For Those Who Might Be Wondering Why We Might Be In Ukraine


What's that got to do with the price of fish in China?

Random photo, out of context, undated, very likely photoshopped or AI. Or alternatively a bunch of Russian cosplayers, which has happened inthe past. I do see the Azov flag, and as literally EVERYONE knows, Azov has been cleared of any accusations of being infiltrated by Nazi's. Azov is now officially incporporated within the Ukrainian military, which does not tolerate politics or extremism of any sort within us ranks. Even the US State Department, infested as it is by left wing faggots, pedophiles, Democrats and Russian symps, has cleared Azov.

This is the type of bullshit post Russian-symps put out there, and it's basically a waste of space and brain cells. Besides, literally, who cares. Azov are the good guys, the best of the best.

 
Russia is in the middle of an irrcoverable refinery damage & overuse failure cascade.

I just gave myself a lesson on oilfield logistics. Sharing this, for what it's worth. My brain hurts but it's been a really interesting hour reading up on this and making notes. Feel free to comment - an hour ago I knew nothing about this!!!! Now I'm like, holy fuck, the Ukrainians really know what they're doing. Russia is screwed for a generation.


There are good reasons Russia is now looking to purchase gasoline from abroad to replace what they can no longer produce and deliver internally. Russia is in the middle of a refinery damage & overuse failure cascade.

The first reality of the Russo-Ukrainian war is that Russia has now lost most of its EU energy market and both the Soviet Union's & Russia's more efficient energy transportation means from its refineries were made obsolete overnight. Russia spent 50 years creating an energy market in Europe. Putin destroyed it in less than 50 weeks — Bloomberg. The publication notes that it will be practically impossible to replace the logistics chains of the energy market, which have been built up over decades. A network of gasfirleds, refineries and pipelines developed at a cost of hundreds of billions of dollars has been thrown away.

This has put overwhelming pressure on both the foreign export and internal markets because the Russian Federation inherited the Soviet Union's logistically brittle energy refining and distribution infrastructure.
What most people miss about the Ukrainian oil campaign is that each Russian refinery was built to support certain local & international markets with certain types of crude oil. This makes the entire Russian energy market "logistically brittle." Russia's oil refinery's locations and local/international markets were built by the Soviet Union. They each were fed specific grades of crude oil, and the Soviet/Russian state railways fuel tank car fleets were scaled for just-in-time deliveries to & from those refineries. Ukraine's drone strategic bombing campaign hasn't been aimed at simply reducing Russian refinery output. It is aimed to DESTABILIZE THE ENTIRE RUSSIAN ENERGY SUPPLY CHAIN for export, civilian economic and Russian military operations.

Oil refineries are fine tuned for specific grades of crude oil. They can be used for other types of crude oil, but it will be "noneconomic," AKA money losing. A "Light" grade crude oil refinery won't economically operate with "Heavy" crude. Nor will a refinery tuned for a "Sour" oil blend work well with "Sweet" crude. And crude can be "Sour-Heavy" or "Sweet-Light." When Ukraine takes out a major oil pumping station feeding or exporting from a particular refinery, it requires the Russian state railways to use its now too small for the job (and wearing out) railway tanker car fleet to move crude to that refinery AND THEN move refined product elsewhere. When Ukraine hit the Primorsk oil-loading port infrastructure in the Baltic, it turned the entire Baltic pipeline system feeding it into a giant oil storage tank until winter, where there is a "non-zero" chance the Russian oil products will freeze inside the pipeline, damaging it, probably extensively as there is, literally, nowhere for the oil to go, and unlike the USA, Russia has no huge tank farms or oil storage facilities.

