2004 State by State poll numbers

Lasher said:
Sweet Jesus H. Fucking Christ.

My tolerance is at an end. Back to the ignore list for you.
You fucking BLIMP

Dont IGGY me, I just posted something from the main stream press

But you FAT BLOB as so many just wanna stick you fat head into the sand and IGGY reality.

So FUCK YOU and the HORSE you crushed when you rode in on it!
 
Fact: The first statewide recount in Florida, that showed Al Gore gaining some 1,400 votes over George Bush, defied all statistical probability. Economics professor Tom Carroll of the University of Nevada at Las Vegas reports that should not have happened; based on mathematical probability, he said the likelihood of so many vote errors favoring Gore has the same probability as a person being "hit by lightning 30 times."

After all the votes cast on November the 7th, 2001 were counted, Bush won by a margin of 1,725 votes. Election fraud in seven Florida counties may have provided more than 1,400 fraudulent votes for Democrat presidential candidate Al Gore in the 2000 Presidential election, reducing George Bush's vote lead to a mere 300 votes after the second machine count. Furthermore, this fraud eliminated the possibility of any accurate vote recounts.

Al Gore received 15 times more "new found votes" than he should have received based on how many "new found votes" George Bush received, and based on the original distribution of votes between Bush and Gore after the first machine count. The discrepancy is obvious. This is not simply the result of loose chads reflecting actual votes randomly falling off or being removed during the handling and manual recounting of ballots.



The 7 Counties:


1) In Duval County the first machine count yielded 152,082 for Bush and 107,680. The second machine count yielded 152,098 for Bush and 107, 864. So Gore gained 168 new votes while the perception was that Bush's lead shrunk and that it was due to some machines messing up as far as not counting votes. In actuality fraudulent votes were being created to help Gore.

2) In Gadsden County the first machine count yielded 4,750 for Bush and 9,565. The second machine count yielded 4,767 for Bush and 9,735 for Gore. So Gore gained 153 new votes while the perception was that Bush's lead shrunk and that it was due to some machines messing up as far as counting. In actuality fraudulent votes were being created to help Gore.

3) In Nassau County the first machine count yielded 16,404 for Bush and 6,952. The second machine count yielded 16,280 for Bush and 6,879 for Gore. So Bush lost a net of 51 votes that were later added after the "mistake" was recognized.

4) In Orange County the first machine count yielded 134,476 for Bush and 140,115 for Gore. The second machine count yielded 134,517 for Bush and 140,220 for Gore. So Gore gained 64 new votes while the perception was that Bush's lead shrunk and that it was due to some machines messing up as far as counting. In actuality fraudulent votes were being created to help Gore.

5) In Palm Beach County the first machine count yielded 152,846 for Bush and 268,945 for Gore. The second machine count yielded 152,954 for Bush and 269,696 for Gore. So Gore gained 643 new votes while the perception was that Bush's lead shrunk and that it was due to some machines messing up as far as counting. In actuality fraudulent votes were being created to help Gore.

6) In Pinellas County the first machine count yielded 152,846 for Bush and 200,212 for Gore. The second machine count yielded 184,823 for Bush and 200,629 for Gore. So Gore gained 417 new votes, bust Bush lost 61 giving Gore a 478 total gain while the perception was that Bush's lead shrunk and that it was due to some machines messing up as far as counting. In actuality fraudulent votes were being created to help Gore.

7) In Polk County the first machine count yielded 90,101 for Bush and 74,977 for Gore. The second machine count yielded 90,191 for Bush and 75,196 for Gore. So Gore gained 129 new votes while the perception was that Bush's lead shrunk and that it was due to some machines messing up as far as counting. In actuality fraudulent votes were being created to help Gore.
 
In several Wisconsin colleges, election officials dropped off thousands of votes for Gore

That the students just had to hand in

THOUSANDS OF VOTES

Gore won the State by about 5,000

Bush was urged to file suit, he chose not to.

