For Those Who Might Be Wondering Why We Might Be In Ukraine

Now, watch again and think about what stands out the most in this Moscow video of an AFU drone striking a Russian refinery in the middle of the day.
I wonder why they hit during the day, why not at night? The locations should not be hard to Geo-locate, maybe the endgame is with on on-board visual recognition?
 
I wonder why they hit during the day, why not at night? The locations should not be hard to Geo-locate, maybe the endgame is with on on-board visual recognition?

A good read that might answer your question:

https://breakingdefense.com/2024/06...y-kit-lets-attack-drones-fly-through-jamming/

The relevant part of the article:

“The fundamental physics problem is that small drones can only carry small amounts of explosives, so even a small mistake can mean a miss. But small drones — at least, ones without Skynode S — can’t perform precise maneuvers on their own: They need a human pilot flying them by remote control. That means an unskilled, exhausted or just unlucky operator can fumble the strike at the last minute. Or the enemy can force a fumble by jamming the control link, which requires less and less power as the drone gets closer and closer to the target.

To dispense with that human guidance, you need a drone with electronic eyes sharp enough, and a digital brain smart enough, to distinguish the designated target from the background clutter and home in on it autonomously. But while computers have gotten pretty good at identifying static images of cute kittens, puppies and consumer products, they have a harder time with three-dimensional objects, especially when they’re camouflaged, partially hidden behind cover, poorly lit, or moving.”

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A good read that might answer your question:

https://breakingdefense.com/2024/06...y-kit-lets-attack-drones-fly-through-jamming/

The relevant part of the article:

“The fundamental physics problem is that small drones can only carry small amounts of explosives, so even a small mistake can mean a miss. But small drones — at least, ones without Skynode S — can’t perform precise maneuvers on their own: They need a human pilot flying them by remote control. That means an unskilled, exhausted or just unlucky operator can fumble the strike at the last minute. Or the enemy can force a fumble by jamming the control link, which requires less and less power as the drone gets closer and closer to the target.

To dispense with that human guidance, you need a drone with electronic eyes sharp enough, and a digital brain smart enough, to distinguish the designated target from the background clutter and home in on it autonomously. But while computers have gotten pretty good at identifying static images of cute kittens, puppies and consumer products, they have a harder time with three-dimensional objects, especially when they’re camouflaged, partially hidden behind cover, poorly lit, or moving.”

Yes, all sorts of factors at play. I wonder how accurate the new jet-powered drones will be and what they are using for targeting. That, and how many of them Ukraine can push out, as well as the size of their warheads and their new ballistic missiles. All of that said, Ukraine is innovating like crazy on drones - their new flamethrower drones seem pretty horrific and great for clearing tree-lines. And Ukraine is now producing 100,000 FPVs per month and increasing.

 
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Ukrainian forces have advanced in Kursk, liberating Mala Loknya and areas around it. In Belgorod Oblast there is a state of emergency at the Russian Federal level as ZSU advances. Last night, rumors of a Ukrainian breakout in Kursk led to a friendly fire incident in the Russian rear area. Russian milboggers report that a group of Russian militia "fired at everything that moved" on the critical Kursk-Lgov supply route, injuring several.


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Bloomberg reports that German Chancellor Olaf Scholz confirmed an order for additional IRIS-T air defense systems for the Bundeswehr and the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Out of 26 IRIS-T Systems ordered, Scholz announced that 17 IRIS-T systems are for Ukraine. DPA news agency specifies that this includes eight medium-range (SLM) and nine short-range (SLS) systems. Four SLM and three SLS systems are already operating in Ukraine. He promised that four additional systems – two each of medium and short-range – would be delivered by the end of this year, with the rest following next year.

A German government official said that by 2026, Ukraine will receive 24 IRIS-T systems from Germany: 12 medium-range and 12 short-range. Reuters had previously reported on the supply of IRIS SLM-T systems.

https://euromaidanpress.com/2024/09...rs-17-iris-t-air-defense-systems-for-ukraine/

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A Russian Arctic brigade which has been recruiting from prison colonies is reported to have been decimated in Ukrainian attacks on Russian-occupied islands in the Dnipro estuary and Black Sea, suffering as much as 80% casualties. The 80th Arctic Motorised Rifle Brigade was created in 2014 to protect Russian territories bordering Norway and Finland, along a line from Murmansk to the New Siberian Islands. Although it is a specialist Arctic warfare unit, much of the brigade was sent to Ukraine in 2022. Since then, according to relatives, many of its soldiers have been killed or wounded while stationed on islands in the Kherson region. The brigade began recruiting convicts in 2023, apparently after losing scores of men in Ukraine.

