February 2016 Poll: USA President Prediction

[Jessie_Pinkman]

Tracking our predictions monthly.

Again, this is not who you want to win, but who you predict will win.

Discussions welcome.


Link to January poll
Link to December poll

 

[Adjudicator]

I think Hillary will win. I don't know that I want this, and I'm still having trouble finding a candidate who works for me. Trump is not for me. I'm thrilled about Trump's runner-up finish in yesterday's caucus.

 

[sexnovella]

Clinton

Looks like you will get a female president for the first time.

 

[Liar]

Yeah. Still Hil.

Might shift over the course of the next month or two.

 

[Liar]

Paul is out. One more less "other" to keep track of.

 

[MrRandyWatson]

My heart says Sanders, but my head says Clinton over Cruz.

 

[The_Trouvere]

Marco Rubio has become a laughing stock. I do not think he can recover from his repeated 25 second speech.

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

Is Cruz closing in, or is Fox fucking with the data?



...or both?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_cruz_vs_clinton-4034.html

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

“Mark my word, if and when these preachers get control of the [Republican] party, and they're sure trying to do so, it's going to be a terrible damn problem. Frankly, these people frighten me. Politics and governing demand compromise. But these Christians believe they are acting in the name of God, so they can't and won't compromise. I know, I've tried to deal with them.”
― Barry M. Goldwater Republican Presidential candidate

 

[seth6138]

There wont be a GOP President for the next 25-30 years...

 

[about_average]

Scalia's death has made it really difficult to call. If the Senate doesn't approve anyone to fill his seat before the election I think the republicans will win the election no matter who is nominated. Conservatives are a lot better at getting out the "the-sky-is-falling" vote than democrats and the thought of another judge appointed by a democratic president is definitely an armageddon like event.
Such a judge would immediately seize all guns, force all women to have abortions a week before their due date and force everyone in to a same sex marriage.

As an aside, if by some miracle Sanders gets the nomination I'll vote for him. The first democrat I'll have voted for in over 30 years.

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

Dems: Bernie will outperform Hillary, but she'll still get the nomination based on the Democratic super delegates. True to form, Hillary will win...not because she won the most votes, but because she cut a back-room deal.

Repub: Donald loses...but he does it ugly. Without Donald, Jeb looks like the moderate republican he is, and after Romney and McCain, he inspires no one. The only one left standing who was ruthless enough to fight Donald in the trenches is Ted Cruz. Repubs hold their noses and coalesce around Ted, who chooses Marco Rubio as his running mate.
Los Hermanos Cubanos.

General Election: Hillary loses big, huge, almost as bad as Walter Mondale in 84. Unable to reassemble the Obama Coalition, she reveals herself as an all around poor candidate. Awkward, condescending, and shrill. All her issues, legal and otherwise, come into play in the general election. After she loses the election, the FBI announces they'll indict her....but Obama pardons her....

Repubs keep the senate (smaller margin), but pickup seats in the house. The nuclear option is utilized to nominate a far-right supreme court justice and RBG retires as well as Kennedy, giving President Cruz three nominations to the high court.

As likely as anything else.....I guess.

Hillary wipes out Sanders in the southern states.
Along with the super delegates, it's not even close- Sanders hangs in there until a month or two before the Dem convention, then gracefully exits left stage.

Hillary beats Trump in a close race.

My prediction.

 

[JackLuis]

Commentary: What it takes to buy the president

Half a century ago, journalist Joe McGinniss authored The Selling of the President, a brilliant exposé about the unabashed marketing of successful 1968 presidential candidate Richard M. Nixon. The image on the book jacket perhaps said it all: the candidate’s smiling face emblazoned on a pack of cigarettes.

The extent of the shameless packaging of a national politician, indeed, a former vice president running for the White House, was a revelation to most Americans. It reflected a much darker view of the American presidential election process than had been portrayed in Theodore H. White’s iconic series of books, The Making of the President.
How quaint that innocence lost appears today. U.S. presidential elections have become garish media spectacles. It is a bazaar of candidates, consultants, pundits, and assorted hucksters that lasts a full two years—half the length of an elected president’s term in office. Every four years, the American people endure by far the longest and most expensive election of any nation in the world—until the next one. The 2016 race for the White House is the wildest, most expensive money and media circus ever.