LTGR, Be careful, The FAT PIG of a BLOB LASHER will IGGY you because you say things that mess up his little world!:confused: :rolleyes:
 
Code:
Tie		Minnesota	46-46-n-(4.5)	9/18 - 9/24	Rasmussen Reports [url]http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Minnesota_Fall%202004.htm[/url]
No party affiliation breakdown available, but the poll is weighted

Bush by 3%	Iowa		48-45-n-(5)	9/10 - 9/23	Rasmussen Reports [url]http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Iowa_Fall%202004.htm[/url]
No party affiliation breakdown available, but the poll is weighted
 
ruminator said:
He shoulda sued

:D
1960

Papa Joe says he will buy his boy the election but wont pay for a landslide

Kennedy wins a close election, massive fraud is known, in Chicago, a key state alone the fraud is OPN and OBVIOUS.

Nixon was urged to sue, and he was sure to win.

He didnt, He said it want the right thing to do.

Only Demos do bad things to the country!:D
 
Lasher said:
The Lit board is 40% faster with Busybody on your ignore list.

Laurel could probably cut 40% on her bandwidth costs if she banned him.
 
Code:
Kerry by 9%	Illinois	40-49-n-(4)	9/17 - 9/20	Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV [url]http://www.thestate.com/mld/thestate/news/special_packages/election2004/9771968.htm[/url]
No party affiliation breakdown available
 
Are you a likely voter?

Here's how Gallup determines if you are...

1. SALIENCE: How much thought have you given to the upcoming election for president?— quite a lot, or only a little? (“Quite a lot” or “Some” as a volunteered response score one point)

2. KNOWLEDGE: Do you happen to know where people who live in your neighborhood go to vote? (“Yes” scores one point)

3. BEHAVIOR: Have you ever voted in your precinct or election district? (“Yes” scores one point)

4. BEHAVIOR: How often would you say you vote—always, nearly always, part of the time, or seldom? (“Always” or “Nearly always” scores one point}

5. INTENTION: Do you, yourself, plan to vote in the presidential election on November (*), or not? (“Yes” scores one point)

6. BEHAVIOR: In the [last] presidential election, did you vote for (*) or (*), or did things come up to keep you from voting?

7. INTENTION: I’d like you to rate your chances of voting in the upcoming election for president on a scale of 1 to 10. If “1” represents someone who definitely will not vote, and “10” represents someone who definitely will vote, where on this scale of 1 to 10 would you place yourself?

If a voter answers each of these questions the “right” way, they get a 7, miss one and you get a 6, and so on. In practice that typically means all of the 7s—given full weight—plus some proportion of those with lower scores (usually the 6s), who are weighted down so that the size of the likely voter sample matches the projected turnout for the year (apparently 55 percent this year). All other voters are discarded from the sample.

http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/archives/000725.php
 
Emerging demo majority???????????

Funniest thing I heard since

John Kerr, WAR HERO!!!!!!!!!!!


HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
 
Wrong Element said:


The race may indeed be over

Lasher said:
Oh, it is. Barring sinister forces it's done.

You guys calling it for Bush already?

It's not even October,

They haven't debated,

So many states are undecided,

Me thinks you're a little premature...
 
New poll out today. Looking at it and the internals can not yield one iota of good news for Kerry.

However, I await PATHETIC POOFSTER any second coming and linking to an emerging demo majority site and telling us how flawed the poll is.

Bush's lead gets smaller in poll
By Susan Page, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON — President Bush leads Sen. John Kerry by 8 points among likely voters, the USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll shows, a narrower advantage than Bush held in mid-September and one that puts him at the edge of the survey's margin of error.
Among all registered voters, the president's lead widened a bit to a statistically significant 11 percentage points (Related: Poll results).

So the candidates head toward their first debate Thursday with Bush ahead, but not by an overwhelming margin. Campaign analysts say their three debates could solidify the president's lead — or upend it.

"The debates are the only thing left that John Kerry can utilize to bring this race back to dead-even," says Matthew Dowd, strategist for the Bush campaign.

Kerry pollster Mark Mellman says the survey is evidence that the Massachusetts' senator, who has criticized Bush more sharply for his handling of Iraq and terrorism, is staging a comeback. "Every poll out there shows a dramatic narrowing of this race," Mellman says. He calls the contest essentially tied.

