████████ Climastrology (a/k/a Climate $cience) ████████

[trysail]

Climate Sensitivity In Light Of The Latest Energy Imbalance Evidence

by Frank Bosse

(emphasis added)

"...The Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) is a key issue for estimating climate sensitivity...

...It’s not the only paper which estimates a near zero EEI trend in the 21st century. Also a review paper ( Meyssignac et al (2019)) comes to this outcome, see their Fig. 12 for 2006…2016. For a further check I calculated the derivative dOHC/dt for two year intervals, which are a measure of the EEI ( not the absolute OHC, see this report, section 2b) from three observational OHC products ( Domingues/Levitus; Ishii; Cheng) from this source.

The fourth cited dataset, Resplandy et al (2018), I skipped due to the retraction of the related paper, the mindful reader will remember....


Conclusion

I calculated the climate sensitivity in a temporary standstill period (or slightly decreasing) as it was detected in the observations of the EEI during 1999 to 2018. The ECS value of 1.72K as the best estimate is in excellent agreement with the value found in LC18, 1.66K using the then current C&W GMST dataset (see Tab.3 of this paper).


https://curryja.files.wordpress.com/2020/01/screen-shot-2020-01-10-at-2.11.03-pm.png


The published ECS-values of the CMIP6 models have a mean above 4 K (see this recent paper) that is higher by a factor of 2.4 than observed here. This growing discrepancy between observed values of ECS reduces the credibility of the high model estimates.



more at:
https://judithcurry.com/2020/01/10/...ight-of-the-latest-energy-imbalance-evidence/



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[RocketLauncher]

http://static.boredpanda.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/people-respond-global-warming-deniers-12-5c580230b7d40__700.jpg

 

[von_Bismarck]

Climate Sensitivity In Light Of The Latest Energy Imbalance Evidence

by Frank Bosse

(emphasis added)

"...The Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) is a key issue for estimating climate sensitivity...

...It’s not the only paper which estimates a near zero EEI trend in the 21st century. Also a review paper ( Meyssignac et al (2019)) comes to this outcome, see their Fig. 12 for 2006…2016. For a further check I calculated the derivative dOHC/dt for two year intervals, which are a measure of the EEI ( not the absolute OHC, see this report, section 2b) from three observational OHC products ( Domingues/Levitus; Ishii; Cheng) from this source.

The fourth cited dataset, Resplandy et al (2018), I skipped due to the retraction of the related paper, the mindful reader will remember....


Conclusion

I calculated the climate sensitivity in a temporary standstill period (or slightly decreasing) as it was detected in the observations of the EEI during 1999 to 2018. The ECS value of 1.72K as the best estimate is in excellent agreement with the value found in LC18, 1.66K using the then current C&W GMST dataset (see Tab.3 of this paper).


https://curryja.files.wordpress.com/2020/01/screen-shot-2020-01-10-at-2.11.03-pm.png


The published ECS-values of the CMIP6 models have a mean above 4 K (see this recent paper) that is higher by a factor of 2.4 than observed here. This growing discrepancy between observed values of ECS reduces the credibility of the high model estimates.



more at:
https://judithcurry.com/2020/01/10/...ight-of-the-latest-energy-imbalance-evidence/



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Cool story, shill.

How much did you get paid for this post? 50 cents? Or did your rates finally go up to a dollar?

 

[RocketLauncher]

http://static.boredpanda.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/people-respond-global-warming-deniers-17-5c58023e5bde9__700.jpg

 

[trysail]

"...dwindling sea ice has caused the polar vortex to split in three places...

...polar vortex splits like this will become more common..."

Yeah, uh huh, riiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiight.

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Are you actually that gullible?


​

 

[trysail]

...Since the industrial age began around 1750, atmospheric carbon dioxide has increased by 40%...

Okay. Now all you have to do is calculate climate sensitivity and inform us what all the wild exaggerations of "existential" "catastrophic" "dangerous" global warming/climate change are all about.


While you're at it, why did warming commence at the end of the Little Ice Age in c. 1700?

https://suyts.files.wordpress.com/2017/03/image6.png
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[phrodeau]

Yeah, uh huh, riiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiight.

​

Are you actually that gullible?


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Derision is a piss poor argument.

Okay. Now all you have to do is calculate climate sensitivity and inform us what all the wild exaggerations of "existential" "catastrophic" "dangerous" global warming/climate change are all about.


While you're at it, why did warming commence at the end of the Little Ice Age in c. 1700?

https://suyts.files.wordpress.com/2017/03/image6.png
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Do it yourself, or STFU.

 

[DMBFFF]

http://www.donnellycolt.com/catalog/media/S-GLB.jpg

(my bold and sizing)

[size=+1]Blind? I don't give a shit about any oil execs anymore than I give a shit about Jay Gould or Diamond Jim, John Rockefeller, or Andrew Carnegie. But giving the devil it's due at least they paid for their own monuments and not the taxpayer.

You are consumed with avarice my friend and that's a serious vice that will eat your soul away in the end.[/size]

bellisarius,

[size=+1]Surely bellisarius, you are better capable of connecting the dots.[/size]

I don't recognize two of those names or what the four-in-all did, but since you cited them, I'm going to presume those statues were likely paid for by men who made great fortunes selling fossil fuels which greatly increased the amount of CO2 which is predicted to greatly affect our climate.

Now, if you're going to deny the latter two—i.e. that we're increasing the CO2 and/or it's having an affect—then I suppose it ends here—go join the deniers. Those much younger than you who will curse you and your ilk, will likely curse those who've moved on. You will have lived a life of relative stability and prosperity, verdant land, and blues skies—you will have gotten yours. You will not be, say, among perhaps the 100 000s of climate refugees who will be machine-gunned, shelled, or bombed in your desperation.

