Frisco_Slug_Esq
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Obama could put everyone to work tomorrow, with a Living Wage, if he created enough committees and boards and panels, like he does for lawyers.
I want to be Bored Czar!
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Obama could put everyone to work tomorrow, with a Living Wage, if he created enough committees and boards and panels, like he does for lawyers.
I want to be Bored Czar!
Why Obama’s Desperate Move Could Send Oil Prices Soaring!
by Kevin Kerr on June 29, 2011
in Stocks
The sudden announcement last week that the International Energy Agency (IEA) would release strategic oil supplies onto the world markets caused a significant selloff. And crude oil prices dropped around $9 in about two days.
Mission accomplished? Hardly!
The 60 million barrel release from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is merely a drop in the bucket of global usage, and will likely have the opposite effect on prices longer term. The move is simply more psychological window dressing for the comic theater that is happening in Washington right now. It would be funny, if it wasn’t so sad.
In fact, it’s really a sign of …
Desperate Measures
By releasing supplies from the SPR with crude at around $90, if prices do run up again, the administration will have to fill the SPR back up at a higher price. And as shown in the chart below, a big chunk of that oil will come from outside our borders.
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve is intended solely for emergencies that threaten the U.S. economy or national security.
It’s another foolish rob-Peter-to-pay-Paul action by the imploding U.S. government.
The careless action taken by the IEA and President Obama, has now underscored how worried they actually are about global economic growth and tight supplies. So in essence this move could actually stoke the fire to drive prices much higher, much more quickly.
In a recent Bloomberg report, Caroline Bain, of the Economist Intelligence Unit, was quoted as saying:
“Although the immediate impact of the IEA’s reserve release will be to depress prices, in the more medium term, it could actually be bullish for prices. Reserves are finite and cannot be released forever.”
Unlike Uncle Ben’s printing press that never seems to run out of ink, oil supplies are not something the U.S. government can simply print more of.
To put the gravity of the situation in perspective, this is only the third time in the past 50 years that IEA has released strategic reserves. And in order to tap the SPR, President Obama had to authorize it.
Frighteningly, the prior two times resulted in super-spikes. And I think we can expect that record to hit 3-0 very shortly.
It’ll Be Different This Time,
Just Not in a Good Way
Many things are very different this time around that make it even more unlikely this small release of oil will have any measured impact to the downside.
For instance, we don’t have the added supplies of barrels of North Sea Crude to help cushion prices.
Supplies from Norway are falling fast, and Norwegian oil production decline is devastating. The figures from some of the producers are downright scary …
According to reports, production has fallen in the region by more than 20 percent from 1991 levels. Problems have included: Corrosion of old infrastructures combined with a lack of proper investments prior to the merger of Norway’s two largest oil groups, Statoil and Norsk Hydro.
Meanwhile production from Mexico’s oil fields, which the U.S. also has counted on heavily in the past, is also falling drastically. So the likelihood of the SPR release bringing any sustained relief to oil prices and thus consumers, is highly unlikely.
No Real Answers …
Just Fairy Tales!
The recent correction in commodities across the board is a welcome opportunity for those who can step out of the land of unicorns and candy canes for a moment, and see the true disaster that is unfolding before us, especially in the energy sector.
Bloomberg recently quoted a top trader, Michael Cuggino, who helps manage $13.5 billion at Permanent Portfolio Funds in San Francisco:
“I still like the growth story. Commodity prices are going to continue to go higher. Worldwide, the economy continues to grow and monetary policy is going to stay relatively consistent with no changes.”
Amen.
Basically, by wasting valuable years that could have been used for research and development, drilling, and creation of alternatives, the U.S. has set itself up to be dependent on oil supplies from people whose ultimate goal is to destroy us.
A nightmare.
Couple that with the ongoing endless printing of dollars by the Fed and the ever-rising debt ceiling, and you have a recipe for disaster. So what is an investor to do?
