Here's How Donald Trump Could Become President

[4est_4est_Gump]

Russia wants Donald for C-in-C. 4 star General Allen wants Hillary. Who do you trust?

Not Hillary. No one does. Not even the Russians. They have proved that every day since she gave them the "overcharge" button. They realize that the Democrats are clowns who do not understand geopolitical reality, that they actually believe the shit they rain down on us about how the world works.

There you go. Original thought that can actually bust the 140 character limit.

 

[Que]

Even Nate Silver says Trump would win if the election were held today:

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/757558402667188224

"TRUMP now leads in 538's now-cast, our estimate of what would happen in an election today. http://53eig.ht/2aq4w6p"

Trump 57.5% chance of winning

Clinton 42.5% chance of winning



Now that surprised me.

He goes on to say in a tweet right after that that Clinton still leads in his polls plus model which accounts for the post-convention bounce.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

He's polling plus-sized models?

​

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Poling?

 

[Que]

He's polling plus-sized models?

​

I laughed.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

That's all I was aiming for...



If I don't start the day out laughing, I take it out on my crew.

 

[toubab]

He goes on to say in a tweet right after that that Clinton still leads in his polls plus model which accounts for the post-convention bounce.

The point is he said Trump would win if the election were held now, based on current polling. His polls plus model is a projection of what he thinks will happen in the future. That's the plus part.

 

[Que]

The point is he said Trump would win if the election were held now, based on current polling. His polls plus model is a projection of what he thinks will happen in the future. That's the plus part.

In a Datsun B210+, the plus is 5 gears.

 

[toubab]

USC/LA Times Trump lead continues to grow

http://96.127.53.23/election/

Trump 46.3

Clinton 41.1

 

[Adre]

Not Hillary. No one does. Not even the Russians. They have proved that every day since she gave them the "overcharge" button. They realize that the Democrats are clowns who do not understand geopolitical reality, that they actually believe the shit they rain down on us about how the world works.

There you go. Original thought that can actually bust the 140 character limit.

Like I give a crap who Putin trusts. Particularly now that Trump has given him permission to occupy his NATO neighbors should he so choose. Better he should be a little afraid and unsure.

 

[toubab]

Like I give a crap who Putin trusts. Particularly now that Trump has given him permission to occupy his NATO neighbors should he so choose. Better he should be a little afraid and unsure.

Maybe the NATO neighbors should be a little afraid and unsure and kick in their 2% toward their own defense as agreed, if they don't presently. Then they would have nothing to fear from what Trump said. I would welcome better relations with the Russians, by the way.

 

[RobDownSouth]

http://96.127.53.23/election/

Trump 46.3

Clinton 41.1

Interesting poll methodology, one I have not seen before.

What is the purpose of deliberately over-sampling Native Americans and young households in Los Angeles county?

Not knocking it (yet), there may be some sort of valid reason for this. Just strikes me as odd.

 

[toubab]

Interesting poll methodology, one I have not seen before.

What is the purpose of deliberately over-sampling Native Americans and young households in Los Angeles county?

Not knocking it (yet), there may be some sort of valid reason for this. Just strikes me as odd.

The part of the methodology I like is it's the same 3000 people, regardless of how they picked them, so everything is relative. Trump's lead is going up at present among that group of people. Soon it will probably be going down again, if history repeats itself and Hillary gets a bounce from her convention.

 

[toubab]

Here's another poll I consider significant because I think of Missouri as a bellwether state, despite having gone fairly strongly for Romney last time:

http://www.ksdk.com/news/politics/poll-trump-leads-clinton-in-mo-by-10-points/280772539

Trump has a ten point lead according to the poll, including 20 points among men and two points among women.

 

[Adre]

Here's another poll I consider significant because I think of Missouri as a bellwether state, despite having gone fairly strongly for Romney last time:

http://www.ksdk.com/news/politics/poll-trump-leads-clinton-in-mo-by-10-points/280772539

Trump has a ten point lead according to the poll, including 20 points among men and two points among women.

