For Posterity

Since this is what I do for a living (well, use to before becoming upper management)
Here are the current results of my model:

I have a current prevalence of 5.4%. So 17.8m cases, 38k deaths, .21% mortality
By the end of year prevalence will be 6.97%. So 23million cases, mortality stays constant for 49k deaths. W/O social distance the numbers would have been 37mill and 78k deaths at a prevalence of 11.34%

This compares to the flu at 35mill and 34k deaths.

So now you all can come back in 2021 and laugh at how wrong my numbers turn out because you don’t understand how models work...

https://i.imgflip.com/590o27.jpg
 
Since this is what I do for a living (well, use to before becoming upper management)
Here are the current results of my model

So now you all can come back in 20212 and laugh at how wrong my numbers turn out because you don’t understand how models work...
6a22bd1f132b83660b57748c22f5dd42.jpg

Shame we only have his idiot father to kick around these days.
 
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