Advertisement
Bent Over a Barrel
As investors and consumers we have to choose our own belief in what the reality of the situation in the U.S. is right now. But clearly job losses and lower wages, at the same time as rising food and energy costs, are a very bad combination. Regardless of what some government reports may show.
The national debt just seems to grow and grow and grow, and yet no real answers are being sought on how to change the underlying problems. And the partisan bickering and lack of any true energy policy in the U.S. is the biggest joke of all.
We need oil — and lots of it — to make everything from bubble gum to shower curtains to bandages.
The fact of the matter is that when it comes to oil supplies the U.S. is bent over a barrel and not doing anything about it. The days of cheap energy supplies are over. And that translates into higher costs for everything that uses oil or related products. Transportation, manufacturing, industrial, building … you name it. Basically everything.
The bottom line: We all have exposure to higher oil prices, so we must find a way to invest in the rise to offset some of the costs and even profit from the inevitable.
There are many ways to invest in the energy markets … from commodity futures and options to individual energy stocks. But often the volatility and risks of these vehicles can dissuade some investors.
However one of the best ways I know for investing in rising energy prices are key energy ETFs, and ETF options should you want more leverage. Here are two possible opportunities you might consider:
PowerShares DB Oil (DBO): To play energy in the short-term, futures-based ETFs such as DBO are designed to help you accomplish that. While these funds aren’t intended to track the spot price of oil, they’ll often correlate better than equity-based funds.
SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P (XOP): Oil companies have been raking in profits hand over fist for the last several years, so it only makes sense that higher oil prices will continue that trend. And with this IEA-inspired pullback we could see those prices surge even more. So XOP, which tracks the performance of the oil and gas exploration and production portion of the S&P Total Market Index, could be a real winner.
There are many more oil-related ETFs to keep your eye on, and you can expect more to come out as this story is just heating up.
Yours for resource profits,
Kevin
Kevin Kerr has successfully traded commodities professionally for the last 22+ years. He a regular contributor to news outlets including CNBC, CNN, FOX News, CBS Evening News, and Nightly Business Report.
Keep standing up for the "Vettebigot version" of freedom instead of actual freedom. Hypocrite.
Needs reading, therefore, I quote...
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FoxNews? He's a liar, misinformed, stupid, RACIST!
__________________
Sideshow Barry Barker 2012 Says: "It's NOT the economy, Stupid!" It's the Birthers! The Tea Party! SARAH PALIN!
RACISM!!!
http://pajamasmedia.com/tatler/files/2011/04/obama-wide-grin80.jpg
So, the remaining economic question is:
When will the Federal Government institute a national Lottery in order to raise revenues?
They can state that all revenues will go to fund health care programs.
Look what I found!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
A DUMOH pollster who basically says
Dont defend the so called recovery, cause there isnt any
I know, he is a JEW, he is WHITE, he has no PhD.....so CURRY POON can attack him
..Mixed Message: Should Obama Stop Trying to Defend the Recovery?
Time.com – 2 hrs 32 mins ago
........
.Stanley Greenberg, the Democratic pollster who helped elect President Bill Clinton, South Africa's Nelson Mandela and Israel's Ehud Barak, says all of his clients have had the same, sometimes terrible, instinct: "They want to prove that their economic policies have worked."
In times of plenty, that gut feeling is right. The nation cheered the gangbusters growth under Ronald Reagan in 1984, and the mid-1990s Clinton economic boom. But when the economy is sour, politicians who litigate the past risk sounding tone-deaf to the troubles of the present. This is why Greenberg is now speaking up. He fears President Obama may make a huge mistake by trying to convince voters he saved the economy from a much worse fate. "No one is going to give you much credit for what you have done for this recovery," says Greenberg, who has been testing messages in focus groups and polls for Democrats to use in the coming election. "Saying the economy is starting to make progress is bad." (See why Washington has no plans to ride to the economic rescue.)