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Literallty, the infrastructure isn't there to redirect the oil flow towards China...it's all directed to the Black Sea, Rutope and the Baltic

Ukrainian economic intelligence analysts are pulling data from every source it can not only for further refinery targeting, but for increasing the supply disruptions. The strategic scale economic attrition side of state-warfare is amongst the least understood and most decisive. Ukraine is now playing a game of asymmetric logistical warfare against the economic foundations of a "Mafia state with a gas station attached." Ukraine’s systematic strikes on Russian oil storage tanks aren’t just aimed at creating big fires. They were shaping operations for logistically unraveling the energy supply chain

Russia faces a “reverse supply chain crisis”. Instead of shortage, it has an unmanageable surplus of oil in its hands with no means to refine, transport, or sell it, leaving the state forced to either shut down production or waste the very resource that underpins its economy. If russia can’t do something with the oil it produces, russia will have to shut down its oil wells. This is done by basically capping them. When youuncap and restart the well, the physics and pressure underground has drastically changed, leading to output losses of as much as 50%. You might as well drill new wells from scratch. Old wells will become very inefficient and costly. So even if russia’s oil producing capacity is out of Ukraine’s reach - it’s all in Siberia and far up North after all - by destroying russia’s refining and export capacity, which is absolutely within its reach, Ukraine will also indirectly wipe out the actual oil producing wells.

Capping a well just means not allowing oil to flow. Some wells can be stopped and restarted without much damage to productivity, but some never come back as strong, depends on the formation. Many of the Russian oil fields are very old, and if they are shut in, there is a strong possibility that they may not be able to be restarted, OR it will take considerable work and effort to restart them. Not to mention that there are gazillions of barrels of oil stuck in pipelines now with nowhere to send it. As winter hits, the risk is these pipelines will rupture here there and everywhere. Again, a huge repair effort, not to mention huge oil leaks.

Either way, this will wipe out russia’s ability to extract oil for decades to come. Now russia’s economy is built around oil and other easy to extract commodities. Anything else it manages to produce, is thanks to massive subsidies from oil exports. No oil => no any other economic activity. It won’t take long for Putin’s thugs to realise that unless they get the fuck out of Ukraine, russia’s economy will be destroyed for decades to come, and there will be nothing to steal and plunder. Whoever inherits the shit sandwich once Putin is gone, will have to eat it. So far they’ve all hoped they would stick around somehow, and see how it goes, since they felt like they weren’t impacted by the war directly. Now that’s changed dramatically. Every new refinery that blows up jeopardises their calculus of stretching it out. They have to act soon.

Because of the threat to its future oil well production and the need to get fuel due to Ukrainian drone attacks. Russia is now redlining refinery production to 100% capacity. Running refineries w/o required periodic maintenance is an awful mistake. The more the Russians redline refinery capacity. The more they damage the production equipment and shorten its life. The more that happens - & AFU drones strike - the more Russia will redline remaining refinery equipment.

This is a cascading systems failure in progress.

The fire at the Yarolavl oil refinery is of technologocal origin - not from a drone attack - they redlined this refinery and broke it!

Without European or American-manufactured components, these refineries and pumping stations are out of action for years, and it gets worse for Russia with every strike

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Another map of the pipelines....

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And this...

Russia's gasoline and diesel fuel shortages are still underestimated, as GRAIN SHORTAGES are looming.
Spring grain harvesting in Russia goes at full speed in September and early October, while corn harvesting concludes in November.
This will hit the farming sector HARD.
Get popcorn.
 
FUCK ME! Russia has lost 38% of its crude oil refining capacity - another 18% down in September

I'm sorry, I apologize. I'm down to 4 letter words here.


At this rate they'll have nothing left by Christmas
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38% OF RUSSIA’S OIL CAPACITY DOWN AS YAROSLAVL REFINERY BURNS

Ukrainian "sanctions" having an impact on Russia
Putin's only plan is to conscipt more war criminals
Some Russia media are saying 40-50%

 

Oil depots explode in Russia as Ukrainian forces liberate towns from occupation

From UATV (Ukrainian Govt funded)

Russian oil refineries are burning, while Ukrainian drones strike new key enemy targets. In the east, Ukrainian troops are liberating settlements and forcing the Russian army to suffer heavy losses. Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump makes bold statements about Russia, nuclear threats, and the war in Ukraine, revealing details of his talks with Putin and calling for determination in achieving peace.