But let's just say, for the sake of argument, the theory of human-cause increases of CO2 is true, and that the CO2 increases are adversely affecting our environment. Such might be in the vested interest of most people—perhaps even +99% of them—to limit such increases in carbon-dioxide, but not the richies in the fossil fuel industries. Environmental laws would not be in their interests. It'd be against their interest. If every American who drove a car instead drove 90% of the total annual distances they drove now—and instead walked, cycled, or used public transit for the other 10%—could cause $ billions of lost revenue. It might even cause leaders in OPEC nations to lose positions, perhaps lives.

Goodness knows what injury would be inflicted on the American coal industry if, say, +95% of American homes were each covered by a mere 40 square meters of foreign-made PVCs.

[size=+1]So you can see—maybe you can see—why I'm quite suspicious of the intentions of rich execs and shareholders in the fossil fuel industry, particularly when their lobbyists and political clients—such as the—if you will, avaricious president—try to hamstring efforts at climate control.

Yes, scientists need an income, but I think most undergraduates figure that science isn't where the big bucks are. When Dr. Jane Goodall first walked into the jungle, I don't think she was thinking of the book sales and speaking fees. Canada's own David Suzuki was into studying genetics and later hosting a science program and show. I don't think Neil deGrasse Tyson (wp) thinks his greatest accomplishment is to become a millionaire (assuming he is one—at least by annual income).

However, most in the petroleum industry are likely in it for the money. I don't think the "rough-necks" love their work—at least not as much as the money. Those who leave their (traditionally, at least) poor but beloved Newfoundland for the oil patch in Alberta will return to Newfoundland from time to time. Why do they do this? Why aren't they happy in the oil patch and return to their windswept rock with quaint houses and ocean views? I'm not sure if the offices of the major oil companies are located near the refineries. Ditto the homes of the top execs or major shareholders.

I suspect their motives are money.

and again, climate control threatens it.[/size]

...

With the price of new renewable energy plus storage getting to be less than the price of operating existing coal plants, there's hardly any benefit to digging up hydrocarbon fuel (aside from, maybe, preserving obsolete jobs rather than making the effort to retrain). On the other hand, there are measurable and meaningful costs - externalities - associated with burning hydrocarbon fuel.

[size="+6"]but trysail and his like are right: don't believe the scientists, believe the fossil-fuel industry—they have our best interests at heart—and read every word by the climate deniers—it's all truth, it's time well spent, and rarely if ever mentioned elsewhere.[/size] http://www.planetsmilies.com/smilies/rolleye/rolleye0012.gif

 

[SpeareChucker]

How dare you impugn their religion devoted to Gaia.



You are a very bad man.

 

[SpeareChucker]

What Rex has given is but a penny
to a Franklin of what has been
poured into the myth...

 

[RocketLauncher]

https://suyts.files.wordpress.com/2017/03/image6.png
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Ooooh! I like this graph! Where is this 'just chilly enough to wear that new sweater you bought' planet? I want to live there this planet sux.
Btw, I'm just here cuz i like graphs.I don't even care what they mean. Gotta say that flat liner graph is very pretty and tidy.

http://climate.nasa.gov/internal_resources/1901/

 

[SpeareChucker]

Argumentum ad Picture




That's how you know that you are dealing with great minds...

 

[RocketLauncher]

[/INDENT]

https://suyts.files.wordpress.com/2017/03/image6.png
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[/INDENT]

Those retards at NASA keep getting it wrong.
And their graphs are messy. S'up with that?
Maybe they should ask the disinformation shills how to make nicer graphs.

http://wdef.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/nolowerthird-3.jpg

 

[RocketLauncher]

Argumentum ad Picture




That's how you know that you are dealing with great minds...

What's that racist? You got something to say?

 

[RocketLauncher]

Why does the US employ NASA? Look at this pretty graph! Look!
TryFail hates NASA cuz they're stoopid and he's not.

http://climate.nasa.gov/system/resources/detail_files/9_c365-2-l.jpg

 

[SpeareChucker]

I know better than to try and say anything to True Believers and Proselytes...

 

[RocketLauncher]

I know better than to try and say anything to True Believers and Proselytes...

I know better than to engage in any discussion with narrow minded racists.
Now that's settled let's move along.
More graphs proving NASA is retarded, please and thank you.

 

[SpeareChucker]

I am a minority
yet you call me a racist.
I have a Science degree;
what is your level of achievement?

A BS in social hate?

 

[SpeareChucker]

You do know that graphs are just projections
based upon defining the axises?

 

[SpeareChucker]

Then again...



maybe you don't.

 

[RocketLauncher]

http://thedailybanter.com/.image/t_share/MTM2NjQzNjQ5ODI0NzYxNDM5/dad-what-is-science.jpg

 

[SpeareChucker]

:facepalm:

 

[RocketLauncher]

I am a minority
yet you call me a racist.
I have a Science degree;
what is your level of achievement?

A BS in social hate?

I'm a decent human being. Something you'll never achieve.

 

[SpeareChucker]

That's a subjective call, at best.



Have you run it by a jury?

 

[von_Bismarck]

I am a minority
yet you call me a racist.
I have a Science degree;
what is your level of achievement?

A BS in social hate?

Being a minority doesn't prevent one from being a racist.

Possessing a science degree doesn't prevent one from being ignorant. And, as has been repeatedly pointed out to you, you are far from the only poster with a science degree on the GB.

Yet you imply you're a mathmatician (sic) despite your failures of logic. Smh.