For Those Who Might Be Wondering Why We Might Be In Ukraine

Russian state media says these are Russian assault troops about to attack ukr trenches. 2 mags. 60 bullets. Do you know how fast you can use up 2 mags. The intention here is that as they die, the survivors take the remaining mags and rounds from the dead. 80% of these guys will die as they move up thru the gray zone before they each the contact line. 90% of them will be dead within hours of coming into contact with the ZSU. Sayonara, meat. Also, the "plate" in their plate carriers is as often as not fake armor from cntractors skimming the money, and the helmets are ....not much use.

As a general rule, the Russian officers don't trust their own soldiers. They hand out weapons shortly before a mission and issue them only 2 magazines because 90% of them are expected to die almost immediately.


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As a general rule.
 
Winter is arriving in Russia and gasoline for cars is now being rationed. MIles lomnhg queues at some gas stations. There are now reports of people in russia freezing to death in parked cars while waiting for gas that is not coming... how tragic. In the region of Khabarovsk Krai, lines are now a day long at the few stations that still have supply.

 
More examples of the ongoing ZSU reorganization into a more effective combat and command structure

The 12th Tank Battalion is the foundation for the new 12th Heavy Mechanized Brigade. The 29th Tank Battalion is the foundation for the new 29th Heavy Mechanized Brigade. There will be a heavy mechanized brigade in each corps but it wasn’t reported where the 12th and 29th brigades will be assigned. All tank units are now assigned to a regiment or brigade with the exception of the 300th Training Tank Regiment, so there are now no more independent combat tank units.

Territorial Defense Forces were regional reserve forces that operated as separate battalions.
- There are currently 51 separate TD battalions and they will all be assigned to a TD brigade. T
- This will simplify the command structure and is very much in line with the spirit of the Corps-Brigade reorganization.
 
A beautiful sight of a falling Russian Mi-8, shot down today by FPV drone. Unfortunately the crew survived

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This news is just breaking... the Russians apparently had clobbered starokostyontyniv airbase.....
At least five (five) us supplied f 16's and an undisclosed number of British storm-shadow missiles were obliterated..also reported that a large number of NATO instructors, targeting personnel and service personnel were killed in a twin hypersonic Missile attack...this is being reported by/from the Ukrainians.......FAFO.......
More to come as information is released.....
Add to the mix us m1 Abrams tanks were spotted on rail cars heading to the ukie border...
Commentary..... with the gathering of the masses, the undescribable death toll of the Ukrainian army, the deployment of the 101st to the Ukrainian/polish border.... it's beginning to look as if the United States and (fucking) NATO are going to invade Ukraine..... (fuck me, just fuck me).....welp your fucking democrats wanted a world war my it be every thing your disgusting heart desires 😡

if this is the news that’s ‘just breaking’ why hasn’t it broken?

If you’re not on Pravda’s payroll you should be.
 
Shades of things to come

Ukraine's Neptune Strike on the Elektrodetal Plant​

On September 29, Ukraine struck the Elektrodetal plant in Karachev, Bryansk region, with Neptune cruise missiles. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported the use of four missiles, with the Ukrainian Navy later confirming their type. According to the Defense Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Elektrodetal plant is a key supplier of connectors used widely across russian industry, including the aerospace sector. Components from this plant have been identified in russian weapons systems, notably the Khimera FPV drone. This is the sort of strategic hit that creates major bottlenecks in Russia's supply chain. This is a really specialist factory that supplies components to 1500 other factories and produces ariod 25,000 diffweent compoenents.

Quite an important plant producing electrical connectors that are used throughout Russian industry and military-industrial products​

Two things to note here:
(1) this plant was hit by FOUR Neptune cruise missiles. A far as I know, this is the first use of that many cruise missiles to hit a single target by Ukraine so far in the war. They've used ones and twos, but I haven't come across four used for a single strike. This would seem to indicate that Ukrainian cruise missile production is picking up and they now have sufficient missiles stockpiled to be able to use miltiple cruise missiles (with larger warheads) on a single target. We can probably expect more of these on an ongoing basis.

(2) Russian air defence has collapsed. This is a really strategic target. It was hit by FOUR cruise missiles. Ergo, Russian air defence here was either useless or non-existent. The extrapolation from this is that Ukraine is free t pretrty much target and hot whatever it chooses - active Russian air defense is collapsing, Ukraine has opened up lanes through, and Russia can expect more and mpre hits like this pretty much at Ukraine's whim. On top of this was a recent report that there is such a lack of air defence missiles that Russia is drafting their (trained specialist) SAM crews into the infantry for use in the meatgrinder. THAT indicates their air defense is kaput.

Not a good time to be a Russian air defence general

 

The TRUTH of Russia’s War When the Cameras Are Off


Russian propaganda paints triumphant soldiers returning as heroes, but the reality tells a darker story. Behind the staged celebrations lie rising crime, untreated trauma, and a war economy consuming Russia’s future. Veterans return with violence, addiction, and despair, while ordinary citizens see social services collapse. What's going on in Russia now is far worse than the return of the Afghan veterans....a social disaster in the making.

