Ebola...........by the numbers.

[Ishmael]

The rate of new infections hasn't been going up nearly that fast. If you go by the WHO numbers, the number of infected has about doubled in the last 5 weeks -- which is certainly awful, but not quite as awful as more than doubling over the next 20 days as you propose could happen. For there to be a million plus cases by January, which is the number I've seen speculated on in multiple places, things would have to kick into an entirely new gear.


The good news is that for now, the problem hasn't spread appreciably. Nigeria hasn't had a new case in a month, which was the ultimate nightmare scenario.

Yes it has, read the news. Cases are doubling every two to three weeks. And my math fits the known facts.

Ishmael

 

[Sean]

Yes it has, read the news. Cases are doubling every two to three weeks. And my math fits the known facts.

Ishmael

The last case in Nigeria was 5th September.

 

[Que]

I thought what I wrote was reasonably concise, and you certainly understood the meaning of what I wrote very well, and very obviously.

And I agree with your further comments. This thing is probably going to be contained, as it has been before, but if it isn't....

The piece was short, I mean you and I are not very concise in our sentence construction. We seem to have a similar tendency to write in elongated, not quite run-on sentences, that sound better conversationally (with all the pauses and inflections) but need to be read with more care for understanding.

The thing that is irresponsible is we know how to end it completely. Absolute quarantine, no one in or out of a village until all victims dead and all possible infectious waste dealt with. You then take your survivors and quarantine them until you are absolutely sure they either beat it (study them) or were never exposed.

 

[toubab]

So "otherwise" means that chances are it won't be a pandemic, thus you started the sentence by bullshitting.

Unbelievable. It's hard to believe English is the native language of some of you people.

 

[Que]

The last case in Nigeria was 5th September.

That is very good news for that region. Have they done anything different by way of travel restriction? Do they have better facilities for isolation?

Do they currently have any infected people from a month ago that are still alive?

 

[Sean]

http://news.bbcimg.co.uk/media/images/78148000/jpg/_78148176_ebola_cumulative_8_october.jpg

 

[Que]

Unbelievable. It's hard to believe English is the native language of some of you people.

Sometimes I think people are just fucking around being obtuse. Other times, I think they really are that obtuse. Hard to say.

 

[phrodeau]

Unbelievable. It's hard to believe English is the native language of some of you people.

The only other options are that "otherwise" means there will definitely be a pandemic, or definitely will not. Nobody in the whole world has said either of those things.

 

[toubab]

The piece was short, I mean you and I are not very concise in our sentence construction. We seem to have a similar tendency to write in elongated, not quite run-on sentences, that sound better conversationally (with all the pauses and inflections) but need to be read with more care for understanding.

The thing that is irresponsible is we know how to end it completely. Absolute quarantine, no one in or out of a village until all victims dead and all possible infectious waste dealt with. You then take your survivors and quarantine them until you are absolutely sure they either beat it (study them) or were never exposed.

I certainly could construct sentences better in some cases if I took a great deal of time to do so, as in formal writing, but this is a fucking message board, and informal writing, as I'm sure you understand. You generally write rather well here, by the way.

As for your latest comment, quarantine is the obvious way to contain this virus, and the only feasible way, at this point. It's the method that's been used for centuries, and it works.

 

[Que]

http://news.bbcimg.co.uk/media/images/78148000/jpg/_78148176_ebola_cumulative_8_october.jpg

I guess, good think that isn't a global warming graph. We'd all be dead by Christmas.

I didn't realize Nigeria had so few case. I suppose that if the Spanish nurse has it and infects no one else you could say that Spain "conquered" it's "Ebola problem."

Be more relevant to see the places which have reached critical mass of number of infections taper off.

 

[toubab]

The only other options are that "otherwise" means there will definitely be a pandemic, or definitely will not. Nobody in the whole world has said either of those things.

To the contrary, some people have said this will be a pandemic, and some have said it won't be. Neither thing can be said with certainty.

 

[Ishmael]

I guess, good think that isn't a global warming graph. We'd all be dead by Christmas.

I didn't realize Nigeria had so few case. I suppose that if the Spanish nurse has it and infects no one else you could say that Spain "conquered" it's "Ebola problem."

Be more relevant to see the places which have reached critical mass of number of infections taper off.

The problem with the Spanish case is that no one has figured out how she caught it. She was always in a 'space suit' and allegedly followed the protocols. That particular case is causing some medicos to begin to question the efficacy of the space suits.

Ishmael

 

[phrodeau]

To the contrary, some people have said this will be a pandemic, and some have said it won't be. Neither thing can be said with certainty.

I see. And Susan Rice said that the Benghazi attack was caused by an internet video, too.

 

[Que]

I certainly could construct sentences better in some cases if I took a great deal of time to do so, as in formal writing, but this is a fucking message board, and informal writing, as I'm sure you understand. You generally write rather well here, by the way.

As for your latest comment, quarantine is the obvious way to contain this virus, and the only feasible way, at this point. It's the method that's been used for centuries, and it works.

The most common complaint I get beyond being an idiot for not sharing their beliefs is the volume or syllables of words I use to get my point across.

I'm about to the mid-century mark; I assume you are in my age range +/-.

I sometimes forget a generation raised on text-speak and thumb-saving short-hand, do not appreciate sentence construction. I have actually had people say "lol" out loud instead of merely smiling, saying "funny," "clever," or "cute." Heaven forfend they should actually laugh our loud rather than abbreviate it- even in person. I have had people say "lol" after actually emitting a guffaw. As if I needed to have it explained that they were l-o-l-ing.

