The media can't cover for Obama any more

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[4est_4est_Gump]

Insiders in both parties are increasingly predicting that Republicans will control all of Congress after the 2012 elections, according to the results of the latest National Journal Political Insiders poll. Democratic Insiders' already modest hopes for holding the Senate and retaking the House have waned since May, when the Insiders were last asked about congressional prospects. Meanwhile, Republicans see the electoral map, the economy and presidential unpopularity as factors moving ever more in their favor.

Many Insiders on both sides argued that the likelihood of a GOP Senate takeover was largely a matter of math. "Virtually all of the vulnerability is on the Democratic side this cycle," said one Republican Insider. "Of 10 to 12 competitive races, two are GOP seats, and we only need to pick up four."

"This has less to do with the current bad environment for the Dems than it does with the great playing field," agreed another. "North Dakota, Missouri, Nebraska, and Montana seem set up perfectly."

A Democratic Insider echoed the point, saying, "Too many tough states, too many tough races, too many incumbents to defend."

Republicans also pointed to the Democrats' wave of Senate victories in 2006, arguing that 2012 may reflect a swinging back of that pendulum. "Republicans badly underperformed in 2000 Senate elections and then absurdly underperformed in 2006," said one GOP Insider. "A simple regression to the mean would produce a GOP majority. Add in the president's unpopularity, and it looks very good."

Another Republican agreed, saying, "The swing in 2006 brought in many red-state Democrats who will have a tough time defending their seats in an anti-Democratic year."

Democratic Insiders mostly pinned their Senate hopes on future developments. "A lot is riding on the economy improving and the jobless rate declining before the election," said one.

"I think that after we have the jobs plan, deficit super committee, and 2012 budget fights, [Republicans] will be weakened and provide a strong contrast for Dems," another offered hopefully.

Among some Democratic Insiders, optimism was even lower when it came to retaking the House. "We'll be lucky to be able to hold a caucus," said one particularly gloomy Democrat.

"Redistricting helps a little," said another, "but the president's numbers, especially in swing districts, doom Dems."

Even his party can't cover for him any more...
http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/09/insiders-increa.php

 

[mercury14]

Cept traditional spending (depending on where one defines traditional.) has added to the debt ever since we cut taxes. If the almighty Reagan couldn't do it what hope to mere mortals have of accomplishing this dream.

And yeah cut every single dime of Obama's spending over Bush and we'd still have a terribly similar problem. Sure 14 Trillion is bigger than 10 Trillion but if you can solve a 10 trillion dollar problem you can probably solve a 14 trillion dollar problem. Neither mind you can be solved overnight by any means available.

When you mention Bush's budgets don't forget to include a $4 trillion commitment to two wars that Republicans didn't think should be paid for.

Funny how Republicans created Medicare Part-D and didn't think that should be paid for either. There's a trillion dollars in debt right there. Then they turn around and attack the very entitlements they just created.

Those two policies cost us $5 Trillion. But Republicans tell us what we should REALLY be worried about isn't covering that $5 trillion. Instead they tell us we need to be outraged over paying for a $780 billion stimulus that was 1/3 tax breaks. This kind of lying hypocrisy is why I stopped voting Republican.

 

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[Peregrinator]

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