2016 Presidential Election: Who will win, by what margin of delegates?

[Jessie_Pinkman]

2016 Presidential Election: Who will win, by what margin of electors?

Poll closes Labor Day.

“I Told You So!”
Bragging rights to winner(s).

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

Some history:
List of United States presidential elections by Electoral College margin

Past 50 years:

1984 Ronald Reagan 512
1972 Richard Nixon 503
1980 Ronald Reagan 440
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson 434
1988 George H. W. Bush 315
1996 Bill Clinton 220
1992 Bill Clinton 202
2008 Barack Obama 192
2012 Barack Obama 126
1968 Richard Nixon 110
1976 Jimmy Carter 57
2004 George W. Bush 35
2000 George W. Bush 5

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

August 11 poll
Source:

Fox News

 

[Blue]

At this present moment the whole election is a yoyo. Two weeks ago if the election were then Trump would have won, last week if the election were then Hillary would have won, and it's going to keep on going like that up to the debates I say.

Right now I don't believe anybody who says that they're certain a candidate will win because I like to think I'm clued in and the national polls over time and when accounting for the current sentiment toward politics in the USA, it's practically neck-and-neck, although I do suspect that Clinton will win, but certainly not by a huge margin.

Consider this, people;
This is no normal election. You have the most hated woman in America running against, and I emphasize on every single word of this, a crazy braindead fascistic Oompa Loompa.
Again; a crazy braindead fascistic Oompa Loompa.

Separate the characters from the names for a second.
A political shark VS a crazy know-nothing overt fascist mentalist. Which one is going to win? Why, obviously the political shark. I mean, duh. But that's just not happening this election, the political shark is actually genuinely struggling to overcome the other monstrosity in public support. So ask yourselves; if she can't even beat THAT, is Clinton really presidential material like the media wants you to believe?

I did a breakdown 4 months ago of why it couldn't be determined then who would win, and I stand by that position. It's outdated and needs to be updated but I think it's still valid.
http://forum.literotica.com/showthread.php?t=1310856

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

Why Clinton Doesn’t Have This Race Locked Up

 

[Iceprincess12]

Where's the poll for you slumming in the playground? I would have voted in it.

 

[MrRandyWatson]

August 11 poll
Source:

Fox News

So if this picture holds, Trump can win every single toss-up state and still lose. This reads like a blowout for Clinton, and that's even assuming there's no way Texas goes blue.

That said, I'm still looking for jobs in Canada. And Norway. I can swallow Clinton. But Trump can go straight to hell.

 

[NOIRTRASH]

Polls are shit unless you walk them. But the newspaper pollsters don't walk their polls. Its too expensive. HRC and TRUMP walk their polls and know the real score.

HRC is sick and taking lotsa time with doctors, plus she spends 100 million on commercials. Trump stays on the road and spends 12 million on ads. That tells me HRC is losing.

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

Poll closes Labor Day.

“I Told You So!”
Bragging rights to winner(s).

5 days left.

Record your prediction.

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

Swing State update

Link

 

[phrodeau]

Arizona should also be on there. After last night's speech, it's a toss-up.

 

[Boxlicker101]

I don't know which of these idiots will win but, whichever does, the USA will be the loser.

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

Poll closes Labor Day.

“I Told You So!”
Bragging rights to winner(s).

3 days left.

Record your prediction.

 

[Liar]

Heh. Thought I voted before. Apparently not.

Trump will claw back some states but not enough. Clinton wins comfortably, but no landslide.

 

[NeverEndingMe]

the sad thing about this upcoming election. Real American's will suffer. Thank God, hillary is a fuck up and her being morally bankrupt should cause her to lose the election ... not that this will be a good thing for America

hillary and Donald (dumb and dumber)

 

[patient1]

538's Polls Plus forecast looks like this today-

ELECTORAL VOTES
Hillary Clinton 300.8
Donald Trump 237.0
Gary Johnson 0.2

POPULAR VOTE
Hillary Clinton 47.6%
Donald Trump 44.5%
Gary Johnson 6.6%

I transferred his map to this interactive one, leaving the states with a vote margin of 3% or less either way, gray. Have fun. If you think it will go to Gary Johnson or Jill Stein you can make it gray.

http://www.270towin.com/maps/X7VdQ

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

Poll closes Labor Day.

“I Told You So!”
Bragging rights to winner(s).

One day left.

Record your prediction.

 

[HouseOfTease]

ALICE COOPER 2016

 

[patient1]

It's looking much tighter at the moment.

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

It's looking much tighter at the moment.

I'll say.

Swing State update

Link

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

 

[Hypoxia]

At this moment https://electionbettingodds.com/ puts the victory odds at Clinton 83.0% and Tromp 16.5%, with 323 vs 215 electoral votes. The odds keep fluctuating but the vote spread is pretty constant. So HRC wins with over 100 EV margin.

 

[Hypoxia]

This mystical Chinese monkey has figured out who will win the U.S. election

With U.S. polls yo-yoing and conspiracy theories swirling on both sides of the political spectrum, some of the smartest people in politics are at a loss in predicting the outcome of Tuesday’s presidential election.

So, since people can’t seem to predict the most epic election in U.S. history, why not let animals give it a shot?

Thankfully, the Shiyanhu Ecological Tourism Park in China’s Hunan province had the same idea, and decided to roll out their not-so-secret weapon for unmasking the future: a Chinese monkey described as the “king of prophets,” according to Agence France-Presse.

His name is Geda, and local legend has pegged him as a mystical monkey with prophetic insight — one with an impressive record of correctly predicting the winners of European soccer matches.

Spoiler: the monkey kissed Tromp. With tongue. Lord have mercy.