 

[Beco]

How's your jihad to run me off this board comin' along? Any progress yet? Hmmm?

Ive given a cash contribution to the cause....

 

[phrodeau]

I think we're getting a handle on it. If airplane food makes you upchuck, they'll quarantine your flight.

http://www.mynews3.com/content/news...flight-quarantine/LJWYMIjKHUmqaWhi5Cn7KA.cspx

 

[Beco]

Sometimes I think people are just fucking around being obtuse. Other times, I think they really are that obtuse. Hard to say.

Learn a new word today??

 

[Que]

Ive given a cash contribution to the cause....

You Jews and your money.....

...are much appreciated.

No one wants to actually run him off, he serves as such a great cautionary example.

I suspect if I hadn't stuck some shit to his shoes as he used to breeze between being vulgar and confrontational in political threads and schmoozin' wit teh ladeez, he would have breezed into the HOF threads the way he did and gotten at least some sympathy nominations. As it is, no one wants to denounce him after failing to do so for years of his crap, but no one wanted to step up and accept his brand of stink on them either.

Learn a new word today??

My working vernacular hasn't changed much since it was measured in about 5th grade. Obtuse, I usually reserve for Sgt Spidey since it seems to be a specialty of his.

I read that sentence of his repeatedly and can discern no other way to interpret it. You could break out a separate sentence of "Those that suggest that it is not at all possible are bullshitting."

~shrug~

 

[RobDownSouth]

Learn a new word today??

You could always tell when Vetty got his large-print Reader's Digest in the mail...he'd be working those words from "It Pays To Enrich Your Word Power" into his posts. His new prison bitch seems to be doing the same thing.

 

[Bidin~Time]

Learn a new word today??

It will be a nice change from the current new word and it variations.

 

[RobDownSouth]

My working vernacular hasn't changed much since it was measured in about 5th grade.

That's my analysis too: working vocabulary of a fifth grader. Mental development of one, as well.

:nods:

 

[Que]

You could always tell when Vetty got his large-print Reader's Digest in the mail...he'd be working those words from "It Pays To Enrich Your Word Power" into his posts. His new prison bitch seems to be doing the same thing.

It is interesting the long list of insecurities you project. Although I recognize that most of your most clever wordplay usages are lifted from elsewhere (as they are not in your "voice,") I wouldn't think vocabulary would have been one of those things that you feel the need to attack to make yourself feel "inbiggened" (to borrow from your vernacular.) You seem to have an adequate vocabulary from what I can see.

Do you really believe that the same people that find me a bit pretentious in my word choices and usage are also going to assume my working vocabulary is somehow cobbled together on the fly from a word a day calender?

Did you know that studies have shown that voracious readers of fiction have larger vocabularies than even those that read a similar volume of non-fiction? I read a lot of both so I have a surfeit of words in just about any situation. I recognize that I would make you feel just as inadequate in person as I do online, but if you did experience that, you would find that I write in a style that is, for me, conversational. Yes I am just as pompous in person.

I am often asked why I use "big words." Generally it is after I have used one that to the listener was not in common usage. Most of the time they not only understood my meaning but also had at least some prior exposure to the word. Invariably I can demonstrate that one word of three syllables actually shortens the amount of words necessary to accurately convey a thought. I could use monosyllabic words, but what would be the point? Larger or slightly more obscure words all serve a function. If a perfect word already existed for a given situation the new one would never have been created. I have no way of knowing except in the most general of terms what a person I am talking to does or does not know.

My vocabulary already included every word they tested for at a very young age, so how could I possibly know what is missing from others lexicon? I think people that know me personally would be insulted if I suddenly "dumbed it down" speaking to them. A fair number of my friends did not learn English first. Even non-native speakers can usually understand my meaning.

That's my analysis too: working vocabulary of a fifth grader. Mental development of one, as well.

:nods:

~chuckle~

Ok, Bobbie, I guess you got me on emotional development as well.

 

[RobDownSouth]

I guess you got me on emotional development as well.

I'm thinking third grade on the emotional development. That would explain your utter devotion to the alpha tards, err, the "big kids".

 

[Que]

I'm thinking third grade on the emotional development. That would explain your utter devotion to the alpha tards, err, the "big kids".

I'm going to have to start charging you for the therapy. What is this latest insecurity with your "alpha-tude" you have been exhibiting?

I noticed it started about the time you finally got a girlfriend. Trouble in that department now, or were you just reticent to give voice to your fears before you had that in some sort of upward trajectory?

You do know I put zero value on manly-man stuff, yes?

The way you use "alpha" comes across like the incels that Elliot Roger palled around with. Alpha can be also used in a generic "leader of the pack" sort of way, but combined with your announcing the "beta-tude" of other dudes it comes off sounding like you just bought a second-hand cum-encrusted PUA book.

All men are a mix of the so-called Alpha and Beta traits. Classically the "Alpha" traits come from the dark triad and are often shorthanded as "asshole" traits. Frankly, were I you, I wouldn't put a lot of effort into how you employ that with other males. It just comes across as try hard. I have noticed none of that in your interactions with women. I realize you have a lot of insecurity there, but think jaunty, maybe.

As far as Beta traits those are often associated with comfort and security. The sort of guy that is more prone to marry then engage in one-night stands. Even a "Twue Alpha" such as yourself can benefit by balancing some of those traits into your composite self.

I'll leave you with this helpful thought: It is very Beta to spend a lot of time concerned about what other guys Alpha to Beta ratio is.

 

[Disgustipated]

So how many of those coming over the border have died from Ebola in the US?