Take a look at Arizona, since you're cherry picking polls in July. It has gone Democatic once in forty years. (Someone named Clinton.) Then I'll remind you that no poll means anything until mid September.

 

[toubab]

Take a look at Arizona, since you're cherry picking polls in July. It has gone Democatic once in forty years. (Someone named Clinton.) Then I'll remind you that no poll means anything until mid September.

Arizona is not even close to being a bellwether state. Aside from that, Trump is ahead by four there in the latest poll I've seen (PPP), so I don't see your point.

 

[toubab]

I'm posting this just because I find it interesting, not because I like this poll:

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN1062MC

Trump now ahead in this poll by two. First time since May, I think. Less than two weeks ago Clinton was ahead by 12, as I recall.

Apparently Trump's convention was a good one, when even this poll shows him ahead.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

It's going to get worse when Assange starts dumping the emails from her server...

 

[toubab]

It's going to get worse when Assange starts dumping the emails from her server...

If that actually happens, the Democrats are going to become suicidal.

 

[toubab]

Damn, Trump still going up, Hillary still going down

http://96.127.53.23/election/

Trump 47

Clinton 40.4


Okay, Hillary's convention bounce had better begin soon.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

If that actually happens, the Democrats are going to become suicidal.

You might want to read what I just posted in the other thread.



I am not going to be a popular person here any time soon...

Good thing I have the worst of them on ignore.

Have a great day, I'm off to work.

 

[toubab]

You might want to read what I just posted in the other thread.



I am not going to be a popular person here any time soon...

Good thing I have the worst of them on ignore.

Have a great day, I'm off to work.

"I have one more thing to add before I push off to work, and a lot of you are not going to like it, but I'm going to state this with clear conscience and love of country.

If this is the work of the Russians, good for them. They are doing the work the American press should have been doing. We have stood by and watched for years as they did everything they could to protect the Democrat Party, advance the Democrat Party and sway elections to the Democrat Party and I think the Democrat outrage is a childish temper tantrum because they are suddenly not controlling the dialog.

Our press should have gotten to the bottom of the emails and the server, but they would not, instead they tried, against all logic and reason to dismiss it and say it wasn't so. They made it quite clear that they were going to get Mrs. Clinton off the hook in order to install her in the White House. The fact that the "evil" Russians might have put a roadblock in her way makes me feel a little more free today because someone has outed the corruption and duplicity of the Democrat Party and the National Press that has become a integral and important part of it."


I assume you meant the above comment, 4est. Thought I'd quote it here because it's well worth reading. I agree in general with what you said. I can see why it will be unpopular with some here.

 

[eyerami]

The honorary transfer of the locker room towel from miles to touby sure was swift.

 

[Adre]

"I have one more thing to add before I push off to work, and a lot of you are not going to like it, but I'm going to state this with clear conscience and love of country.

If this is the work of the Russians, good for them. They are doing the work the American press should have been doing. We have stood by and watched for years as they did everything they could to protect the Democrat Party, advance the Democrat Party and sway elections to the Democrat Party and I think the Democrat outrage is a childish temper tantrum because they are suddenly not controlling the dialog.

Our press should have gotten to the bottom of the emails and the server, but they would not, instead they tried, against all logic and reason to dismiss it and say it wasn't so. They made it quite clear that they were going to get Mrs. Clinton off the hook in order to install her in the White House. The fact that the "evil" Russians might have put a roadblock in her way makes me feel a little more free today because someone has outed the corruption and duplicity of the Democrat Party and the National Press that has become a integral and important part of it."


I assume you meant the above comment, 4est. Thought I'd quote it here because it's well worth reading. I agree in general with what you said. I can see why it will be unpopular with some here.

So AJ approves of criminality and subversive actions when they help advance his personal beliefs and support his own narrative. He even calls this love of country. This comes as no surprise to most of us. Too bad his lapdog and fellow bro in hypocrisy is no longer here to chime in with agreement.

 

[Wrong Element]

https://thumbs.dreamstime.com/x/farmer-wife-picking-cherries-cherry-tree-14814655.jpg