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For Those Who Might Be Wondering Why We Might Be In Ukraine

A nuclear-capable Russian Tu22M3 strategic bomber aircraft that cost $293 million crashed last night in a remote Siberian region. Footage showed the moment it exploded. The cause of the Tu-22M3 going out of control was not immediately revealed. Witnesses said the aircraft broke up in midair before crashing amid fierce explosions. The plane crashed near the village of Mikhailovka in Irkutsk region, some 3,300 miles east of Moscow. While the cause was not given, a routine explanation of a 'technical malfunction' was fed to the Russian media.

The Tu-22M suffered from widespread maintenance problems due to poor manufacturing quality during its service with the Soviet forces. The engines and airframes in particular had short service lives. The Air Force at one point sought to prosecute Tupolev for allegedly rushing the inadequate designs of the Tu-22M and the Tu-160 into service. This was compounded by the government bureaucracy, which hampered the provision of spare parts to allow the servicing of the Tu-22M. In 2024, the Russian Air Force had 57 aircraft in service, according to the 2024 Military Balance report by International Institute for Strategic Studios. In 2023, Ukraine's Main Directorate of Intelligence estimated that Russia had 27 aircraft in operable condition.

Approximately 7 have been destroyed or damaged in drone attacks in the course of the war, Ukraine has shot down one, and this makes the ninth. It's unlikely the Tu22's damaged by drone attacks are repairable in the short term.

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Ukraine did not inform the U.S. military about its surprise cross-border incursion into the Kursk region of southern Russia, a senior defense official said, and has not told the U.S. about its long-term plan following the move. “We didn't get any advanced notification,” the official said Wednesday. “What the Ukrainians were able to do was operational security, and that is something that I think we should be giving credit for. It definitely surprised the Russians.”

But the U.S. is uncertain about Ukraine’s overall objectives after the incursion, and the official said the Pentagon is “asking the Ukrainians what their real intent is, kind of long term, and how it plays into future negotiations.”

LOL. That definitely ensured the plans would not be announced before H-Hour in the NYT and WashPost. Good move by Ukraine there. They're learning if you want to keep OpSec, don't tell the US a single thing. It certainly ensured that Gerasimov wouldn't be alerted about 5 mins after the Pentagon got any info. The US definitely isn't a trusted partner, that's been made plain by the Biden Administration, and I can't say that Trump would be any better.

https://www.defenseone.com/threats/...-heads-about-ukraines-kursk-offensive/398822/
 
BeawulfAR said:
I don't see any demolition of the Dome of the Rock?
Click to expand...
No, they haven't started construction. There is the ritual of the red heifer to be preformed. This ritual needs to be done exactly as it is written in the Bible. The main issue is the red heifer, she must be flawless.....no blemishes, never had a yoke placed on her. all of her hair must be red, be a virgin (heifer). I believe there are a few more requirements, she has to be slaughtered in a prescribed manner by a rabbi of a certain status. Her blood then is used to purify the desecrated holy ground. That the presence of the mosque has defiled. Here's to part that get kinda strange, they(rabbinicals) have scoured the world and located 5 possible heifers in Texas they purchased, and transported them to Israel. Apparently one of the 5 has met the criteria... thus sparking the conflict, or so it seems.
If you are a Christian then you know the implications and the absolute affront/slap in the face this is to the living God...the terrifying part of this entire situation is they are trying to bring their messiah..... thing is they may very well bring their messiah but it may very well be the messiah they don't want..... ie the anti Christ..... there is more but this is an overview
 
At least nine Russian regions send conscripts to in Kursk OblastRussian Telegram channel "Agenstvo. Novosti" says that after Ukraine started its Kursk incursion, relatives of conscripts started complaining about their deployment to the combat zone, either right after basic training, within a few weeks, or even immediately. Some units use it as punishment. According to the channel, residents of nine Russian oblasts and Moscow city reported this. The ZSU has asked that russian conscripts surrender a little more slowly, it seems like they are racing towards Ukrainians to surrender and ZSU is facing challengers with the numbers of prisoners being taken.

In the photo, a platoon of captured (by the ZSU) Russian conscripts are running down a road in Kursk, with their hands clasped over their heads. Some conscript units have surrendered en masse, others that have tried to fight have been annihilated. These young russian conscripts were forcefully sent to the Kursk oblast, mercilessly thrown into the meatgrinder by their command, and were rescued by the Ukrainian soldiers who urged them to surrender. The numbers of Russian POWs Ukraine captured so far during the Kursk Offensive (Operation Triangle) is simply insane. And these aren't just conscripts or FSB Border Guards, they include regular Russian army soldiers, Kadyrovtsi and others...

