Why have Republicans stopped bragging about the stock market?

[HisArpy]

You're pretty much spot on. The economy will continue to significantly contract for a number of months if not for the rest of the year, and any recovery will be hampered by all the juicing of the economy already done over the past few years.

Cite?

 

[Pookie]

Cite?

https://forum.literotica.com/showpost.php?p=92172062&postcount=2100

 

[HisArpy]

https://forum.literotica.com/showpost.php?p=92172062&postcount=2100

So, airfacts.

If that works for you go for it. But the rest of the world will probably look for information on investing elsewhere.

 

[Pookie]

So, airfacts.

If that works for you go for it. But the rest of the world will probably look for information on investing elsewhere.

No "airfacts" involved. It's sound analysis of the available data out there that you won't accept because of the consequences for Dear Leader.

 

[Botanical11B]

There will be many companies with literally zero earnings in the second quarter, perhaps well into the third. Fourth quarter could be anemic. They will survive solely on corporate welfare. It could be a very long time before earnings will support a return to former highs. Buying broadbased index funds will not necessarily be the nobrainer it was.

Define "very long time".....

 

[HisArpy]

No "airfacts" involved. It's sound analysis of the available data out there that you won't accept because of the consequences for Dear Leader.

Umm, I believe I asked you to produce a source for the "available data" you're using.

And instead of supplying it, you sourced yourself. Which is basically you saying "it's true because I said it". Which is meaningless.

Especially considering the forecasts by those who make their living from such forecasts are saying something completely different from what you are.

 

[HisArpy]

Define "very long time".....

2 weeks.

 

[Botanical11B]

2 weeks.

Probably the straightest answer I'll get.

 

[Pookie]

Umm, I believe I asked you to produce a source for the "available data" you're using.

And instead of supplying it, you sourced yourself. Which is basically you saying "it's true because I said it". Which is meaningless.

Especially considering the forecasts by those who make their living from such forecasts are saying something completely different from what you are.

My forecast is my own opinion based in the available data and historical performance. It may or may not come to pass. There's no mysterious source to the information I use. If you can't find the economic data that everyone else has access to make their own analysis, then it sucks to be you. I don't intend to spend time defending it to someone as invested in not being wrong on a porn board as you are. So go pound sand.

 

[great lover]

You're pretty much spot on. The economy will continue to significantly contract for a number of months if not for the rest of the year, and any recovery will be hampered by all the juicing of the economy already done over the past few years.

Lowering interest rates is no longer an option to help get out of this. That tool was sacrificed to try to make Trump look good until the election was over. Now, there will likely be major bankruptcies and debt write-offs for quite some time. The King of Debt should be very familiar with all of that. A credit squeeze is going to rule the day. The job growth we've seen over the past few years is over, and won't be coming back for some time.

At the rate they are printing dollars, it is going to all come crashing down again in 6 - 8 months or so.

 

[Dribble]

You're pretty much spot on. The economy will continue to significantly contract for a number of months if not for the rest of the year, and any recovery will be hampered by all the juicing of the economy already done over the past few years.

Lowering interest rates is no longer an option to help get out of this. That tool was sacrificed to try to make Trump look good until the election was over. Now, there will likely be major bankruptcies and debt write-offs for quite some time. The King of Debt should be very familiar with all of that. A credit squeeze is going to rule the day. The job growth we've seen over the past few years is over, and won't be coming back for some time.

The medical costs alone are staggering. When people are allowed back to work, there will be a glut of employees to choose from, and wages will go down. This will be ugly

 

[coati]

This will be ugly

Yeah, but Derpy and BoBo are going to make a killing.

Derpy will go on to educate the unwashed masses ala Horatio Alger about how everyone can get rich, and BoBo wants to buy his own personal war toys.

In a world full of emotionally stunted boys supporting an emotionally stunted impeached President, anything is possible.

 

[HisArpy]

My forecast is my own opinion based in the available data and historical performance. It may or may not come to pass. There's no mysterious source to the information I use. If you can't find the economic data that everyone else has access to make their own analysis, then it sucks to be you. I don't intend to spend time defending it to someone as invested in not being wrong on a porn board as you are. So go pound sand.

Move along, nothing to see but derp here.

 

[Botanical11B]

Yeah, but Derpy and BoBo are going to make a killing.

Derpy will go on to educate the unwashed masses ala Horatio Alger about how everyone can get rich, and BoBo wants to buy his own personal war toys.

In a world full of emotionally stunted boys supporting an emotionally stunted impeached President, anything is possible.

The ad hom and ascription machine who makes up lies when he can't make any of his arguments on their merit is accusing others of being emotionally stunted LOL.

 

[Curmudgeonly]

Warren Buffet wannabes.. .

. . .or. . was that Jimmy?

 

[HisArpy]

Warren Buffet wannabes.. .

. . .or. . was that Jimmy?

Tell Warren AND Jimmy to move their asses, we're trying to get to the buffet.

 

[HisArpy]

The medical costs alone are staggering. When people are allowed back to work, there will be a glut of employees to choose from, and wages will go down. This will be ugly

I don't think you understand what's happening.

Unemployment rose because people were furloughed during the crisis. Most weren't terminated so they'll go back to the jobs they had once the all-clear is given.

Actual "unemployment" will rise slightly, it's unavoidable as some businesses close. Those employees will be reentering an economy that had one of the lowest unemployment rates in decades.

That means jobs are going to be available.