The Dnipro downstream of Kherson flows around dozens of islands, most notably the strategically located Great Potʹomkinsʹkyy Island just south of Kherson city. More Russian-held islands are located in the Black Sea along the Gulf of Tendra and the Dzharylhats’ka Gulf. The contested islands include Great Potʹomkinsʹkyy (marked as 1 on this map), the Tendra Spit (2), Orlov (3), Dzharylhach (4) and the Kalanchak Islands (5). Many are nature reserves but have reportedly been heavily damaged by the Russian occupation. The Ukrainians claimed in January 2023 to have recaptured Great Potʹomkinsʹkyy Island. In August 2023, many Russian casualties were reported from a HIMARS strike on Dzharylhach.

According to Irina Ivanovna, the mother of one soldier from the brigade who is currently listed as missing, "the drones are buzzing all the time. You can't get there by boat, the fighting is still going on. I called the military unit and was told that 80 per cent of the brigade had been killed or wounded. A boy who served with my son was wounded in the stomach. He says my son stayed there and [the other man] was hospitalised. How come everyone was walking past [my son]? Don't we not abandon our own? On 29 April I was given a document that he was missing. They say that when Kherson is liberated, then they will search these islands." Irina says she was happy when her son volunteered – "I told him: 'I knew you weren't a coward'" – but she is worried that she does not know whether he is now alive or dead. However, as she told, she approves of the 'Special Military Operation'.

"We need to finish with these Banderites, they all need to be destroyed so that they don’t raise their dragon heads again."
"Even at the cost of your son's life?"
"What, would it be better if they came here? Were there not enough of them sitting here?"
"They ran around the city, married our Russian girls. Did whatever they wanted. Then they went to their Ukraine. We had Banderovites in Pechora, we had a zone here."
(She admits that she has never met a Bandera supporter.)

Irina's own family was severely repressed under Stalin; her grandfather was shot and her grandmother was sent to Siberia. Nonetheless, she says the Soviet government was probably justified in doing so. "God knows what was going on in 1937, there were probably gangs. The Soviet government wouldn't just send a family to the middle of nowhere. They wouldn't just shoot them!"

Sergei Romantsov from Severodvinsk was serving a prison sentence for drug offences when he signed a military contract. He did so against the advice of his family, who told him that he would be safer serving out the remaining two years of his sentence. He was sent to the Kherson islands in April 2024 but disappeared, likely killed, within weeks. His sister Nina says: "He was appointed a motorman [boat pilot]. They get into boats at night, go on missions, pick up the wounded." At the end of April, he called and said that he had undergone a baptism of fire. And a week later, he disappeared." "He called me and said he was leaving for a mission at night. The last call was on 1 May at 23:55, after that there was no contact. Usually, when he returned from a mission, he would get in touch. At 3 am, at 5 am. On 1 May, he was still alive, what happened next is unknown. I found out that his boat was hit: either by a shell or a drone. There were survivors, many were killed."

She learned from other men in the brigade that "about a month and a half ago they went to the islands to pick up the wounded and dead. There was an opportunity. Now these islands are completely under the control of Ukraine. No one wants to go there – it’s certain death. The bodies that were left there, will most likely remain there. It’s impossible to get there." The casualties on the islands were so high that the men did not have time to get to know each other before they were killed. "The last commander lasted a month there. Many guys served only a week. As far as I understand, they were simply sent to be butchered."

Source: https://www.severreal.org/a/proigra...ntraktniki-arkticheskoy-brigady/33102621.html

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Bloomberg reports that German Chancellor Olaf Scholz confirmed an order for additional IRIS-T air defense systems for the Bundeswehr and the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Out of 26 IRIS-T Systems ordered, Scholz announced that 17 IRIS-T systems are for Ukraine. DPA news agency specifies that this includes eight medium-range (SLM) and nine short-range (SLS) systems. Four SLM and three SLS systems are already operating in Ukraine. He promised that four additional systems – two each of medium and short-range – would be delivered by the end of this year, with the rest following next year.

A German government official said that by 2026, Ukraine will receive 24 IRIS-T systems from Germany: 12 medium-range and 12 short-range. Reuters had previously reported on the supply of IRIS SLM-T systems.

https://euromaidanpress.com/2024/09...rs-17-iris-t-air-defense-systems-for-ukraine/

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A little late…

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No kidding. Should have been ordered two years ago...... like a lot of other things.

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Chloe “Chicongo” Tzang seems to forget a few things…

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Who took control of the House about two years ago???

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Who signaled they wanted to cut off funding for Ukraine and capitulate to Putin and Russia???

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(It was DonOld and the MAGAt "republicans".)

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Side note:

The Ukrainians were wrong for pushing so hard for the F-16s when they should have been pushing much harder for many more advanced ground based air defense systems to place around key cities and infrastructure.

Full stop.

