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Frances Crewe, Lady Crewe. Wiki says May 1784, in response to a toast by the Prince of Wales. Looks like it was a Whig event (celebrating the election of Fox) rather than Tory.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frances_Crewe,_Lady_Crewe
True Blue has had a mixed meaning - originally referring to a fast blue dye made in Coventry, then Whig, then Tory and in Australia meaning 'fair dinkum' or a supporter of the Australian Labor Party.
Never heard it before and I've done a lot of toasting in my life.