This one's well worth a watch - Russia has sown the seeds for it's internal collapse into chaos already

 

Ukraine assassinates Russian lieutenant colonel far from front lines


A Russian National Guard senior officer and two other service members were killed in a Ukrainian intelligence operation in the North Caucasus on Sept. 27, Ukraine's military intelligence (HUR) said. The lieutenant colonel, his aide, and a driver were killed near the village of Tambukan in Russia's Stavropol Krai while traveling to a training ground, the agency revealed on Sept. 30. HUR released footage of the Russian officer being watched from afar, and a subsequent explosion hitting his moving vehicle.

Ukraine's intelligence and security services have been linked to a number of assassinations targeting Russian military officers far from the front lines since the start of the full-scale invasion in 2022.

The assassinated officer was identified as the commander of the Avangard unit of Russia's National Guard, tasked with maintaining public order and combating "terrorism" and "illegal armed groups." The operation was carried out with the support of a group called the "Caucasus Liberation Movement," HUR said, without providing additional details. The Kyiv Independent was unable to verify the claims. Tambukan lies in southwestern Russia, some 80 kilometers (50 miles) north of the Georgian border and about 650 kilometers (400 miles) from the front lines in Ukraine. The North Caucasus is one of Russia's most volatile regions, with a long history of insurgency, radicalism, and ethnic tensions.

https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine...lonel-far-from-front-lines-intelligence-says/
 
Ukraine Strike on Belgorod

Nice assessment of the Ukrainian strike on Belgiorod's electrical plant, taking out electricity for a third of the city, affecting thousands of residents, cutting of water and electricity



 
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Russian oil shortages reach Moscow as Kremlin halts oil exports due to Ukrainian Strikes


Interview with Australian General (Rtd) Mick Ryan


"Ukraine has two strike campaigns going at the moment. One is economic warfare, which is targeting Russian oil infrastructure with an aim of degrading the export revenue and their ability to fund the war. The other campaign is targeting military operational and strategic targets."

The US is considering providing more support for Ukrainian strikes as Russia's oil industry appears to be severely crippled, Maj. Gen. Mick Ryan tells Frontline.

 

The Pressure Is Dialing Up on Russia’s Oil Network || Peter Zeihan


From Zeijan on Geopolitics. "It's kind of exciting!" Zeihan is a pretty knpwledgable commentator and he gets into impacts on the Russian oil network here
- Russians are at a crisis point
- Russian pipeline exports shut down
- Russian maritime ponts (the only other way of exporting) are being shutdown.
- Russia doesn't have massive tank farms, oil pipeline pressure builds up
- Russians may have to shut down wellhead production - wells will freeze up and may have to be redrilled
- Repairs to refineries take time - a lot f the technologyisimported
- Ship (Tanker) insurance being cancelled

 
No, all armor is subject to the drone warfare and as far as 101st, over the previous few years the new face of warfare is being studied and soldiers are being trained with that threat in mind, however that being said actual field experience is the best or worst however which way you view it🤷‍♀️
The "possibility" of Zelensky using a dirty bomb? Then what? The retaliation would be decisively ruinous for the ukies Russia possess the largest, fastest and the most nuclear weapons arsenal.....

So, here's a scenario for you......and some facts, all in all China will stand with Russia. They need Russia for oil and Iran for yellow cake....the only way the ukies can fight is because of the United States it's Zelensky's only hope... the EU is helpless, take a hard look at Europe they have bought into their own delusion......they have no military industry to speak of. I could go on but you get the idea.....
Now for the scenario.... Russia is on the ropes, the Chinese know this, a single simple phone call goes out to that fat fuck in North Korea (China's house slave) a single 22 wheeled missile launcher rolls out into firing position and launches an icbm carrying a mrved war head targeting Washington dc...the gears of war spin up to counter the attack. Currently we have just 44 intercept missiles capable of stopping an icbm.....they fail..... 14 minutes later a North Korean submarine launches another icbm 100 miles off the coast of California targeting Diablo nuclear power plant....4 minute flight time...and so it begins..... in 72 minutes the west is plunged into an unrecoverable nightmare...... there's more, but you have the overall view..... oh and the nuke that strikes Diablo poisons the west coast all the way to Colorado for 10 thousand years...... think about this a while.....there more, much more.....

BTW, it was announced about six weeks ago that there is an up coming military exercise in Poland and that's why the 101st is there. This is a NATO exercise.
 
BTW, it was announced about six weeks ago that there is an up coming military exercise in Poland and that's why the 101st is there. This is a NATO exercise.

Yep, and anyone who could be arsed would have found that out on x.

But I s’pose if your FSB handlers tell you to just throw some shit at the wall in the hope that some fools believe you…..well, you just have to post it.

Such is Buffalo’s dilemma.
 

Russia Launches Massive Strikes On Kyiv As Kupiansk Ready To Fall​

https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/thumbnail/public/pictures/picture-5.jpg
by Tyler Durden
Tuesday, Sep 30, 2025 - 03:45 AM
Russia unleashed one of the largest missile and drone barrages of the war on September 27-28. The strikes targeted areas across Ukraine but the capital of Kyiv suffered notable damage.