Ask yourself "Why are American Elections so Long?" $$$$$$$$

 

[Aglaopheme]

http://media3.s-nbcnews.com/j/newscms/2016_07/1421771/nbc_news-wall_street_journal_poll_republican_primary_chartbuilder_b4102886e8e96e97c555721606684388.nbcnews-ux-2880-1000.png

 

[Hard_Rom]

Commentary: What it takes to buy the president



Ask yourself "Why are American Elections so Long?" $$$$$$$$

http://www.breitbart.com/london/201...-general-election-campaign-in-modern-history/

For 78 days, everything else in Canada will be pushed to the back pages, as the five leaders vie for control of Parliament, and a country with a falling dollar, lagging international relevance, and deteriorating social infrastructure.

*and cost $443 million dollars, taxpayers on the hook for almost half that*

This will be the longest federal election in Canada since the first two. The Canadian Press claims that the 1867 campaign was 81 days, and the 1872 campaign 96 days. Of course, late 19th century politics were plagued by a lack of technology that facilitates contemporary elections and their lengths were born of necessity.

 

[about_average]

Scalia's death has made it really difficult to call. If the Senate doesn't approve anyone to fill his seat before the election I think the republicans will win the election no matter who is nominated. Conservatives are a lot better at getting out the "the-sky-is-falling" vote than democrats and the thought of another judge appointed by a democratic president is definitely an armageddon like event.
Such a judge would immediately seize all guns, force all women to have abortions a week before their due date and force everyone in to a same sex marriage.

Ha, I was right, or close enough anyway.
I was catching up on All Things Considered, streaming it, and on Monday's show some idiot claimed if another liberal was appointed to the court all restrictions on abortion would be removed and women could get abortions any time they want for any reason.

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

Donald Trump is an entertainer. His presidential campaign consists of him reading his audience and giving them what they want. And they love him for it. Saying controversial stuff is entertaining, and gets better ratings (in this case, more votes).

So far, the only strategy has been to try to tell his audience why they are wrong to like him, "like me instead". This will never work, at least not with this field of candidates, and it's too late for someone else to join the race.

And by the time Rubio or Cruz drops out and endorses the other, it will be too late.

America will have to decide between Trump and (Clinton or Sanders).

 

[MaryanneB]

Big Bird with Elmer Fudd as Veep
Makes as much sense as what's offered.

 

[NOIRTRASH]

Donald Trump is an entertainer. His presidential campaign consists of him reading his audience and giving them what they want. And they love him for it. Saying controversial stuff is entertaining, and gets better ratings (in this case, more votes).

So far, the only strategy has been to try to tell his audience why they are wrong to like him, "like me instead". This will never work, at least not with this field of candidates, and it's too late for someone else to join the race.

And by the time Rubio or Cruz drops out and endorses the other, it will be too late.

America will have to decide between Trump and (Clinton or Sanders).

Next time run some candidates people want. Americans know that everyone but Trump will allow the national ruin to continue. You've earned a complimentary free membership to the LIT GB DUM FUCKS LIST.

 

[BotanyBoy]

Donald Trump is an entertainer. His presidential campaign consists of him reading his audience and giving them what they want. And they love him for it. Saying controversial stuff is entertaining, and gets better ratings (in this case, more votes).

So far, the only strategy has been to try to tell his audience why they are wrong to like him, "like me instead". This will never work, at least not with this field of candidates, and it's too late for someone else to join the race.

And by the time Rubio or Cruz drops out and endorses the other, it will be too late.

America will have to decide between Trump and (Clinton or Sanders).

I don't think Rubio, Cruz, Kasich and Carson are dropping out.

Rubio as of yesterday was talking about a brokered convention. Watch, the good ol' boys club at the RNC is going to try and sink Trump and shove Rubio down the voters throats. They want to sink trump so bad they can't even see straight.

And I have a sneaking suspicion if Sanders pulls any less than 66+% of the vote, the super delegates are going to run HRC.

 

[Jessie_Pinkman]

I don't think Rubio, Cruz, Kasich and Carson are dropping out.

Rubio as of yesterday was talking about a brokered convention. Watch, the good ol' boys club at the RNC is going to try and sink Trump and shove Rubio down the voters throats. They want to sink trump so bad they can't even see straight.

And I have a sneaking suspicion if Sanders pulls any less than 66+% of the vote, the super delegates are going to run HRC.

I don't think the RNC has the balls to stand in Trump's way.
Trump is having Obama 2008 like crowds showing up.

He's done what the RNC has failed to do since Regan- actually excite the voters, and get huge turnouts.

Bottom line- Trump is bigger than the RNC.

 

[RUlookingup]

My March vote is for Trump once again. Pilot you've got Hillary. Anyone else?

 

[MichaelinChina]

Just here for you to notice my signature line!

 

[RUlookingup]

Just here for you to notice my signature line!

K.I.S.S.

 

[RUlookingup]

Keep it simple stupid