Kantarii
I'm Not A Bitch!
- Joined
- May 9, 2016
- Posts
- 9,360
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/b...ait-hormuz-causing-oil-prices-skyrocket-55092
"But for all of Tehran’s bluster, an outright Iranian closure of the Strait remains highly unlikely. That is because, even though the Iranian regime has the military might to do so (something the U.S. intelligence community has been warning about for years), the strategic consequences would be ruinous for Tehran.
As one military official explained privately a few years ago, “if Iran closes the Strait, it will remain closed.” In other words, such a step would be treated as a casus belli by the U.S. military, which would respond decisively with an open-ended blockade of its own. That would have disastrous consequences for the Iranian regime, which relies on oil exports for more than a third of its federal budget.""
However, when faced with crippling sanctions, why wouldn't they?
Funny you mentioned “crippling sanctions” Russia and North Korea are in the same boat and they aren’t stupid enough to start a war over sanctions that have all but crippled their countries. Iran is just huffing and puffing. Let them blockade that narrow waterway into the Persian Gulf and see what happens. It won’t be WW3, but it sure as Hell isnt going to be pretty.