Taiwan Election

[ChinaBandit]

It will be interesting to see if Mr. Ma (Kuomintang Party) is able to win re-election.

A victory over Tsai Ling Wen (Democratice Progressive Party) will ensure continuation of Taiwan's current, peaceful, path toward re-unification with the PRC. Tsai Ling's party favors a decleration of formal independence. Despite economic difficulties, "the" issue in this and any Taiwan national election is cross-straits relations.

It is expected that 76%-80% of eligible Taiwanese voters will go to the polls.

We shall watch.

 

[KingOrfeo]

A victory over Tsai Ling Wen (Democratice Progressive Party) will ensure continuation of Taiwan's current, peaceful, path toward re-unification with the PRC.

Seriously?! Would Taiwan willingly unite with the PRC so long as it remains the PRC? I'm mean, that's not quite as preposterous an idea as SK surrendering to NK, but it's up there.

 

[ChinaBandit]

Ma's cut huge trade deals reducing tariffs on exports to the mainland. He helped establish direct flights, shipping and so on. The two have never been closer.

However, Ma has never verbalized the notion of unification. He HAS verbally rejected a formal decleration of independence. That is significant.

It will greatly de-stabilize progressive cross-straits relations if he loses.

 

[KingOrfeo]

If Taiwan ever does declare independence, what happens then?

 

[ChinaBandit]

If Taiwan ever does declare independence, what happens then?

I'm not sure I want to think that through, if Tsai does win, may have to...

 

[ChinaBandit]

It looks like Ma is going to win by 6% or so.

Cross-straits relations will remain stable.