global warming. Other scientists of the same environmental wacko type jumped into the circle to support and broaden the "research" to further enhance the totally slanted, bogus global warming claims. Their 'friends' in government steered huge research grants their way to keep the movement going. Soon they claimed to be a consensus

http://www.kevinking.com/3rdNational.gif

your wacko flag says all anyone needs to know about you, your philosophy, or your knowledge.......
 
Never said it was a good thing, I sure wish people wouldn't put words in my mouth, I have enough trouble with the ones already there.

Like I said "We're pretty arrogant to think the wee amount of shit we put in the atmosphere would cause anything except smog." Sure as hell won't cause the planet to warm or cool.

Some stuff I've read have all those scientists, who aren't collecting grant money from the government, scratching their heads...that the data they see has the planet warming up then the co2 increases. Then the planet cools.

Then again the human population-those that keep records-have only been around for such a short period of time...maybe you can tell me what the temperature of the Earth is supposed to be? Maybe it's supposed to be five degrees higher that it is now? Of course that would really suck, especially for those with water front property.

You've never said anything of note, but that doesn't stop ya from spewing.....
 
Ah, Past Participle, it must be a dismal outlook indeed, especially if you consider the two billion plus Indians and Chinese having their Industrial Revolution at the moment and the entire Continent of Africa and South America to soon follow suit.


From your precious MIT link, but beyond that the piece is intellectually dishonest by presenting all of man's activities as injurious to the environment and none beneficial.

The entie Global Warming Dogma is perhaps even more dangerous to the well being of man than the scourge of either Christianity or Marxism, both of which attempted to mold man in their limited vision.

Ayn Rand described it long, long ago, as the "Anti Industrial Revolution", and I would have thought by now most would recognize the Environmental hoax for what it is, an anti human, anti intellectual rant left over from the 1850's.

I guess not, as the fools continue to attract an audience of true believers.

Such a pity.

Amicus

The real pity is your bankrupt spewing of a bankrupt and infeasible theorem by someone whose nonsense was spouted fifty years ago.....long time for bullshit unless, like the bible thumpers: you don't have a clue or an original idea.....Ann Rand....give it up, she wasn't shit for ideas or prose......
 
Ah, Past Participle, it must be a dismal outlook indeed, especially if you consider the two billion plus Indians and Chinese having their Industrial Revolution at the moment and the entire Continent of Africa and South America to soon follow suit.


From your precious MIT link, but beyond that the piece is intellectually dishonest by presenting all of man's activities as injurious to the environment and none beneficial.

The entire Global Warming Dogma is perhaps even more dangerous to the well being of man than the scourge of either Christianity or Marxism, both of which attempted to mold man in their limited vision.

Ayn Rand described it long, long ago, as the "Anti Industrial Revolution", and I would have thought by now most would recognize the Environmental hoax for what it is, an anti human, anti intellectual rant left over from the 1850's.

I guess not, as the fools continue to attract an audience of true believers.

Such a pity.

Amicus

You conveniently left out the salient point after the passage you quoted:

Instead, we do these 400 runs and look at the spread of the odds."

So much to your intellectual honesty. I suppose "peer reviewed data" doesn't have any meaning to you. Here is the IGSM V2 abstract btw:

IGSM Version 2

And if Miss Rand would envisioned a world were bears fly, I couldn't be more interested.
 
I still don't understand why people think we are the sole reason for any change at all. Or why they think we (or they) have the power to stop any change at all. Or even why change is a bad thing.

The world was changing long before we became any influence, has been changing as long as we have been a part of the cycle and will surely continue changing long after we are gone.
 
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