Reality Check: The November 2012 Presidential Election

Who do you think will win the November 2012 Presidential Election?

  • Obama, by a large margin

    Votes: 11 78.6%
  • Obama, by a small margin

    Votes: 3 21.4%
  • The Republican candidate, by a small margin

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • The Republican candidate, by a large margin

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    14

RoryN

You're screwed.
Joined
Apr 8, 2003
Posts
60,506
This isn't a poll re: who you're going to vote for. This is one to gauge what you think will happen.

Have at it, and we'll re-visit this thread in November and see how in-touch / out-of-touch with reality the GB is as a whole.

It's anonymous.
 
Romney will beat Obama by a small margin.

or

Obama will beat Santorum in a landslide.
 
/Off topic

The big wigs are in town today.
I think Obama just wants to celebrate St Paddy's day, Chicago Style.

He'll be campaigning with a green beer in his hand. Watch for it.
 
FWIW: I live in the most conservative county in the nation, and a good portion of the conservatives here don't believe for a minute that this will happen.



You're my puppet. I'll give you whatever direction I damn well please. :D

Conservatives are marginalized in a national election. Independents determine who sits in the big chair.
 
/Off topic

The big wigs are in town today.
I think Obama just wants to celebrate St Paddy's day, Chicago Style.

He'll be campaigning with a green beer in his hand. Watch for it.

I saw green Katsup in the store the other day.

I'll be traveling tomorrow and will miss out on my corned beef dinner.
 
Oh... ok. You get to set the goal posts and move them to make sure you score. Got it.

:rolleyes:

I usually find this thought to be coupled with the Bush mentality, "You're either with us, or against us."

In this most recent election cycle, you're either with Dem or you're a RACIST...
 
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In this most recent election cycle, you're either with Dem or you're a RACIST...

The Conservatives I know personally aren't racist. What do they have in common? None of them claim what you say to be true.

The racist right-fringe perpetuates the idea that the left see all opposition to Obama as being racist. Thin as it is, it's their lifeblood.
 
I'm sorry that your logic doesn't match the reality of human nature. But that's not my fault.

What are you even talking about? Do you have mental problems or something?

I said independents elected Obama; you said they didn't; I said they did; and you said those who were identified as independents weren't really independents.

Does that summarize where we are? It's demonstrably true that Obama won because he won the independent vote - and that fact is accepted by pretty much everyone who knows anything at all about politics. You can chose to call that voting block something other than independents if you want, but until your name for them takes off and is accepted in the discussion, you're flat out wrong.

No wonder so many people think you are pedantic.
 
The Conservatives I know personally aren't racist. What do they have in common? None of them claim what you say to be true.

The racist right-fringe perpetuates the idea that the left see all opposition to Obama as being racist. Thin as it is, it's their lifeblood.

Are they self-defined "conservatives?"

Does that not imply they are "Independent?"

Is your universe then coast-to-coast? Canada to Mexico?

Define "racist right-fringe..."

Is it a vast conspiracy?

Who yells racist?

Holder?

;) ;)
 
It's demonstrably true that Obama won because he won the independent vote

If they voted for him, they voted Dem. They are Dem. It's simple.

There's a good portion of my views which don't fit neatly into one party or another. Our party system isn't close to being perfect or correctly representative of the population as a whole. But, as it stands today, if I vote Democrat, I'm Democrat for all intents and purposes, and I won't whine about being identified as such.

Your vote is your voice, and you are what you vote. If you don't want to be identified as Democrat or Republican, don't vote for those candidates, or stay home.
 
Yes, they did.
In 2010, the camp that rallied up the highest voter turnout among their core won big.

A presidential year is different though, Higher general enthusiasm means more undecideds coming to the polls.

But as long as voter turnout is generally low, one can always win by giving the independents the finger and focus the attention on the solid left or solid right.

And voter turnout in the United States IS generally low. That's why stuff like registration drives, canvassing and GOTV efforts is a thing.
 
If they voted for him, they voted Dem. They are Dem. It's simple.

There's a good portion of my views which don't fit neatly into one party or another. Our party system isn't close to being perfect or correctly representative of the population as a whole. But, as it stands today, if I vote Democrat, I'm Democrat for all intents and purposes, and I won't whine about being identified as such.

Your vote is your voice, and you are what you vote. If you don't want to be identified as Democrat or Republican, don't vote for those candidates, or stay home.

Some of us vote for the person, not the party.
 
Some of us vote for the person, not the party.

That's fine. But, whether or not you care about a candidate's party affiliation makes no difference. You're voting the party; that's the way the system is set up. Thus, you self-identify with a party when you vote.

The "Independent" title is nothing more than an attempt at a panacea for what most consider to be a broken party system. It's psychological.
 
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