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Interested in tracking early voting by state? Check this site out.
———————

2024 Early Voting​

Welcome to the UF Election Lab’s early voter tracker, maintained by Dr. McDonald.

If you’re constantly checking here, as many do, you may need to do a hard refresh on your browser to get the latest data.
Where possible, links are provided to the original data sources. In some cases data are compiled from data obtained directly from state election officials and are not in the public domain.
You may read this explainer on how to interpret and what to expect from early voting in 2024.

https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/
 

Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?​

538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes.​


Trump wins 52 times out of 100
in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.
Harris wins 48 times out of 100.
There is a less than 1-in-100 chance of no Electoral College winner.
 
BabyBoomer50s said:
Interested in tracking early voting by state? Check this site out.
———————

2024 Early Voting​

Welcome to the UF Election Lab’s early voter tracker, maintained by Dr. McDonald.

If you’re constantly checking here, as many do, you may need to do a hard refresh on your browser to get the latest data.
Where possible, links are provided to the original data sources. In some cases data are compiled from data obtained directly from state election officials and are not in the public domain.
You may read this explainer on how to interpret and what to expect from early voting in 2024.

https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/
Click to expand...

🙄

adrina said:
Click to expand...

😳

😑

👉 BabyBoobs 🤣

🇺🇸
 
DeluxAuto said:
"lost her lead" but still up by almost 6.

I'm ok with that. Are you?
Click to expand...

BabyBoobs is clinging to some early voting results in Nevada, even after it was explained that early voting always skews republican at first, because smaller rural communities are able to return their results quicker, which gives an appearance of a more favorable situation for republicans than actually exists.

As the bigger cities early vote numbers start coming in, the situation should become clearer as to how each party is doing in the early voting in Nevada, etc.

👍

🇺🇸
 
DeluxAuto said:
"lost her lead" but still up by almost 6.

I'm ok with that. Are you?
Click to expand...
If you were smart enough to read the title of the chart you’d realize that it says “How each candidate’s chance of winning has changed.” But of course you’re not very smart so you are forgiven.

If you had clicked on Silver’s link, you’d realize that Harris’ small lead is now down to four tenths of one percent. That’s what Silver, a Harris supporter, means by “Harris has basically lost her lead.”
 
BabyBoomer50s said:
If you were smart enough to read the title of the chart you’d realize that it says “How each candidate’s chance of winning has changed.” But of course you’re not very smart so you are forgiven.

If you had clicked on Silver’s link, you’d realize that Harris’ small lead is now down to four tenths of one percent. That’s what Silver, a Harris supporter, means by “Harris has basically lost her lead.”
Click to expand...
Is she up by 6 regarding whatever metric Nate's graph says?

How busy was the bar this morning?
 
DeluxAuto said:
Is she up by 6 regarding whatever metric Nate's graph says?

How busy was the bar this morning?
Click to expand...
She is not up by 6. It’s a shame you couldn’t find the right chart, but not at all surprising. Do you ever turn the lights on in your dark, lonely room?
 
DeluxAuto said:
View attachment 2412914

You should stop while you're behind.

Per the graph you posted, she is up by almost 6 no matter the metric.
Click to expand...
I posted a tweet from Nate Silver where he summarized his take on the latest data and provided a link to his data. The chart is there if you can find it. Perhaps a friend could show you how links work, but given your antisocial issues, you probably don’t have any friends.
 
BabyBoomer50s said:
I posted a tweet from Nate Silver where he summarized his take on the latest data and provided a link to his data. The chart is there if you can find it. Perhaps a friend could show you how links work, but given your antisocial issues, you probably don’t have any friends.
Click to expand...
You know I'm right. Why the anger? Oh yeah, you're a mean drunk.

The graph you showed shows exactly what I said it shows. Period. End of story. Full stop.
 
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