LJ_Reloaded
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- Joined
- Apr 3, 2010
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I wonder how many others would do the same at this point.
https://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/politics/479180-the-data-is-clear-a-woman-could-win-in-2020
https://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/politics/479180-the-data-is-clear-a-woman-could-win-in-2020
The most powerful evidence for the argument that a woman could be elected president in 2020 and beyond comes from the changing electorate. Political scientists, such as Gary Jacobson, argued Gen Z and millennial generations have been socialized into politics differently, especially during the Obama presidency, so that they view politics differently than previous generations.
In research with my colleague Whitney Manzo, we have found that members of the Gen Z and millennial generations are about 20 percent more favorable to women as political leaders. Even more significantly, voters in these groups are more interested in the qualities they see women as possessing more than men — such as empathy and the ability to compromise— even more than older generations of voters. Given that members of these generations will make up about 37 percent of the electorate in 2020, according to Pew, these attitudes about women leaders are significant.
Because the electorate is changing and younger voters with their more progressive attitudes are becoming a more significant force in electoral politics, the overt sexism used in the 2016 campaign may damage Republicans and Donald Trump in 2020. Evidence from the 2018 elections suggest that Trump’s sexist campaign and statements he has made in the White House may have cost Republicans races that they could have otherwise won. Tufts’ Brian Schaffner argues that this sexism has created a branding problem for the Republican Party among some Republican and Republican-leaning voters. Recent polling by CNN and other organizations suggest that the gender gap is growing for Trump and may reach historic levels in 2020. Even Republican and Republican-leaning women, particularly those with college educations, appear turned off by Trump’s constant attacks on women.
With three women remaining in the Democratic presidential process, there is the possibility that the 2020 general election will have another matchup between a man and woman representing the major political parties. Each of the remaining Democratic women —Warren, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-Hawaii) — have their particular challenges in a potential matchup with Donald Trump. This year, gender is not one of them.