Just the Polls

Democratic anxiety over Biden not reflected in latest key state numbers

NC-based pollster


New polling indicates that President Joe Biden’s reelection chances may not have been damaged by his poor presidential debate performance on June 27 as much as many members of his own party originally thought or, in some cases, continue to believe.

In an interview recorded on Tuesday for the NC Newsline radio show/podcast News & Views, veteran pollster Tom Jensen of the Raleigh-based national polling firm Public Policy Polling said that while the immediate impact of his widely panned performance on poll numbers “looked pretty bad for Biden,” the president has since rebounded. This, said Jensen, is a fairly typical and unsurprising development.

👍🏻🇺🇲🦅
 
Not a poll but an informative article on prediction markets. Polymarket, the blockchain exchange that’s getting a large amount of attention in this election, is profiled along with another startup called Kalshi.

Will Biden Drop Out? The Biggest Question in America Is the Newest Hot Market​

Prediction markets can provide a clear signal through even the most deafening noise. That’s why Americans are obsessively refreshing this one.​


https://www.wsj.com/tech/polymarket...051gaii5afjx137&reflink=article_copyURL_share
What? Not a poll?? Look out!! Here comes the waaaaaaambulance.
 
Triggered dipshits apparently need to be heard.

Bb is the resident on that ..perhaps ask him for advice
 
Forecast models are not polls. The models attempt to provide a predictive outlook. Polls attempt to provide a snapshot at a point in time. The two models that have gotten a lot of attention are Nate Silver’s and the FiveThirtyEight model which Nate originally developed but has been owned by Disney for a number of years and is maintained and tuned by a different analytics team.

 
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