Professor who called Trump election now predicts impeachment

[JackLuis]

Professor who called Trump election now predicts impeachment

I think his analysis was good, but who knows if the Republicans will have the balls to impeach the Donald, even if he shoots someone on 5th Avenue on Good Morning America Live?

 

[BotanyBoy]

Professor who called Trump election now predicts impeachment

I think his analysis was good, but who knows if the Republicans will have the balls to impeach the Donald, even if he shoots someone on 5th Avenue on Good Morning America Live?

No shit...he's not Clinton, I don't think he can get away with major felonies while in office.

 

[Iceprincess12]

Georgia Peaches are the best, according to people in Georgia. I think they do mint juleps down that way as well. Ripe and juicy is the best way to enjoy Eye M's peach/mint pie!

 

[NOIRTRASH]

JACK? You lost the election. Strike a match and start anew.

 

[JackLuis]

JACK? You lost the election. Strike a match and start anew.

I'm trying Jimmy but the DNC is made of very dense shit!

 

[KingOrfeo]

Trump is completely oblivious to or dismissive of his manifold conflict-of-interest problems. He will be the first POTUS in history guilty of impeachable offenses the moment he takes office.

 

[rawsilk]

Professor who called Trump election now predicts impeachment

I think his analysis was good, but who knows if the Republicans will have the balls to impeach the Donald, even if he shoots someone on 5th Avenue on Good Morning America Live?

That is very disappointing. I would have liked to have seen this. 'Not available to watch' is my message. I get this message sometimes in Australia.

 

[KingOrfeo]

That is very disappointing. I would have liked to have seen this. 'Not available to watch' is my message. I get this message sometimes in Australia.

Well, in a nutshell, Prof. Lichtman says:

1. He correctly predicted Trump's victory because he ignored the polls and pundits. He developed his predictive model by studying every presidential election from 1860 to 1980 and compiled a list of 11 true-false questions about the party holding the WH at the time of the election -- e.g., did the incumbent POTUS have any dazzling domestic-policy achievements in his second term? (Obama didn't.) Did he have any major foreign policy achievements in his second term, comparable to killing bin Laden in his first term? (Obama didn't.) He says Trump won not because of the Trump campaign but in spite of it.

2. Less scientifically, he now predicts Trump will be impeached because candidates do not change once they take office. It's like a woman deciding to marry a man in hopes of changing him, it never works. What you see is what you get. And Trump has a long track record of playing fast and loose with the law. Also, he's an unpredictable wild card. You never know what he's going to do. Congressional Republicans don't like that, they like control, and they would much rather see a predictable figure like Pence in the Oval Office.

 

[rawsilk]

Well, in a nutshell, Prof. Lichtman says:

1. He correctly predicted Trump's victory because he ignored the polls and pundits. He developed his predictive model by studying every presidential election from 1860 to 1980 and compiled a list of 11 true-false questions about the party holding the WH at the time of the election -- e.g., did the incumbent POTUS have any dazzling domestic-policy achievements in his second term? (Obama didn't.) Did he have any major foreign policy achievements in his second term, comparable to killing bin Laden in his first term? (Obama didn't.) He says Trump won not because of the Trump campaign but in spite of it.

2. Less scientifically, he now predicts Trump will be impeached because candidates do not change once they take office. It's like a woman deciding to marry a man in hopes of changing him, it never works. What you see is what you get. And Trump has a long track record of playing fast and loose with the law. Also, he's an unpredictable wild card. You never know what he's going to do. Congressional Republicans don't like that, they like control, and they would much rather see a predictable figure like Pence in the Oval Office.

Thank you for taking the trouble to write this up for me KingOrfeo, most appreciated. I find the first section very interesting. I agree with what he says about Trump.