dmallord
Humble Hobbit
- Joined
- Jun 15, 2020
- Posts
- 4,842
Based on our known reserve levels, running out of fossil fuels will take some time. We have about five years of oil reserves for the USA, assuming no imports. Globally it's estimated the world has around forty-seven years, but fossil fuels have nothing to do with this discourse.Communication delays may return as we run out of fossil fuels.
Opening healthy discourses can shorten delays. Let's focus on the issue being discussed in the political realm. One element of that discussion, the Electoral College system, can be addressed far sooner than running out of fuel resources.
This leads to the next background session, a review of the above four systems:
National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC): This is not a replacement for the Electoral College itself but rather a way to work around it. The NPVIC is an agreement among states to award all their electoral votes to the national popular vote winner, regardless of who wins the popular vote within the individual state. This compact only takes effect once states with a combined total of 270 electoral votes (the number needed to win the presidency) join it. Current states signing on to this proposal represent approximately 196 electoral votes and thus are short of the 270 required to activate the compact. The NPVIC addresses some criticisms of the Electoral College system by effectively ensuring that the candidate who wins the national popular vote also wins the presidency. States that join the compact pledge to allocate their electoral votes to the winner of the national popular vote, regardless of the individual state's outcome. This approach has gained popularity among those who believe that the national majority should directly elect the President. This solution isn't in our political debate area - yet if enough states sign on to it, it will prevent another episode like January 6th from rising. Though not activated by constitutional means, it seems a common-sense way of expediating a fair resolution.
Direct Popular Vote: This approach advocates abolishing the Electoral College altogether and having the President elected solely by a national popular vote. The candidate who receives the most votes nationwide will become the President. Proponents argue that this method ensures that the President represents the will of most citizens.
Ranked-Choice Voting (Instant Runoff Voting): This system allows voters to rank candidates in order of preference. If no candidate receives an outright majority of first-choice votes, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated, and their voices are redistributed based on voters' second choices. This process continues until a candidate receives a majority of votes. This method ensures that the elected candidate is acceptable to most voters.
Proportional Allocation of Electors: Instead of the "winner-takes-all" approach used by most states, this proposal suggests that each state's electors be allocated proportionally based on the popular vote within the state. This would more accurately reflect the division of voters and lead to a closer alignment between the electoral and popular vote outcomes.
Hybrid Systems: Some proposals suggest a combination of direct popular vote and the Electoral College. For example, electors could be allocated based on the popular vote winner within each state, while additional electors could be awarded to the overall national popular vote winner. This approach would attempt to balance individual states' interests and the general national will.
It's important to note that any change to electing the President would require a constitutional amendment, a complex process involving approval by a supermajority of states, or a constitutional convention. As a result, proposals to replace or reform the Electoral College face significant political and logistical challenges, and discussions around these alternatives continue to be debated and considered. Politicians and or/political servants could facilitate this discussion among the public via public information announcements. Governors and legislators could advocate for this to be brought to vote under a Federal legislative bill with a two-thirds majority vote - given enough public voter support. Support gained by an informed public could also motivate a call to affect a Constitutional Amendment, a more challenging task to complete, yet it has been done before.
No one has asked any candidate for their view of fixing the Electoral College system today. Why, given the mechanism nearly ended our way of governance on January 6th?
Your thoughts?
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