Climate continues to change.

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Escape From Model Land

by Judith H. Curry
Professor & Chair, School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences (emerita)
Georgia Institute of Technology
Ph.D., Geophysical Sciences, University of Chicago, 1982
NASA Advisory Council Earth Science Subcommittee
Fellow, American Meteorological Society
Fellow, American Association for the Advancement of Science
Fellow, American Geophysical Union



https://curryja.files.wordpress.com/2019/10/screen-shot-2019-10-27-at-5.22.28-pm.png


“...Evidence that the climate models are not fit for the purpose of identifying with high confidence the relative proportions of natural and human causes to the 20th century warming is as follows:
- substantial uncertainties in equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS)
- the inability of GCMs to simulate the magnitude and phasing of natural internal variability on decadal-to-century timescales
- the use of 20th century observations in calibrating/tuning the GCMs
- the failure of climate models to provide a consistent explanation of the early 20th century warming and the mid-century cooling.”...​


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Answers

He won't answer at least not with a real answer.

His specialty is acting like he's some kind of "in the know" scientist but he's really just another schlub

with an opinion.


You a ( In the know one) or just another ( I have all the answers) schlub
 
So to re-cap: Phrodeau back-pedals on the coming ice age asserting that it is way over the horizon, while still insting that anthropogenic global warming is already in evidence and of greater impact than the interglacial warming period that was increasing and would continue to increase with or without humans.

The rabid acolyte of the Church of Ill-defined Climate Change hypes every instance of localized high temps or glacial melt as faith-promoting "evidence" and any countervailing weather as. . .weather.

What a maroon.
 
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Scary ,but not unexpected .I just wish the ostriches would get their heads out of the sand .

It's a little hard to get all excited about the latest planetary funeral dirge when there's a fresh one every few years and always SOMEBODY making a buck off it. Usually the ones squawking the loudest.

Frankly the planet is going to be just fine with or without us and there's damn all I can do about it anyway (even assuming this latest craze has any legs) so I'll just keep working, living and paying my mortgage until the Grim Reaper tells me otherwise.
 
...Peer review at work and working.




Nothing could be further from the truth.

In fact, you managed to get it completely back-asswards.


Resplandy et al passed climatology's "pal review" with flying colors. It took an unaffiliated individual (Nic Lewis) to point out the egregious errors in the paper which eventually led to its begrudging retraction (without much credit to Lewis).


A Major Problem With The Resplandy et al Ocean Heat Uptake Paper

by Nic Lewis
https://judithcurry.com/2018/11/06/a-major-problem-with-the-resplandy-et-al-ocean-heat-uptake-paper/


"...The article,[iii] by Laure Resplandy of Princeton University, Ralph Keeling of the Scripps Institute of Oceanography and eight other authors, used a novel method to estimate heat uptake by the ocean over the period 1991–2016 and came up with an atypically high value.[iv] The press release [v] accompanying the Resplandy et al. paper was entitled “Earth’s oceans have absorbed 60 percent more heat per year than previously thought”,[vi] and said that this suggested that Earth is more sensitive to fossil-fuel emissions than previously thought.

I was asked for my thoughts on the Resplandy paper as soon as it obtained media coverage. Most commentators appear to have been content to rely on what was said in the press release. However, being a scientist, I thought it appropriate to read the paper itself, and if possible look at its data, before forming a view..."


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So, back to my original request:



I'd be extremely grateful if you'd let me know when you hear or read a mainstream media news report on this retraction.

I'm certain the NY Times or the WaPo or Bloomberg or NPR or AP's Seth Borenstein will be the first to inform the public.

TIA




"Nature" Paper On Ocean Warming Retracted

by Retraction Watch



"...'Nature' is retracting a 2018 paper which found that the oceans are warming much faster than predicted by previous models of climate change.

The article, "Quantification of ocean heat uptake from changes in atmospheric O2 and CO2 composition,” appeared at last October but quickly drew the attention of an influential critic who said the analysis was flawed.

The authors agreed, and within three weeks the paper received the following update:

"We would like to alert readers that the authors have informed us of errors in the paper. An implication of the errors is that the uncertainties in ocean heat content are substantially underestimated. We are working with the authors to establish the quantitative impact of the errors on the published results, at which point in time we will provide a further update."
At the time, Ralph Keeling, of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla, Calif., and a co-author of the article, was gracious about the error. The San Diego Tribune quoted the researcher saying:

"When we were confronted with his insight it became immediately clear there was an issue there. We’re grateful to have it be pointed out quickly so that we could correct it quickly."​
Now, nearly more than 10 months later, Nature is pulling the plug on the article..."


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The silence of the supposedly non-partisan arbiters and reporters of truth— those paragons of objectivity— is deafening.

The reality is that "peer review" has failed abysmally in "climastrology". God knows, it certainly failed to catch the egregious outright scientific fraud of Michael "Piltdown" Mann's Hockey Stick.



 
Peer reviewed journals retract papers that got through the peer review process incorrectly. This is part of the scientific process. Unlike many non-peer reviewed crap that can only be published on a blog. Just saying.
 
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