Where is the post-convention bump?

[ChinaBandit]

Isn't there suppose to be one?

I took a look at Real Clear Politics today and the array of polls (post convention) really don't appear to have changed.

Should Romney be concerned?

 

[phrodeau]

There wasn't much of a VP announcement bump either. Obama has been gaining support since mid-August, according to electoral-vote.com.

 

[The_Trouvere]

Right now the President has an advantage of 0.3 percent. That is razor thin, but he has usually been ahead.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

Although most Americans are worse off than they were before Obama was inaugurated, most realize that the Republicans do not have better ideas.

Republicans like to complain about the unemployment rate. They are really gloating.

There is no reason to suppose that tax cuts for the rich will reduce the national debt, or that cuts in government spending will reduce the unemployment rate.

Obama will get a slight bump after his nomination. I doubt the economy will change much before November. This election will be decided by the debates.

 

[LinearMan]

Oh, boy...

 

[phrodeau]

From electoral-vote.com:
8/20 Obama 284, Romney 241, ties 13
8/21 Obama 284, Romney 241, ties 13
8/22 Obama 297, Romney 241
8/23 Obama 297, Romney 241
8/24 Obama 297, Romney 212, ties 29
8/25 Obama 297, Romney 212, ties 29
8/26 Obama 297, Romney 212, ties 29
8/27 Obama 297, Romney 212, ties 29
8/28 Obama 326, Romney 212
8/29 Obama 332, Romney 206
8/30 Obama 332, Romney 206
8/31 Obama 332, Romney 206
9/1 Obama 332, Romney 206

 

[Balcor44]

.....

 

[KingOrfeo]

Tells you a lot about Romney doesn't it? Best he can do is poll even with one of the worst Presidents in history. Romney was by far the weakest GOP candidate to nominate.

Except for all the others. Seriously. If it were Gingrich or Paul or Santorum, it wouldn't even be close, Obama would be kicking ass all the way.

 

[Balcor44]

.....

 

[Liar]

There wasn't much of a VP announcement bump either. Obama has been gaining support since mid-August, according to electoral-vote.com.

That red line. Ryan announcment, or the day after.

There hasn't been a Palin bump, which was like six points or something. Otoh, I don't think there will also be a Palin implosion .

 

[Wrong Element]

The race has been pretty static all year long, in keeping with the thinking that there just aren't that many undecided voters.

 

[JAMESBJOHNSON]

Bottomline:

America is divided into two camps. One camp wants to hold on to its government check, and the other camp wants a government check. Obama wins if he convinces both camps that he's the guy who can make their wishes come true. Romney is the consolation prize for the unhappy losers.

 

[The_Trouvere]

Ron Paul polled best against Obama. He led Obama by a fair margin in every poll I saw him going against just Obama. That's including the media bias against him. Imagine if he had faux news (and others) out there kissing his feet like Romney has had for over a year. When the media puts your policies in a favorable light and keps them in the news daily, people tend to recognize you more.

When Ron Paul was still in the race Barack Obama was beating him comfortably in all of the major polls.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...eneral_election_paul_vs_obama-1750.html#polls

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Isn't there suppose to be one?

I took a look at Real Clear Politics today and the array of polls (post convention) really don't appear to have changed.

Should Romney be concerned?

Did you look at this morning's Drudge?

Gallup and Rassmussen are showing it. RCP use rolling averages, so it takes a while to reflect any real changes, but with the power line-up headed into Charlotte, Obama should get his Jagger back especially when OWS gets all wound up and reminds us what this election is about...

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

The race has been pretty static all year long, in keeping with the thinking that there just aren't that many undecided voters.

This is true and why the Democrats are going so negative, to fire up their base and depress the independent and conservative voters.

I hope it works. I'm digging another four years of Obamanomics...

Give the mob what it demands.

Free prosperity.



Da!

 

[run_silent]

Maybe Americans have discovered that the conventions are infomercials and just don't care. Maybe we will gain some info if no one care about the Dem. infomercial.

I care about politics but since they started broadcasting them on TV both parties have figured out that coronations are better than debates of ideas.

 

[ChinaBandit]

Zero bounce

 

[RobDownSouth]

Isn't there suppose to be one?

I took a look at Real Clear Politics today and teh array of polls (post convention) really don't appear to have changed.

Should Romney be concerned?

Romney got a three point bounce, third smallest bounce in teh modern era.

 

[phrodeau]

From electoral-vote.com:
8/20 Obama 284, Romney 241, ties 13
8/21 Obama 284, Romney 241, ties 13
8/22 Obama 297, Romney 241
8/23 Obama 297, Romney 241
8/24 Obama 297, Romney 212, ties 29
8/25 Obama 297, Romney 212, ties 29
8/26 Obama 297, Romney 212, ties 29
8/27 Obama 297, Romney 212, ties 29
8/28 Obama 326, Romney 212
8/29 Obama 332, Romney 206
8/30 Obama 332, Romney 206
8/31 Obama 332, Romney 206
9/1 Obama 332, Romney 206

9/2 Obama 332, Romney 206
9/3 Obama 332, Romney 206
9/4 Obama 332, Romney 206
9/5 Obama 332, Romney 206
9/6 Obama 332, Romney 206
9/7 Obama 332, Romney 206
9/8 Obama 332, Romney 206
9/9 Obama 332, Romney 206
9/10 Obama 347, Romney 191