Why Biden Will Win

[AlexBailey]

So how many white men will vote for Trump over Harris.

Fucking A.

Hillary won the popular vote in 2016.

I don’t think the anti-female contingent is as strong as you fear.

 

[HisArpy]

Yes I am angry and you, for once, get perception points.

More dismissal and denigration. You are a one trick pony.

As I have always maintained, I am not infallible but I am more often right than wrong. This is because I do not strategize with my emotions as the main player and component in the game.

 

[AlexBailey]

Of course I have a vested interest. Just as you have a vested interest in the GOP candidate.

Or did you forget elections are supposed to be a CONTEST with the person the majority want winning and not a series of handpicked successors?

I’ll give you a pass on the majority vs the EC, but I won’t give a pass on the Trump schemes to block the count and the fake electors.

MAGA are criminals and you know it.

 

[jaF0]

And you support them.

 

[HisArpy]

I’ll give you a pass on the majority vs the EC, but I won’t give a pass on the Trump schemes to block the count and the fake electors.

MAGA are criminals and you know it.

And Trump didn't win in 2020. Unfortunately for you, this isn't 2020 and your guy just dropped out of the race. Trying to avoid facing that reality by claiming that MAGA are "criminals," when you know that they aren't, isn't going to change anything.

 

[HisArpy]

And you support them.

See post #227.

 

[Aglaopheme]

So how many white men will vote for Trump over Harris.

Fucking A.

Too many. I don’t remember the 2016 to 2020 numbers for white male voters. I’ll look into it later.

 

[ll74]

So how many white men will vote for Trump over Harris.

Fucking A.

Double haters now have a candidate they don't hate. They won't vote for Trump. They are the largest group of undecided/uncommitted voters.

 

[adrina]

Too many. I don’t remember the 2016 to 2020 numbers for white male voters. I’ll look into it later.

Maybe they will have learned their lesson this time.

Especially since the threat isn't to just women now. Heh.

 

[adrina]

Double haters now have a candidate they don't hate. They won't vote for Trump. They are the largest group of undecided/uncommitted voters.

I hope so. There is a good deal of positive to this. There are legal hurdles (GA, WI, NV) and there are funding decisions to be made. As well as a running mate.

And I have to admit I am having a very good time pointing out how old and decrepit the GOP candidate is. Yeah I totally cop to that and make no apologies for it whatsoever. Ha.

 

[Aglaopheme]

Maybe they will have learned their lesson this time.

Especially since the threat isn't to just women now. Heh.

I don’t have that much faith in the them...

 

[adrina]

I don’t have that much faith in the them...

I'm hoping their daughters have more sense and the drive to vote.

I have seen some of the white male blue collar swing state trump voters admit they made a mistake. So they do exist.

 

[BrightShinyGirl]

Reviewing Lichtman’s analysis in light of Biden stepping down, it doesn’t change much. The only difference is the “incumbent seeking reelection” key changes from TRUE to FALSE.

It still strongly predicts a Democratic victory.

 

[ll74]

I hope so. There is a good deal of positive to this. There are legal hurdles (GA, WI, NV) and there are funding decisions to be made. As well as a running mate.

And I have to admit I am having a very good time pointing out how old and decrepit the GOP candidate is. Yeah I totally cop to that and make no apologies for it whatsoever. Ha.

I understand your position. I have disagreed with it, but not because you haven't explained it or made your case. I hope Biden makes peace with his choice and I hope that Harris becomes our candidate with full support. I agree with you that there are men who won't vote for her no matter the case made. Luckily, the largest group of swing voters are educated women and I think having that choice might even sway some Republicans.

We shall see....so much history being made..I keep taking steps back to observe what we are going through.

 

[subdudeme13]

Reviewing Lichtman’s analysis in light of Biden stepping down, it doesn’t change much. The only difference is the “incumbent seeking reelection” key changes from TRUE to FALSE.

It still strongly predicts a Democratic victory.

I will vote for that. Just going to make a few more (small donations) and getting ready to address post cards to GOTV.

 

[HumpDayHoratio]

This thread didn’t age well…

 

[Aglaopheme]

Hopefully, Becky in Waukesha will vote the way she did in 2020. That will be, I think, the biggest swing that could be problematic.

 

[adrina]

I understand your position. I have disagreed with it, but not because you haven't explained it or made your case. I hope Biden makes peace with his choice and I hope that Harris becomes our candidate with full support. I agree with you that there are men who won't vote for her no matter the case made. Luckily, the largest group of swing voters are educated women and I think having that choice might even sway some Republicans.

We shall see....so much history being made..I keep taking steps back to observe what we are going through.

"May you live in interesting times"

Yeah. No. It's exhausting.

They just better not fuck it up. The country can't afford for democrats to lose.

 

[TastySuckToy]

Yup. Because there is no perfect candidate and they all want a fucking superman.

It's awesome they freely admit they need a superman to beat Trump.

 

[subdudeme13]

I understand your position. I have disagreed with it, but not because you haven't explained it or made your case. I hope Biden makes peace with his choice and I hope that Harris becomes our candidate with full support. I agree with you that there are men who won't vote for her no matter the case made. Luckily, the largest group of swing voters are educated women and I think having that choice might even sway some Republicans.

We shall see....so much history being made..I keep taking steps back to observe what we are going through.

You might add in Black voters. I am not so sure about male Hispanic voters (Machismo being a thing.)

 

[subdudeme13]

This thread didn’t age well…

Please explain. Looks like it is running strong.

 

[AlexBailey]

And Trump didn't win in 2020. Unfortunately for you, this isn't 2020 and your guy just dropped out of the race. Trying to avoid facing that reality by claiming that MAGA are "criminals," when you know that they aren't, isn't going to change anything.

You’re conflating the issues and denying one of them. I understand that in your book, lack of conviction equals innocence but would you be okay with your daughter dating a rapist who was let off on a technicality? Yes? Bullshit.

You spin your legal arguments to match your politics just a defense counsel will spin legality for their client.

You’re a legal weasel.

 

[ll74]

You might add in Black voters. I am not so sure about male Hispanic voters (Machismo being a thing.)

I don't think they'll be a factor, but that's a difficult demographic.

 

[Aglaopheme]

I'm hoping their daughters have more sense and the drive to vote.

I have seen some of the white male blue collar swing state trump voters admit they made a mistake. So they do exist.

I lived among them and saw no noticeable numbers of them if any at all, but I am certain I could dig one up.

 

[ll74]

"May you live in interesting times"

Yeah. No. It's exhausting.

They just better not fuck it up. The country can't afford for democrats to lose.

It can be, I get that. We'll see where we end up.