Beyond Kyiv, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that the bombardment targeted the regions of Zaporizhzhia, Khmelnytskyi, Sumy, Mykolaiv, Chernihiv, and Odesa. Zelenskyy wrote on X that at least 40 people were wounded across the country. Later, Ukraine’s Interior Ministry stated the number of the wounded rose to 70, with more than 100 civilian objects damaged.

The attack was carried out using nearly 600 drones and 48 missiles. Ukraine continues to make grand claims on interceptions, asserting that air defenses shot down or jammed 566 drones and 45 missiles. Interception estimates rarely match with damage estimates, with Zelensky asking for more Patriot missiles from any country that will sell them.

Ukrainian public broadcaster hromadske, citing Andrii Besedin, Head of Kupiansk City Military Administration, on the national joint 24/7 newscast, stated that:

"The situation is critical. In addition to sabotage and reconnaissance groups that have infiltrated or are infiltrating the city, the enemy carries out extensive attacks on the city and the surrounding territory. The proximity of the front line enables them to strike with everything in their arsenal: tanks, mortars, artillery and multiple-launch rocket systems. Guided aerial bombs are being dropped daily on the territory of the Kupiansk hromada. Fibre-optic FPV drones that cannot be jammed by electronic warfare are effectively hunting civilians and vehicles. Every route into and through the city, all logistical routes are, unfortunately, under the watch of enemy drones."

More here: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russia-launches-massive-strikes-kyiv-kupiansk-ready-fall
 
Ukraine Announces Gripens for Ukraine - Sweden confirms Gripen talks

And there it is, Ukraine will receive JAS-39 Gripen!
🇸🇪⚔️🇺🇦 We are expecting the delivery of Swedish Gripen fighters to #Ukraine, – Deputy Defense Minister Havryliuk
Ukraine will receive Swedish fourth-generation Gripen multi-role fighter jets for the first time, said Ukraine's Deputy Defense Minister.
Ukraine will receive Swedish Gripen jets for the first time, along with new F-16s and Mirages, — Ministry of Defense.
Just announced in Swedish press, Sweden to send 16-18 Gripen to Ukraine

Ukraine is expecting additional deliveries of F-16, French Mirage and Swedish Gripen fighters. Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine, Lieutenant General Ivan Havryliuk said this in an interview with the BBC on Monday, September 29. Havryliuk noted that since the summer Ukraine has been receiving military assistance under a new scheme where European allies buy weapons from the United States and transfer them to Ukraine. According to him, this system requires more time for the transfer, but Ukraine should receive additional aircraft. "Additional deliveries of F-16s are expected, as well as French Mirage and Swedish Gripen aircraft," the deputy defense minister said.

Havryliuk emphasized that he would not elaborate on when and how many fighters Ukraine will receive. As the Ukrainian News agency earlier reported, on May 2, the Netherlands sent Ukraine the last F-16 fighter jets. On July 28, the head of the Air Forces Command's communications department, Yurii Ihnat, said that the pilots of the Armed Forces of Ukraine very quickly learned to fly French Mirage 2000 fighters. In July 2024, Ukraine resumed substantive negotiations on the acquisition of Saab JAS-39 Gripen fighters.

Sweden’s Defense Ministry confirmed talks with Ukraine on a possible transfer of Gripen fighter jets but said no decision has been made, Swedish outlet SVT reported on Sept. 30. Deputy Defense Ministry spokesperson Adam Schelin told reporters negotiations are ongoing but stressed there are no concrete agreements. He declined to provide further details. The statement came after Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Ivan Havryliuk told the BBC that Ukraine “expects” additional F-16s, French Mirage jets, and Swedish Gripens from its partners. He did not specify numbers or timelines.

In March 2024, Jonson again noted Sweden did not rule out the possibility of supplying its fighters. Stockholm previously said it first needed to join NATO before starting discussions on transferring Gripens. On May 28, Jonson announced Sweden had suspended plans to provide Gripens so Ukraine could focus on introducing F-16s into service. On June 9, Air Force aviation commander Serhiy Holubtsov said Ukraine already had the necessary infrastructure to host Gripens. Later, Swedish Foreign Minister Tobias Billström said Sweden was ready to provide the jets but that Kyiv had declined, concluding that introducing both F-16s and Gripens simultaneously would be too complex. On Sept. 22, 2024, then–Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov said Kyiv and Western partners were discussing possible deliveries of Gripen and Eurofighter jets.

It seems thinks have been slowly moving forward...... After two years of debate, the long-anticipated deliveries now appear to be moving forward.

https://ukranews.com/en/news/110839...6-mirage-and-gripen-fighters-defense-ministry
https://english.nv.ua/russian-war/s...kraine-but-says-no-decision-yet-50549058.html

 
Russia has just started importing fuel

If Russia starts importing fuel, Moscow is going to absolutely hemorrhage cash. Not only will they not have commercial sales and tax revenue, but they will have to pay for the imports.

 
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