Will the People's Republic of China collapse in our lifetime?

[Politruk]

Gordon Chang wrote The Coming Collapse of China -- but it was published in 2001. The predicted collapse does not appear any closer now. The Belt and Road Initiative is an enormously bold and expensive project, not the sort of thing that would be undertaken by a regime that lacked confidence in its survival.

 

[73Seahawks]

Gordon Chang wrote The Coming Collapse of China -- but it was published in 2001. The predicted collapse does not appear any closer now. The Belt and Road Initiative is an enormously bold and expensive project, not the sort of thing that would be undertaken by a regime that lacked confidence in its survival.

It will collapse. History suggests dictatorships always FALL.

 

[Politruk]

It will collapse. History suggests dictatorships always FALL.

History shows dictatorial regimes can last for centuries -- see the history of Egypt or, for that matter, China.

Under the emperors, China was ruled by professional civil servants -- officials chosen by examination. What they've got now is not too different, only the required indoctrination is in Maoism instead of Confucianism. But CCP officials certainly have better education than the Confucians ever did -- they know something of modern science.

 

[Treeview]

It will collapse. History suggests dictatorships always FALL.

Which will be first MAGA dictatorship or Chinese?

 

[JohnEngelman]

I would like for the Communist dictatorship in mainland Chin to be replaced by a democratic government, resembling the government of Taiwan. I do not want the mainland to erupt in a civil war, or chaos.

 

[Politruk]

I would like for the Communist dictatorship in mainland Chin to be replaced by a democratic government, resembling the government of Taiwan. I do not want the mainland to erupt in a civil war, or chaos.

Well, I suppose a peaceful transition is at least possible. No civil war ended the USSR. But that was a very near thing.

 

[jomar]

The answer to the thread title is no. China has invested in infrastructure and building great goodwill in mineral rich Africa. Meanwhile, trump has handed them the keys to daddy’s Porsche. Who’s in the driver’s seat now?

 

[Chernosoth]

It is collapsing now, at the usual rate of nations and dynasties. The official end of the PRoC may be after the end of lit.

 

[Politruk]

It is collapsing now, at the usual rate of nations and dynasties. The official end of the PRoC may be after the end of lit.

Historically, a Chinese dynasty can last for centuries.

 

[Saint_Ann]

Well, I suppose a peaceful transition is at least possible. No civil war ended the USSR. But that was a very near thing.

 

[Saint_Ann]

Russia population: 143.8 million (2023).
China population: 1.411 billion (2023)

Apples & oranges.

Skynet is coming for us all.

 

[Politruk]

But CCP officials certainly have better education than the Confucians ever did -- they know something of modern science.

That probably makes all the difference.

 

[Politruk]

The worst scenario imaginable is that the CCP fears their regime will collapse, and tries to shore up public support by invading Taiwan -- hoping for the wartime rally-round-the-flag effect.

What are the chances, I wonder?

 

[Politruk]

This is as good a place as any to mention that I happen to be the rightful Emperor of China. My regnal name is Dong Hang Lo. Of the Wang Dynasty. When the monarchists inevitably and soon come to power, then, by Our Vermilion Decree, the new national anthem of the most ancient and illustrious Middle Kingdom shall be, "Mister Wong has the Biggest Tong in Chinatown." Let all men tremble, respect this, and obey without negligence.