Now, those conscript units that are being sent in are NOT going to last long. Kids with very little training, not mich in the way of modern equipment, because there is none, and they are going to be against some of the best Ukrainian autonomous brigades (the ones with western training and equipment) that are already being rotated in after the first week of fighting. Russia is also moving units up from the Donbas and Kherson, but these have all suffered heavy losses in the fighting and are only a shadow of what they were and have largely been rebuilt with mobiks.

Over the last few days, we have seen the mass-surrender of several Russian units, a first for this war. The biggest surrender was that by a part of the 488th Motor-Rifle Regiment, plus a squad of the 204th Spetsnaz Regiment of the Akhmat. They held a large field fortification with plentiful of ammo, food, and water. They could apparently have resisted there a considerable time but instead surrendered to a squad of 14 operators from the ZSU's Alpha SBU. A total of 102 went into captivity…. Next, the Ukrainians captured another company from the 488th MRR… (or the 1428th MRR, which was assigned to the former): 80 went into captivity. But, even more important was the surrender of an FSB Spetsnaz unit. Part of this was caught in the open, ambushed and cut to pieces. Really: smashed. About 20 survivors were then captured at their base. The next to go was a part of the 43rd Railway Brigade. Primarily convicts.

Finally, ZSU engineers are being kept busy collecting all the Russian equipment from the battlefield. At least 2 T-90Ms (both were operational and promptly pressed into service with the ZSU), and a number of additional T-72s or T-90s. Apparently (seriously) so much equipment has been captured that Ukraine has once more called on Ukrainian farmers to bring up tractors to help.

The next thing is, the Russian army is no longer in charge in Kursk. The FSB has been placed in command, in the shape of Lieutenant-General Alexander Duymin (‘Conqueror of the Crimea’, back in 2014). He's never been military, he's FSB and he won't care at all how little training the conscripts have. The currently valid law only prohibits the deployment of recruits outside Russia. Plus: conscripts are scared teenage boys who will do what they're told - and the FSB is going to continue trying to use them to create a coherent frontline through lining-up thousands of troops. Whom the ZSU will kill if they don't surrender.....


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The German government has announced the delivery of a new military aid package to Ukraine. It includes short- and medium-range Iris-T air defense systems and Leopard tanks, stated German Major General Christian Freuding. According to him, Ukraine will receive two short- and medium-range air defense systems, Iris-T, by December 2024. Additionally, Ukraine will get 16 self-propelled artillery systems of two types and other weapons.

Germany plans to transfer to Ukraine:
・Two IRIS-M air defense batteries and two IRIS-T SLS systems
・10 Gepard anti-aircraft systems
・12 PzH 2000 self-propelled howitzers and four Zuzana 2 self-propelled howitzers
・RCH 155 self-propelled howitzer
・About 30 Leopard 1A5 tanks
・400 MRAPs
・Logistic transport (trucks, tankers, all-terrain vehicles, pickups)
・Drones and anti-drone systems
・MK 556 assault rifles
・Medical supplies
・A field hospital
 
You might need a map to follow all this....I did, so here's a map of the latest situation in Kursk Oblast. Comments below. I've taken this and pieced it together a little from different sources so it's a bit of a hodge podge and I'm going to add to it this evening as I work thru all these.

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Glushkovo sector (lower left where you see 17th FSB): the Russians have only just realized they’ve lost Snagost – and that happened 4-5 days ago… The ZSU's 103rd TD Bgde (and reinforcements) is ‘well to the west of Snagovo’ (and Vneznapoe). The bridge in Glushkovo (over the Seym River) has been hit (by JDAMs) once again (think, this was the third or fourth time), and RUMINT has it that this strike rendered it useless: AFAIK, there are only two other bridges on the Seym River, both further west. That’s including one in Zvanoe and one in Karyzh: reportedly, the bridge in Zvanoe was hit this morning, too. If all three are disabled, the remaining Russians in the Glushkovsky District (these are remnants of the FSB's 17th and 18th Border Guard Battalions, plus thousands of civilians who were in the process of being forcefully evacuated by the Russians), are now cut off from the rest of Russia.

Roman Alekhin says that the bridge has just been destroyed, and Ukrainian Liberation Forces are implementing the plan to isolate the Glushkovo district. THe situation in the Glushkovo district is quite tense (for the Russians). According to recent reports, there have been significant military actions in the area. Roman Alekhin, a pro-war military blogger, has been vocal about the destruction of the bridge and the strategic moves by Ukrainian forces to isolate the Glushkovo district. He says this is part of a broader effort by Ukrainian forces to disrupt Russian military logistics and movements.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1824507311446167944

Footage of the Ukrainian Air Force dropping the Russian-held bridge over the Seym River at Glushkovo, Kursk Oblast. At least one fighter-launched glide bomb hit the span, destroying it.