But other findings in the survey show Kerry's standing on some fundamental measures has eroded. Among them:

•For the first time since he emerged as the Democratic nominee, Kerry doesn't have an advantage when it comes to handling the economy. Those surveyed by 6 points say Bush would do a better job. On handling terrorism, Bush has a 27-point advantage.

•A 52% majority says Bush has a clear plan for handling Iraq; a 63% majority says Kerry does not. For the first time, the number of voters who say Kerry could handle the responsibilities of commander in chief fell below 50%, to 49%.

•Likely voters by 54%-44% say Bush's policies would move the country in the right direction. By 49%-44%, they say Kerry's policies would move the country in the wrong direction.

By 52%-39%, voters say they expect Bush to do a better job than Kerry in the debates. And 18% say the debates could make a difference in deciding their vote.

Bush was at 52% among likely voters, Kerry at 44% and independent candidate Ralph Nader at 3%. Among registered voters, Bush had 53%, Kerry 42% and Nader 3%. Likely voters are identified based on a series of questions about past voting patterns and intensity of interest in this race. In a Gallup Poll taken Sept. 13-15, Bush held a 14-point lead among likely voters, his biggest edge in any major national survey.
 
Another one for PUTRID POOFSTER to spin.

Bush Maintains Lead in Post-ABC News Poll
Voters View President As Better Candidate on Iraq, Terrorism

By Richard Morin
Washington Post Staff Writer
Monday, September 27, 2004; 5:00 PM

President George W. Bush maintains a clear lead over Democrat John F. Kerry and continues to be perceived by most voters as the candidate best able to deal with Iraq and the war on terrorism, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll.

Bush currently receives 51 percent among likely voters while Kerry gets 45 percent and independent Ralph Nader receives 1 percent. Among all registered voters, Bush holds a seven-point advantage.



By healthy margins, Bush continues to be seen as the stronger leader and better able than Kerry to keep the United States secure from terrorist attacks. On virtually every other issue and measure of character, Bush holds the advantage over his rival among registered voters -- findings that underscore the importance of the upcoming presidential debates to the Kerry campaign.

Kerry continues to be viewed unfavorably by a plurality of voters. Fewer than four in 10 voters -- 37 percent -- say they have a positive impression of him, while 42 percent have an unfavorable impression of him. That finding suggests more people intend to vote for him than personally like him and highlights the fact that Kerry continues to be buoyed by a strong anti-Bush vote despite broad reservations about him.

In a survey that offered generally good news to Bush and the Republicans, there were some troubling notes. A majority of voters -- 55 percent -- say they worry that Bush is too reckless in making policy decisions. And once again, fewer than half of all voters say the war in Iraq was worth the cost, a clear signal that events in Iraq, perhaps even more than events on the campaign trail, ultimately may decide this election.

Bush's job approval rating stands at 52 percent among all voters, unchanged from earlier this month. Fewer than half of all voters approve of the way he is handling the situation in Iraq or the way he is dealing with the nation's sluggish economy. Despite those lukewarm performance ratings, a higher number of voters say they trust Bush more than Kerry to deal with these two high-profile issues.

A total of 1,204 randomly selected adults nationwide, including 969 self-identified registered voters and 810 likely voters were interviewed September 23-26. Margin of sampling error was about plus or minus 3 percentage points for both likely and registered voters.

The survey suggests that Bush leads among men and has a narrow advantage among women. Among all registered voters, just over half of all men -- 53 percent -- currently support the president while 41 percent back Kerry. But among women, Bush holds a 49 percent to 46 percent advantage. In 2000, Al Gore beat Bush by 11 percentage points among women but lost by 11 points among men.

The survey also found that married women with children -- the so-called "security moms" -- are worried about the same issues that concern other voters this election year. In fact, these women were no more likely than other voters to name the war on terrorism or Iraq as their top voting issue.

According to the poll, about one in four married women with children -- 24 percent -- rated the war on terrorism as their major concern. That's virtually the same as the proportion of married men and only slightly higher than the 21 percent of all voters who made terrorism their top voting concern. One in five -- 20 percent -- of all married women with children named Iraq as their major concern; overall, 19 percent said Iraq was their top voting concern
 
Younger voters, 18-30, have lower levels of unfavorable ratings than all other age groups toward Bush (33%, compared to 52% favorable). They support Bush over Kerry by the widest margin of any age cohort (53-41).