0:00 - Intro
0:11 - Fire at one of Russia’s largest oil refineries
0:23 - Donald Trump: statements about Medvedev, Putin, and nuclear threats
1:10 - Details of the refinery incident, losses to Russian oil refining
3:21 - Trump’s speech to generals – about the war, negotiations, and Putin
7:43 - Ukrainian Armed Forces counteroffensive: over 180 km² and several settlements liberated
9:49 - Frontline situation: Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson
11:46 - Statement by Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi

 

Crimea's Countdown to Collapse


Vladimir Putin's purge of 17 generals has ignited a civil war between the FSB and the Army, triggering a final countdown to the collapse of Crimea. This analysis reveals how this command paralysis has shattered Russia's military logistics, as critical fuel convoys evaporate and tanks sit idle. With the army crippled from within, Crimea's air defense has been torn open by the destruction of key Nebo-M radars, creating a nightly highway for drones. This isn't just a setback; it's a systemic failure unfolding in real-time, caused directly by a political purge spiraling out of control.

This deep dive exposes the full causal sequence, showing how each court case in Moscow directly leads to a weaker trench at Perekop. We connect the dots between the isolated Black Sea Fleet, the chokepoint at the Kerch Bridge, and the empty fuel depots that signal a strategic breaking point. This is the definitive explanation of how an internal power struggle is handing a decisive advantage to Ukraine and reshaping the entire conflict.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 Intro: Inside Putin's Purge
02:11 Russia's Black Sea Retreat: Crimea's Defenses Fail
04:11 Moscow's Oil Disaster: FSB's Role in Russia's Fuel Crisis
06:03 Frontline Paralysis: Fear Freezes Russia's Supply Chain
07:11 The Math of Defeat: How Ukraine's Drones Target Supply
09:41 Conclusion: Crimea's Final 60 Days
12:04 Outro

 

Kremlin Propaganda BACKSTABS Putin... DECLARES Russia Has Already LOST the War


Ooooooh, this has to hurt. The infighting in Moscow has started....

Russia’s war in Ukraine was meant to be quick and decisive — instead, it has dragged into years of heavy losses, internal dissent, and collapsing illusions. Now, even pro-Kremlin voices and former loyalists are openly admitting what the Kremlin has tried to hide. With mounting casualties, stalled offensives, and growing unrest at home, the truth about Moscow’s failures is breaking through.

 

France Seizes Russian Shadow Fleet Tanker "PUSHPA" Responsible for Launching Drones at Copenhagan


French authorities have interdicted the shadow tanker PUSHPA off the coast of France. The vessel, carrying 115,000 tons of oil, is suspected of launching drones that shut down Copenhagen Airport.

 

Kremlin Propaganda BACKSTABS Putin... DECLARES Russia Has Already LOST the War


Ooooooh, this has to hurt. The infighting in Moscow has started....

Russia’s war in Ukraine was meant to be quick and decisive — instead, it has dragged into years of heavy losses, internal dissent, and collapsing illusions. Now, even pro-Kremlin voices and former loyalists are openly admitting what the Kremlin has tried to hide. With mounting casualties, stalled offensives, and growing unrest at home, the truth about Moscow’s failures is breaking through.


🙄

And yet the common MAGAt (Chloe) can’t figure out that DonOld & the MAGAt republican politicians have been LYING / GASLIGHTING about their racist, fascist policies / actions to "win the war against…something"…

The common MAGAt (Chloe) can clearly see what Putin & the Kremlin / FSB are all about, but they CANNOT see what DonOld & the MAGAts republicans / DOJ "leadership" / ICE "leadership" are all about…

Weird…

🤔 😑 🤣 🤬

We. Told. Them. So.

🌷
 

🙄

BabyBoobs "thinks" that is some kind of power move from DonOld that proves…"something""???

🤔

Newsflash for BabyBoobs:

That was a FUCKING STUPID thing to publicize.

Putin will use that FUCKING STUPID public statement from DonOld for domestic AND GEOPOLITICAL propaganda purposes.

DonOld just keeps giving Putin all these gifts, while NEVER ACTUALLY helping Ukraine.

👎

We. Told. Them. So.

🌷
 
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