Russian "military bloggers" Romanov and Saponkov driving today over a bridge out of Glushkovo, Kurst Oblast, which has been under HIMARS shelling for two days.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1824434508969509004

Update: the bridge has been destroyed. Google has already been updated. LOL

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Here's a more detailed map of the Glushkovo sector - river in purple. By dropping the Seym River bridge at Glushkovo, Ukrainian forces just created a highly uncomfortable situation for the remaining Russian forces south of the river. Those two smaller bridges have already been targeted by Ukrainian missiles and one is likely down. This cuts off Russian forces south of the river (16th and 17th FSB battalions + any other remnants) as Ukrainian forces advance from the east.

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Korenovo (on map above, where VKS Rifles is positioned): a column of Russian Army reinforcements moving from Rylsk towards Korenovo was demolished – probably by JDAMs, the last night. That said, it would have arrived too late, because not only is Tolpino under ZSU control: Kolychevka is too. With this, the Russian garrison in Korenovo is cut off from Rylsk. That said, it’s not like much of the town is still in Russian hands. Just its western side.

North/North-East of Korenovo, Aleksandrovka is also under ZSU control: and is being used as a base for raiding operations further north (towards Rylsk and towards Lgov, and beyond: Russian traffic on the E38 from Kursk to Rylsk was interrupted at at least four different points, this morning alone). While time and again one or another of ZSU’s raiding op MRAPs gets detected and hit, in grand total, whenever well-coordinated with UAVs, these raids are wreaking havoc with Russian planning. They’re, regularly hitting them in their "rear" areas, catching the Russians entirely unprepared.

A typical example is one of latest cases, communicated yesterday. A ZSU raiding unit (not designated) overran the better part of one of the ex-Wagner PMC battalions. The ZSU unit caught them as they were bunched up to prepare for their coming mission and literally smashed them. Lots of Russian social media tears resulted…
 
You could just about flip this around. The Defense of Kyiv, the battle of Kursk and the forcing of the Dnipro left Putinista Russia facing catastrophe....

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Wat_Tyler said:
I know a lot of those names from history from 80 years ago. Feels kind of odd.
Click to expand...

I know - I pulled this out of my husband's bookshelf and I'm reading it now. A lot of the battles are being fought in the same places - geography....I must admit, I'd love to see what Guderain or Manstein would do here. The Russians are fighting just about as they did in WW2, it seems to me, and making all the same mistakes.

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ChloeTzang said:
I know - I pulled this out of my husband's bookshelf and I'm reading it now. A lot of the battles are being fought in the same places - geography....I must admit, I'd love to see what Guderain or Manstein would do here. The Russians are fighting just about as they did in WW2, it seems to me, and making all the same mistakes.

View attachment 2378476
Click to expand...

Guderian had German tanks and lost, Ukrainians have German tanks and will loose....The mistakes Russians made them led them to Berlin. Hopefully this will not be repeated.
 
I have a question for you folks, first a statement though... I've heard allegations that Zelensky and crew have built a dirty bomb, and intend to use said device to draw nato into the conflict using article 5. They have in their possession nuclear material from the existing power stations that are off line. So it seen at first blush this is very possible....
My question is has anyone else heard or read anything about this? Anyway enjoy your day
 
Refer to large map above

Lgov-Kromskie Byki: up the north-western end of the salient) - the 11th VDV (and assigned elements of diverse Russian Army units) have been pushed out of Olyovka and Durovka….actually, the Russians retreated further north, so that the entire area from (at least) around Yuzhnyi via Dyakovka to Volzhin and Kauchuk is now under ZSU control. It's not clear if the Russians have already advanced from Kromskie Byki to Kurks or not… or perhaps they’re so waiting for the ZSU to kettle them there (because there are certainly Ukrainian troops further north along the road to Lgov).

From the village of Kromskie Byki, it's only 20 km to Lgov. And then there is the strategically important road to Kurchatov, where the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant is located.

Ukrainian soldier with a Lgov city sign - likely on a raid. Apparently he promises to return with a new sign with the city name spelled correctly. In Ukrainian.
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Bolshesoldatskoe: There are lots of Russian troops (estimate is at around 5,000, perhaps more) deployed along the line Durovo - Bobrik (which might already be under ZSU control and this might be outdated alreadt), Rzhava (unclear), Bolshoe Soldatskoe (unclear), down to Birukovka (VSRF) and Budishche (VSRF). But, the ZSU is causing them lots of trouble by regular raids all the way to Shagarovo, Izvekovo and similar places. As noted on the map above, there is no clear idea if there’s a ‘coherent frontline’ in that area, and it is not clear what exactly is going on there, but: gauging from the chaos in the Russian lines, likely there are no Russian units there and constructing any kind of field fortifications. The FSB is still busy controlling those under construction along the E38

Malyi Kamenets & Komunar: this area is where there seems to be the biggest concentration of Russian troops in south-western Kursk Oblast. Probably because there are so many of them still fleeing from Sudzha, Ulanok and Belitsa (all firmly under ZSU control). And because the two Akhmat regiments deployed there are busy stopping and sending back all the Russians that are not entirely enthusiastic about defending Mother Russia… Another big concentration of the Russians should be in the Belaya area, as expected. In between of that place and the Ukrainian border = everything’s under the ZSU control.

