Just the Polls

[BabyBoomer50s]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

 

[Rotadom]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

I know you're a slut for polls and a come dumpster for 538, but didn't 538 have Hillary winning up until 5 minutes before they called it for the convicted felon?

 

[Lazaran]

I know you're a slut for polls and a come dumpster for 538, but didn't 538 have Hillary winning up until 5 minutes before they called it for the convicted felon?

A couple days ago 538 had President Biden winning by more in the same exact poll, but of course BabyBoobs (a gaslighting POS) didn’t "share" that poll for "some" reason.



BabyBoobs

 

[ll74]

A couple days ago 538 had President Biden winning by more in the same exact poll, but of course BabyBoobs (a gaslighting POS) didn’t "share" that poll for "some" reason.



BabyBoobs

I shared this poll when it first came out. It's a forecast that will shift over time and quite clearly explains it's methodology.

This thread does require polls to be right or wrong....just to be provided.

 

[Rotadom]

This thread does require polls to be right or wrong....just to be provided.

Thanks for the clarification.

 

[Rotadom]

A couple days ago 538 had President Biden winning by more in the same exact poll, but of course BabyBoobs (a gaslighting POS) didn’t "share" that poll for "some" reason.



BabyBoobs

You know it still pained him on a deep emotional level to have to post that the rapist is only up by a cunt hair.

 

[jaF0]

This thread does **NOT** require polls to be right or wrong....just to be provided.

Polls are never 'right or wrong'. They are snapshots in the moment of the opinions of a very small sample of people who may or may not be biased. WHO is polled, WHERE, under WHAT conditions and HOW the questions are asked make significant difference.

 

[ll74]

Polls are never 'right or wrong'. They are snapshots in the moment of the opinions of a very small sample of people who may or may not be biased. WHO is polled, WHERE, under WHAT conditions and HOW the questions are asked make significant difference.

Yep. And this thread is to provide the polls rather than analysis about the polls.

 

[BabyBoomer50s]

You know it still pained him on a deep emotional level to have to post that the rapist is only up by a cunt hair.

Nah. I shared a poll here two weeks ago that has Biden ahead.

 

[Rotadom]

Nah. I shared a poll here two weeks ago that has Biden ahead.

Gotcha. So this one didn't sting as bad.

 

[BabyBoomer50s]

Gotcha. So this one didn't sting as bad.

In addition to the new FiveThirtyEight forecast model, I follow Nate Silver on X along with major national polls, the battleground state polls, the RCP average, and the betting odds.

 

[Rotadom]

In addition to the new FiveThirtyEight forecast model, I follow Nate Silver on X along with major national polls, the battleground state polls, the RCP average, and the betting odds.

You live a most fascinating life

 

[BabyBoomer50s]

You live a most fascinating life

Probably why you follow my posts so closely and respond so often.

 

[Rotadom]

Probably why you follow my posts so closely and respond so often.

It's a public message board that requires participation. You're nothing but a series of ones and zeros who regurgitates other, smarter people's words without much thought.

By your "logic", you're obsessed with the OP

 

[BabyBoomer50s]

Iowa (Iowa Selzer, Nate Silver’s highest rated pollster)

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/s...n-vs-robert-kennedy-jr-iowa-poll/74088665007/

 

[schism666]

Iowa (Iowa Selzer, Nate Silver’s highest rated pollster)

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/s...n-vs-robert-kennedy-jr-iowa-poll/74088665007/

the president is doing better against the felon in iowa than he did in 2020

 

[BabyBoomer50s]

the president is doing better against the felon in iowa than he did in 2020

Trump defeated Biden by about 8 points in Iowa in 2020. The final tally was Trump 53.1%, Biden 44.9%. In this late start poll Trump is leading by 18 points (50% to 32%). Trump has ticked up a point in this poll since the conviction.

 

[schism666]

Trump defeated Biden by about 8 points in Iowa in 2020. The final tally was Trump 53.1%, Biden 44.9%. In this late start poll Trump is leading by 18 points (50% to 32%). Trump has ticked up a point in this poll since the conviction.

yes, i know i'm right. if you'll notice, my posts always contain zero lies so there's no need to confirm anything. i don't post without due diligence.

 

[ll74]

yes, i know i'm right. if you'll notice, my posts always contain zero lies so there's no need to confirm anything. i don't post without due diligence.

This thread is for polls. Not for commentary

 

[schism666]

This thread is for polls. Not for commentary

this post is for telling you to fuck off

 

[ll74]

this post is for telling you to fuck off

How exciting for you.

 

[schism666]

How exciting for you.

sounds rough

 

[BabyBoomer50s]

New Marist poll
Biden 49, Trump 49

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-co...st-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_202406131412-2.pdf

 

[adrina]

One in 20 Donald Trump Voters Are Switching to Joe Biden This Election—Poll

According to research by Redfield & Wilton Strategies, for instance, 5 percent of Trump 2020 voters now say they plan to vote for Biden in the upcoming election.

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-2020-voters-joe-biden-2024-election-poll-1914204

 

[BabyBoomer50s]

Betting odds, aka money polls. RCP average. Trump opens largest lead of the campaign at 52% as Biden slips to 33%.