President Obama's own strategists agree - but only in part. New projections of tepid economic growth under 3%, and unemployment over 8.5%, have all but erased hopes that Obama can run for reelection as the guy who saved America from the worst economic crises since the Great Depression. It's not a convincing message when four out of five Americans still rate the economy as "poor." So Obama has shifted to a message of "winning the future," touting an "innovation" agenda. "The question is who has the vision to move the country forward," says Daniel Pfeiffer, the White House communications director.
But behind the scenes, there is a fierce debate in Democratic circles about just how much Obama should also be focused on explaining the recent past. As it now stands, the President's stump speech features a backward-looking message at its core. Obama trumpets "more than 2 million jobs in the private sector" that have been created in the last 15 months. At a recent speech in Ohio he dismissed May's bad jobs numbers as "bumps on the road to recovery." In Greenberg's estimation, this is an error on par with President Obama's midterm election pitch, which described the nation as a car that had just gotten out of a ditch that Republicans drove into in the first place. The metaphor didn't work, Greenberg explained in a recent memo, because "people thought they were still in the ditch."
Those close to Obama say Greenberg is drawing the wrong conclusions. "Nobody is hanging a mission accomplished sign on the economy," shoots back David Axelrod, the President's top message adviser who is now working on the reelection campaign. "Stan seems to feel that you can run for President and be President without putting things in context in any way." Axelrod has argued that a forward-looking message needs to include clear mentions of both the current successes of the President and the Republican approach that Obama believes helped create the current situation. Geoffrey Garin, a pollster for Senate Democrats who has recently conducted focus groups for Priorities USA, a new independent expenditure group that plans to support Obama in 2012, agrees. "'Recovery' is not the right word," Garin says. "But it is important to talk about the progress that is being made and the foundation that is being made for more progress." (See "What U.S. Economic Recovery? Five Destructive Myths.")
Implicit in Greenberg's theory is a mea culpa of sorts, an admission that he misunderstood the public mood in early 2010, when he felt the President's fortunes would be helped by modest economic improvement. "I still thought that the economy was going to kick in," he said.
But after polling and holding focus groups, Greenberg came to realize that the real concern over the economy dates further than the 2008 collapse, to an entire decade of economic stagnation for the middle class. Recovery from the financial crisis, even if it were happening faster, would not be enough. When Greenberg tested messages trumpeting the recent rebound, or blaming the economy on Republican mismanagement before 2008, the results were dismal, he says. Voters did not want to hear it. They responded more positively to messages about long-term fixes, like rebuilding the middle class and taking on China, or moving beyond the politics of blame.
Just how to calibrate that message will be a key early test for the Obama campaign. Obama has already offered several formulations, calling for "nation building here at home" in a recent primetime address on Afghanistan, and arguing that the Republicans spending plans amount to a "vision of our future that's deeply pessimistic." Obama strategists have already set their sights on the final months of the campaign, when they hope to make the election a choice between Obama and his Republican challenger, not a referendum on the last three years.
Republicans, meanwhile, are focused squarely on Obama's job creation record. "The President has failed" has become GOP frontrunner Mitt Romney's refrain. But Greenberg argues that such a strategy could backfire just as well on Romney. "If they make the election about 'Did we get the stimulus right?,' and we make the election about how to create jobs, we win that," Greenberg argues. "That could be a trap for them."
the big question, how far are we from becoming the next Greece
So, the remaining economic question is:
When will the Federal Government institute a national Lottery in order to raise revenues?
They can state that all revenues will go to fund health care programs.
Reason and history is of no consequence to those bent on re-writing it.
You need to pay attention, while all of the leftists here were calling for Bush's impeachment over the war, which he had total congressional authorization to conduct, I was suggesting he be impeached for failure to "take care that the laws be faithfully executed," in the matter of illegal immigration, which as we know is a constitutionally charged duty of the President.
Because in our country, and apparently unknown to you, they have the same right to speak that you do.![]()