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After Ukrainians AGAIN Ask for Permission To Shoot US Missiles Deep Into Russian Territory, Biden Regime Replies That They Are ‘Running Out of ATACMS’ To Give Them​

by Paul Serran Sep. 3, 2024 10:45 am

“’You’ve heard us say that the Ukrainians can use US security assistance to defend themselves from cross-border attacks, in other words counterfire. But as it relates to long-range strike, deep strikes into Russia, our policy has not changed’, said Pentagon press secretary Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder on Tuesday.”

But this time, the non-stop pleading by Kiev was met with a different response: the US is running out of ATACMS.

“Ukraine only has a limited supply of US-provided long-range missiles, and the US has made it clear that Kyiv should not expect another significant delivery of ATACMS because of the finite number in US inventories and the long production time of the weapon, according to a US official.”

Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin has said many of Ukraine’s high value targets in Russia are outside the range of ATACMS, anyway.

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/after-ukrainians-again-ask-permission-shoot-us-missiles/
 
Zelensky government coming apart:

Ukraine arms chief, four ministers resign in government shake-up​

By Olena Harmash and Tom Balmforth
Reuters

KYIV - The Ukrainian minister in charge of weapons production resigned on Tuesday in anticipation of another defense role and four other ministers stood down in a major government shake-up at a critical juncture in the war with Russia.

The resignations of Strategic Industries Minister Oleksandr Kamyshin, Deputy Prime Minister Olha Stefanishyna and the justice, environment and reintegration ministers leaves over a third of the cabinet vacant after sackings earlier this year.

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and his political allies could move to fill the positions to create order before he travels this month to the United States, where he hopes to present a "victory plan" to U.S. President Joe Biden, a key ally.


https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2024/09/04/ukraine-cabinet-chief/75068056007/
 

Russian Missile Strike on Ukraine Military Academy Kills Dozens​

Published Sep 03, 2024 at 8:09 AM EDTUpdated Sep 03, 2024 at 5:03 AM.


By Isabel van Brugen
News Reporter


Russian ballistic missiles struck a Ukrainian military institute in the city of Poltava and a nearby hospital, killing at least 41 people and injuring more than 180 others, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Tuesday.
Two ballistic missiles struck the area, the Ukrainian leader said, vowing that Russia would suffer consequences for the deadly attack.

"People were trapped under the rubble. Many people were rescued, but more than 180 were injured. Unfortunately, there are many casualties. As of now, we know that 41 people were killed. My deepest condolences to all of their relatives and loved ones," Zelensky said in a statement posted to social media.

"The time interval between the alarm and the arrival of the deadly missiles was so short that it caught people during an evacuation to the bomb shelter," Ukraine's Defense Ministry said.

https://www.newsweek.com/russian-missile-strike-ukraine-military-academy-kills-dozens-1947968
 
I wonder if it's Russian strategy to kill families and children to get Ukraine to capitulate.

Nah.....👍
 
I wonder if it's Russian strategy to kill families and children to get Ukraine to capitulate.

Nah.....👍
Nope. It's a deliberate strategy to pressure Ukraine into placing more anti-missile defenses around cities to protect them from terror attacks, drawing them away from protecting front line troops so they can hit them with glide bombs without taking as many losses. ZSU only as a finite number of air defense systems capable of taking out Russian cruise and ballistic missiles unfortunately, which is why getting those air defense systems is so critical. Patriot systems are just about the only ones that can take out ballistic missiles, which is why the Biden Administration not sending a few more Patriots systems is unforgivable.
 
Zelensky government coming apart:

Ukraine arms chief, four ministers resign in government shake-up​

By Olena Harmash and Tom Balmforth
Reuters

KYIV - The Ukrainian minister in charge of weapons production resigned on Tuesday in anticipation of another defense role and four other ministers stood down in a major government shake-up at a critical juncture in the war with Russia.

The resignations of Strategic Industries Minister Oleksandr Kamyshin, Deputy Prime Minister Olha Stefanishyna and the justice, environment and reintegration ministers leaves over a third of the cabinet vacant after sackings earlier this year.

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and his political allies could move to fill the positions to create order before he travels this month to the United States, where he hopes to present a "victory plan" to U.S. President Joe Biden, a key ally.


https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2024/09/04/ukraine-cabinet-chief/75068056007/

It's a shakeup and reorg, not coming apart. Fresh energy and drive needed.....
 
Nope. It's a deliberate strategy to pressure Ukraine into placing more anti-missile defenses around cities to protect them from terror attacks, drawing them away from protecting front line troops so they can hit them with glide bombs without taking as many losses. ZSU only as a finite number of air defense systems capable of taking out Russian cruise and ballistic missiles unfortunately, which is why getting those air defense systems is so critical. Patriot systems are just about the only ones that can take out ballistic missiles, which is why the Biden Administration not sending a few more Patriots systems is unforgivable.

