Bamagan
Ultima Proxima
- Joined
- Jul 3, 2023
- Posts
- 2,287
I mean, I agree that our civilization is a lot more fragile than our species and would certainly die first, but I have doubts that our species would survive a 99.99% die-off, whatever the cause, and the secondary effects of a nuclear war large enough to cause such a reduction would likely doom those who survived the initial conflict to a lingering decline afterwards. Most terrestrial life above a certain mass would probably go down with us. We might be able to hold out it places far from the priority targets for nuclear strikes, but it's dubious that we could ever industrialize again, at least not on a global scale. I certainly hope no one decides to resolve our hypothetical arguments though.There are nowhere near enough nuclear weapons on earth to destroy humanity. There are more than enough to entirely destroy our civilization - that's a different thing. Humans are remarkably tough to kill, all things considered - we're a particularly stubborn virus.
Modern civilization, though, is incredibly fragile. We exist on the systems and processes developed and dependent on long years of piecemeal advancement. A small peturbation in, say, ammonia supply for the Haber-Bosch process could have catastrophic and far-reaching consequences everywhere.
It wouldn't take much to fuck things up. Nukes would just make it (almost certainly) unrecoverable on timescales of less than a century or two. Probably a 99.99% population die-off to boot, at least, with a catastrophic loss of all knowledge and the depletion of all easily-reachable natural resources (iron, coal, petroleum etc) to permit a reboot.
That said, if the missiles were to fly, I'd be tanking up on whisky and ketamine.