Pundits have been predicting the collapse of the PRC at least since 2001. But this Belt and Road Initiative is the kind of investment that could only be made by a regime with enormous confidence in the future. Yet I keep reading comments on the PB suggesting they're on their last legs.
Perhaps the most interesting thing about the PRC in its present state is that it does not seem to care very much about Communism any more -- at least, not as an international movement. While the Soviet Union existed, it was the acknowledged center and leader of international Communism. That is a mantle China has shown no interest in taking up. The PRC has given no support at all to Communist movements in other countries since the Vietnam War ended. When they make their demands on Taiwan, they say "Taiwan is historically a province of China." They never say, "We must liberate the workers of Taiwan from their capitalist exploiters." Nobody in the CCP even seems to think in those terms any more.
And it's the same at the grass roots. The Cultural Revolution of the 1960s-70s was among other things a genuine mass movement to make Chinese society more perfectly Communist. That could not happen now, because nobody is that zealous for Communism any more.
Perhaps the most interesting thing about the PRC in its present state is that it does not seem to care very much about Communism any more -- at least, not as an international movement. While the Soviet Union existed, it was the acknowledged center and leader of international Communism. That is a mantle China has shown no interest in taking up. The PRC has given no support at all to Communist movements in other countries since the Vietnam War ended. When they make their demands on Taiwan, they say "Taiwan is historically a province of China." They never say, "We must liberate the workers of Taiwan from their capitalist exploiters." Nobody in the CCP even seems to think in those terms any more.
And it's the same at the grass roots. The Cultural Revolution of the 1960s-70s was among other things a genuine mass movement to make Chinese society more perfectly Communist. That could not happen now, because nobody is that zealous for Communism any more.