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Chloe “Chicongo” Tzang is an intellectually deficient and dishonest traitor.

President Biden has been relentlessly working to get more advanced air defense systems to Ukraine - and not just U.S. supplied advanced air defense systems.

Chloe “Chicongo” Tzang is “unforgivable”.

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Chloe “Chicongo” Tzang is an intellectually deficient and dishonest traitor.

President Biden has been relentlessly working to get more advanced air defense systems to Ukraine - and not just U.S. supplied advanced air defense systems.

Chloe “Chicongo” Tzang is “unforgivable”.

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Don't fool yourself, Laz. Jake Sullivan has slow-walked aid for the last two years and is continually doing his best to kneecap any chance that Ukraine might win. Question for ya. How many Patriot systems does the US have? How many Patriots Systems has the US sent to Ukraine?

Another question for ya. Canada paid the USA for a NASAMs system. Has it been delivered yet? Has it even been ordered?

Another question. How many Bradleys does the US have? How many have we sent to Ukraine?

How many Abrams tanks do we have? How many have we sent to Ukraine?

How many F16's do we have? How many have we sent to Ukraine? Why did we prevent EU countries handing over their F16's to Ukraine immediately?

How many Blackhawks do we have? How many have we sent to Ukraine?

How many A10 Warthogs do we have? How many have we sent to Ukraine?

Gosh. How many M198 155mm howitzers do we have? How many have we sent to Ukraine? We don't even use them anymore.

That 6 months where we didn't send 155mm artillery ammo to Ukraine? We still had the funding. We were still manufacturing 155mm ammo? Where did it go and who sent it there?

Don't be so fucking stupid. Biden has been working relentlessly to drip feed aid to Ukraine and stop Russia losing. Ukraine of course will win despite Biden.
 
Fun night in Novorossiysk, the large remaining Black Sea russian navy base and commercial seaport, one of Russia’s largest by volume and among the biggest in Europe, crucial to the export of Russian grain, oil, and other products to countries around the world. The port is under attack by Ukrainian amphibious drones. The mayor Andrey Kravchenko requests citizens stay away from the port. And the shore. And their windows. The Katsapas moved the remnants of their Black Sea Fleet there. Wonder how much of it will be left by the morning?

 
Between 1858 and 1900 the Russian Empire annexed over 950,000 square Km of land in east and North East Asia from Imperial China using support from UK and France to steal this land (The Amur Annexation) China has never accepted the forced treaties. Eventually Putin is gunna get the bill from Xi for his support in Ukraine. It seems to me that the USA should probably encourage Xi to direct his attention to the Amur Basin rather than at Taiwan. Putting the old border back would also put North Korea entirely at China's mercy which might be no bad thing.
 
It's a shakeup and reorg, not coming apart. Fresh energy and drive needed.....
Here's who people should be listening to if they want to know what is actually happening in Ukraine and what is likely to happen in the future:




 
Here's who people should be listening to if they want to know what is actually happening in Ukraine and what is likely to happen in the future:




MacGregor continues to be a Russian stooge.

If you can sync up RT.com articles with your preferred analyst, ypu are listening to the propaganda.
 
MacGregor continues to be a Russian stooge.

If you can sync up RT.com articles with your preferred analyst, ypu are listening to the propaganda.
You are an idiot. McGregor is a national hero and great American patriot, so is Daniel Davis both men are command level decorated combat veterans.
 
You are an idiot. McGregor is a national hero and great American patriot, so is Daniel Davis both men are command level decorated combat veterans.
I've seen both of their releases.....they consistently align perfectly with RT.com horseshit with no deviation.

Much like you.
 
I've seen both of their releases.....they consistently align perfectly with RT.com horseshit with no deviation.

Much like you.
You have zero credibility on the subject since anything negative about Ukraine or the Biden administration is Russian propaganda and we know all about your lies and pleadings about and to "Russian propaganda."

McGregor, Davis, and Mearsheimer and many others are right on top of the subject. They have inside credible sources both here and in Europe. You have been lied to, just like you've been lied to about every fucking war America has had, all the way back to Vietnam. You've being lied to right now by the Biden Administration about what is happening in Ukraine. You haven't listened to any of their analysis.

Ukraine is in the process of being defeated strategically. NATO and the Biden administration is being defeated in the process as well...as predicted. Aside from a nuclear exchange, the outcome of this war and Ukraine's future will be dictated by the Russians who have said that negotiations are now off the table. The Russians have said they now they consider themselves at war with the "West," which the "West" as we speak is in no condition whatsoever to prosecute such a war. This is going to end in failure, just like Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan. In all of which the American people were thoroughly lied to by their government about their operational success and probably outcome.
 
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