And, if the 3Q-4Q projections are correct, those jobs will be with better companies at higher pay.

 

[coati]

I don't think you understand what's happening.

Unemployment rose because people were furloughed during the crisis. Most weren't terminated so they'll go back to the jobs they had once the all-clear is given.

Actual "unemployment" will rise slightly, it's unavoidable as some businesses close. Those employees will be reentering an economy that had one of the lowest unemployment rates in decades.

That means jobs are going to be available.

And, if the 3Q-4Q projections are correct, those jobs will be with better companies at higher pay.

Actually, I don't think you understand what's happening. You keep talking about "3Q-4Q projections" as if we will have an early vaccine or effective treatment for COVID 19.

Are you even remotely aware that a huge percentage of the consumer market has dropped out of the in-person entertainment, travel, and non-essential service industries, and will remain that way until the coast is clear? And are you even remotely aware that it will take well beyond "3Q-4Q" of this year to recover the prior momentum of those industries?

Quit slinging around jargon and start facing reality.

 

[Adre]

Actually, I don't think you understand what's happening. You keep talking about "3Q-4Q projections" as if we will have an early vaccine or effective treatment for COVID 19.

Are you even remotely aware that a huge percentage of the consumer market has dropped out of the in-person entertainment, travel, and non-essential service industries, and will remain that way until the coast is clear? And are you even remotely aware that it will take well beyond "3Q-4Q" of this year to recover the prior momentum of those industries?

Quit slinging around jargon and start facing reality.

HisDerpy is completely out of control with this virus-inspired delusional economic expertise he has somehow acquired as if he graduated from Wharton overnight. It’s a classic example of someone who knows just enough to be dangerous and toxic.

 

[Botanical11B]

Actually, I don't think you understand what's happening. You keep talking about "3Q-4Q projections" as if we will have an early vaccine or effective treatment for COVID 19.

Are you even remotely aware that a huge percentage of the consumer market has dropped out of the in-person entertainment, travel, and non-essential service industries, and will remain that way until the coast is clear? And are you even remotely aware that it will take well beyond "3Q-4Q" of this year to recover the prior momentum of those industries?

Quit slinging around jargon and start facing reality.

Oh yea, totally the end of the world, nobody is ever going back to work....whatever fantasies you gotta tell yourself coati.

HisDerpy is completely out of control with this virus-inspired delusional economic expertise he has somehow acquired as if he graduated from Wharton overnight. It’s a classic example of someone who knows just enough to be dangerous and toxic.

And of course the good comrade shows up to back his CCP loving comrade spread the good news about no money EVER being made again!! LOL

You guys seriously think the whole country is going to hide in their houses from here on out?? Capitalism is dead!!! Never shall we see any EVIL capitalist pig profits ever again....right??

 

[Adre]

Oh yea, totally the end of the world, nobody is ever going back to work....whatever fantasies you gotta tell yourself coati.

And of course the good comrade shows up to back his CCP loving comrade spread the good news about no money EVER being made again!! LOL

You sound angry. I bet you’ve lost a lot of money recently. Your buddy Derpy should quit spreading false hope and outright bullshit.

 

[HisArpy]

Actually, I don't think you understand what's happening. You keep talking about "3Q-4Q projections" as if we will have an early vaccine or effective treatment for COVID 19.

Are you even remotely aware that a huge percentage of the consumer market has dropped out of the in-person entertainment, travel, and non-essential service industries, and will remain that way until the coast is clear? And are you even remotely aware that it will take well beyond "3Q-4Q" of this year to recover the prior momentum of those industries?

Quit slinging around jargon and start facing reality.

Current projections by EXPERTS in the field are saying that Q3 & 4 are going to rebound. I'm merely passing along that information and my personal belief that they're probably more correct than those who can't back up their shit with anything other than #OMB.

You don't have to believe it, but it's not ME who's saying it.

Then there's the labor thing that you're trying to use to justify your doom and gloom.

In the past week or so 16 million people filed for unemployment. Oh noes... That's worse than in the great depression...

Facts are that in the 1930's, before the Roosevelt's New Deal came along, people didn't HAVE "unemployment insurance". There wasn't any way to GET "unemployment insurance".

That's not the case today. Not only are there more total workers, and the unemployment numbers trying to compare the 2 situations aren't adjusted for that, but most of those who filed, only did so because the CARES Act allowed the self employed to file a claim. Something that wasn't available until after the Act was passed and CERTAINLY not available in the 1930's.

From there, the number will start to go down almost immediately once people are allowed to return to work. In the 1930's that wasn't possible. Some industries will be slow to recover, but the bulk of what comprises GDP will be working before the end of Q2.

Which means that what you're spouting is bullshit and fear mongering.

 

[coati]

You sound angry. I bet you’ve lost a lot of money recently. Your buddy Derpy should quit spreading false hope and outright bullshit.

Hey, outright bullshit is the main platform of the Deplorable movement. Don't deprive them of their main M.O.

 

[Botanical11B]

You sound angry.

You're delusional as ever.

I bet you’ve lost a lot of money recently.

How do you figure that??

Your buddy Derpy should quit spreading false hope and outright bullshit.

What false hope and outright bullshit exactly?

 

[HisArpy]

HisDerpy is completely out of control with this virus-inspired delusional economic expertise he has somehow acquired as if he graduated from Wharton overnight. It’s a classic example of someone who knows just enough to be dangerous and toxic.

Dangerous and toxic are words that adequately describe your contributions to this thread.