mercury14
Pragmatic Metaphysician
- Joined
- Jul 8, 2009
- Posts
- 22,158
Maybe without the stimulus we would be +3.2 million jobs.
You cannot know.
Straw man argument. Nobody is saying that it's an exact process. So I will refer you to not only Moody's but Global Insight/IHS and Macroeconomic Advisors as well. Aggregating assessments like this makes the net conclusion much more powerful
You have no room to bitch about Moody's model though.
"The Moody’s Analytics model of the U.S.
economy was used to quantify the economic
impact of the various financial and fiscal
stimulus policies implemented during the cri-
sis and recession. This model is used regularly
for a range of purposes, including economic
forecasting, scenario and sensitivity analysis,
and most relevant for the work presented
here, the assessment of the economic impact
of monetary and fiscal policies. It is used by a
wide range of global companies, federal, state
and local governments, and policymakers."
Yes and Republican policy makers too. Moody's is in the news regularly as one of - of not THE most respected source for economic analysis in the world. Nobody is questioning Moody's integrity or accuracy on either side of the political spectrum. It's just... you. And you've given no basis for your attack.