By taking Lgov, the ZSU would cut an important rail hub leading not just south but to Kursk as well, impacting Russian logistics to the units in the Kharkiv area

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From t
 
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Buffalogurl said:
I have a question for you folks, first a statement though... I've heard allegations that Zelensky and crew have built a dirty bomb, and intend to use said device to draw nato into the conflict using article 5. They have in their possession nuclear material from the existing power stations that are off line. So it seen at first blush this is very possible....
My question is has anyone else heard or read anything about this? Anyway enjoy your day
Click to expand...

LOL. I've written that myself a number of times, but I haven't seen any other speculation on it from other, more reputable than me, sources (I don't count the Kremlin as more reputable than me. LOL). Pure speculation on my part, but another reason for Moscow NOT to use nukes. Because Ukraine COULD retaliate and quite easily. They have nuclear power plants and reactors. They have nuclear scientists. Dirty bombs are easy t build - read up on it. I am not Ukraine, but

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/easy-get-materials-build-dirty-bomb-report-says-rcna39085

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/10/25/dirty-bombs-cause-fear-and-panic-but-few-deaths

The Kremlin alleged this back in 2022......
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022...a-says-ukraine-plans-to-detonate-a-dirty-bomb
 
Russian milbloggers in Lgov. Veni, vidi, but not exactly vici.

I came. I saw. I ran away.....LOL. Lgov is a major N/S & E/W Railway node for Russia. Shelling there means no Russian Army supply trains can be risked going through it to run supplies through to Russian units in Kharkiv (via Belgorod). This cuts off Russian units in Kharkiv from supplies. Like ammo. And fuel. And food.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1824125756223414458
 
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Kursk Front Update:The Russians are losing ground fast—at least five more settlements have fallen in just the past 24 hours. Ukrainian forces are closing in on the key Lgov highway, squeezing the enemy's supply lines tighter by the hour.ZSU has entered Korenevo, and the city is now semi-encircled. With Ukrainian forces taking Tolpinsky to the north, the only road out of the city is under Ukrainian fire control. It's just a matter of time before the Russians abandon Korenevo in a chaotic retreat. ZSU has also taken Kromski Byki, Bolshoe Soldatskoe, and has moved dangerously close to Glushkovo. Fierce fighting is happening in all these areas, but it's already within the city limits. The security zone around Sudzha has also expanded by several kilometers.Methodically, ZSU is cutting off Russian supply lines along the Glushkovo-Tyotkino road, which is now under Ukrainian fire control.The territory under Ukrainian operational influence in Russia has expanded to 1,400 km². This isn’t full control yet, but the noose is tightening.Another 200 Russian soldiers were captured in the last 24 hours, including some from the elite "Alpha" unit. Several border crossings have ceased resistance, relying only on drones and missiles from the rear to hold out. More prisoners are coming soon.


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ChloeTzang said:
LOL. I've written that myself a number of times, but I haven't seen any other speculation on it from other, more reputable than me, sources (I don't count the Kremlin as more reputable than me. LOL). Pure speculation on my part, but another reason for Moscow NOT to use nukes. Because Ukraine COULD retaliate and quite easily. They have nuclear power plants and reactors. They have nuclear scientists. Dirty bombs are easy t build - read up on it. I am not Ukraine, but

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/easy-get-materials-build-dirty-bomb-report-says-rcna39085

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/10/25/dirty-bombs-cause-fear-and-panic-but-few-deaths

The Kremlin alleged this back in 2022......
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022...a-says-ukraine-plans-to-detonate-a-dirty-bomb
Click to expand...
Actually Chloe, the way I read this is Zelensky would be using his dirty bomb in a false flag situation... they certainly have every thing they need to do as much..... thing is I don't trust Zelensky or for that matter president Putin any further than I could throw them.... one more item there is a book that was brought to my attention penned by a man named tex Marrs titled the synagogue of Satan. This book was published iirc about 15 years ago, within the pages he predicted this war between Russia and Ukraine...... now I haven’t read the book so I'm parroting what I read from another article. Currently I'm looking for a copy to read... anyway keep up the work and enjoy your day
 
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