Trudeau, Germany, and Alberta.

Chobham

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Recently the German Chancellor flew to Canada to discuss buying oil from Canada, God knows Germany needs all it can get what with winter coming on. Trudeau laid his usual word salad on the Chancellor but the answer came down to "Fuck Off." The Soy Boy is determined to save the planet even if the Germans have to freeze this year.

Ottawa has been using the Albertan oil revenues as their private piggy bank for years now. The Albertan's weren't all that happy about the situation but they were prospering enough so that all they did was grumble. Well, they aren't prospering all that much now. Albertan oil is 'dirty' oil and sells at a discount on the open market, approx. $30/bbl below Texas Sweet. Further the only refineries that can process the stuff are in Texas. To make matter worse the Texas refineries are running at near capacity with Texas crude so they aren't buying the Albertan crude in the quantities they did before. Meaning they aren't selling as much as before. This after the Albertan oil folks having invested a great deal of money in improving their recovery technology to the point that their break-even point is down to ~$64/bbl. So here Soy Boy cuts them off from alternative market, a market that has a desperate demand for their product. To say that the Albertan's are pissed would be an understatement.

Returning to the Albertan 'grumbling.' For a couple of decades now there was a core of Albertan's that want to secede from Canada. That number has wavered around the 20-30% level, going up and down as the political landscape in Ottawa changed. Never any real threat of the effort coming to fruition. It's too early post the latest Trudeau edict for there to be any polling data but I can't help but wonder how the Albertan on the street is going to react to having their economic throats cut? It's certainly going to be interesting to watch.
 
Alberta oil doesn’t move east. Most of it goes to the USA and China.
Ah but it does. It is via rail though. I think it was Quebec who was the road block on using line 1 of Transcanada's pipeline to convert to oil from NG to the Irving refinery. Also let us not forget under NAFTA ( or what ever it's called these days), the US has the rights to "first offer" on any extra oil above and beyond the current contracted supply. I am not sure if that also applies to LNG though.
 
Ah yes, Quebec.

I pay attention to what's going on in Canada, not every little detail, but in general I'm aware. As an outsider I'll tell you what I see and think. I see the Anglophiles of Ontario locked in a battle with the Francophiles of Quebec to see who can be the mostest wokest and greenest while serving up lip service to the rest of the country and I don't see that ending well for anyone in the long run.
 
Poor Canadians. They can't hoist Sir Stanley and they can't sell shitty oil.
 
Not wrong, we are still shipping trains of oil from the tar sands. Just not to Irving (yet) the fire in Gogama was an east bound train, but to Sarina not to Irving.
Irving is a low-bid family owned eastern Canadian oligarchy.

Irving St John is designed to refine poor quality, high sulphur oils.

It buys dirty cheaper crude from places like Algeria.
True, but it has been after western oil for decades. Given the Alberta's governments lack of investment in refinery capacity on "refinery row" the un claimed excess has to go somewhere. Which your link below details about Ivring's desire for a "cheaper source". Rail is the most expensive shipping option. It costs more to ship from Alberta via rail than to bring in middle eastern oil via ship.
It just started getting paid off ( more fed military shipbuilding contracts) to ship Alberta oil West to BC, then to St John through the Panama Canal in support of Trudeau’s desire for a national energy strategy like dad’s.

https://smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital/financialpost/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/na0505-irving-oil-map.png

Quebec produces enough hydro electricity to power eastern canada… but instead sells for more to light New England.
Quebec is contracted to that sale, has been for decades. Ontario's Liberals fucked up the Electricity market ( Mcginty and Wynn both). Buying into the German ideology about renewable through subsidies, and second by selling off 60% of shares in Hydro One Networks.
Newfoundland and Nova Scotia natural gas, more than enough for eastern Canada…goes to New England while Eastern provinces burn coal.
Again, contracted deals to expand profits. New England requires triple the local market. Why sell cheap?
 
Ah yes, Quebec.

I pay attention to what's going on in Canada, not every little detail, but in general I'm aware. As an outsider I'll tell you what I see and think. I see the Anglophiles of Ontario locked in a battle with the Francophiles of Quebec to see who can be the mostest wokest and greenest while serving up lip service to the rest of the country and I don't see that ending well for anyone in the long run.
Well, then you should pay more attention, and get your facts right, before commenting, since everything above is wrong.
 
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