For people 18-30 (regarding Bush): Approve somewhat+approve strongly= 54. Disapprove somewhat+disapprove strongly=39.

John Kerry's lowest favorable rating comes from 18-30 year olds (33%).

Young people are the most satisfied (58-41) with the way things are going of any age group (overall, it is 49-49).

Young people trust Bush over Kerry by the widest margins of any age group (60-33).

Same with terrorism (59-35).

Same with "Strong leader" (65-25).

Same with "make the country more safe and secure" (60-31).

Same with "qualified to be commander in chief" (60-37).


Interesting. In some ways, the President whom Bush most resembles is Ronald Reagan. Young people were always Reagan's strongest demographic. In this election, it may be that young people, who tend to be optimistic and confident by nature, are turned off by John Kerry's defeatism. It may be, too, that young people have less solid connections to either party than older voters, and so view Kerry (and Bush too) more objectively.

Whatever the reasons, if the Democrats should lose the youth vote by anything like these margins, it could spell trouble for years to come.
 
Pathetic PUKE musta written the headline for CNN

Looky here

Bush apparently leads Kerry in pre-debate poll

President's approval rating highest since January


Tuesday, September 28, 2004 Posted: 0016 GMT (0816 HKT)



The poll came out ahead of Thursday's first presidential debate.



(CNN) -- Headed into their first face-to-face debate, President Bush appears to be leading Democratic Sen. John Kerry among likely voters, with a clearer edge among registered voters.


apparently??????????????? what do they mean apparently????????????


I guess they dont wanna believe it, do they?

I can see the Headlines in Nov

Bush claims 370 EV;s, however Cuba and Iran yet to report results!
 
Purple Haze said:
You guys calling it for Bush already?

It's not even October,

They haven't debated,

So many states are undecided,

Me thinks you're a little premature...

I called it when the nominated the fawker!

You missed the boat.

The swift boat...
 
New State polls out ...

Code:
Tie		Ohio		46-46-1-(3.5)	9/18 - 9/23	Lake Snell Perry [url]http://www.actforvictory.org/act.php/truth/articles/new_act_polling_shows_kerry_regaining_momentum/[/url]
No party affiliation breakdown available

Tie		New Hampshire	47-47-2-(5)	9/18 - 9/23	Lake Snell Perry [url]http://www.actforvictory.org/act.php/truth/articles/new_act_polling_shows_kerry_regaining_momentum/[/url]
No party affiliation breakdown available

Bush by 6%	North Carolina	50-44-n-(4)	9/20 - 9/22	Research 2000 [url]http://www.thestate.com/mld/thestate/news/politics/9777307.htm[/url]
No party affiliation breakdown available
 
New national polls ...

Code:
Bush by 1.6%	USA	47.8-46.1-(2)	9/24 - 9/26	Rasmussen Reports
No party affiliation breakdown available, but the poll is weighted 

Bush by 7%	USA	51-44-2-(3)	9/23 - 9/26	ABCNews/WashingtonPost
No party affiliation breakdown available

Bush by 11%	USA	53-42-3-(4)	9/24 - 9/26	CNN/USA Today/Gallup
No party affiliation breakdown available
 
Purple Haze said:
You guys calling it for Bush already?

It's not even October,

They haven't debated,

So many states are undecided,

Me thinks you're a little premature...

It's way too early to be calling the election for either candidate. Too many States are well within the margin of error. Any bounce Bush got from the RNC is long gone now. The polls that were the most accurate with the final outcome in 2000 are showing a statistical tie. When you figure in the incumbent rule for undecided voters (85% going to the challenger), this race is way too close to call.
 
Pookie clicks her ruby-red slippers...

It's too close to call...
It's too close to call...
It's too close to call...

;) ;)

Then why do I see Bush ads in Missourah and not Kerrey ads?
 
Kinda strange that most of the polls are showing a clear lead for Kerry when most of the pollers have a CBS-like-lean and usually figure out a way to skew the polls to support their candidate.
 
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