The Democrats will Retain Control of the Senate

[SEVERUSMAX]

Personhood should be determined more by agency (that is, free will) and sentience (self-awareness). If the fetus has those two things, he or she is a person and thus to take his or her life is not only cold-blooded murder, but infanticide, the worst kind of murder of all, as it sheds innocent blood instead of guilty.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

I strongly disagree.

That applied to anything but a 'fetus' allow euthanasia.

Once the sperm has penetrated the egg and division occurs, you have human life.

It is not like it's going to develop into a puppy or a unicorn.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

More Good News for Democrats:

The poll of 1,081 likely New Hampshire voters conducted on Oct. 9 found Brown is leading Shaheen 48 percent to 46.9 percent. The 1.1 percent lead is within the 2.98 percent margin of error, but it’s the first time in 2014 Brown has been shown to be leading Shaheen in any poll.
It comes after a brutal series of political bouts between Brown and Shaheen. Brown has hammered Shaheen and President Barack Obama for being too soft on immigration, creating national security and public health risks while ISIS terrorists surge into more power in the Middle East and Ebola runs rampant through Africa and has crossed into America due to Thomas Eric Duncan—the first case diagnosed in the U.S.—allegedly lying to immigration agents to get into the U.S. when asked if he had come in contact with the disease.
Interestingly, this new poll shows Brown has actually picked up a point and a half with women voters since the previous New England College poll on Oct. 3. The previous poll showed Brown getting 41.9 percent of female voters—while the new poll shows Brown getting 43.1 percent among female voters.
That’s significant because it suggests a series of Democratic Party and Shaheen campaign attacks on Brown in the vein of the infamous 2012 “war on women” have either fallen flat or backfired.

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Govern...Brown-Jumps-Ahead-In-Polls-For-The-First-Time

 

[toubab]

More Good News for Democrats:


http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Govern...Brown-Jumps-Ahead-In-Polls-For-The-First-Time

If Brown wins, it will be part of a tidal wave and the Republicans will pick up close to ten seats.

 

[miles]

I voted no, but the GOP has a long history of fucking up sure things.

 

[SigShooter]

She already knows your pin.


Meanwhile, in other news, this won't end well:

https://scontent-b-iad.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xap1/v/t1.0-9/1975214_918312981531285_410121283901878086_n.jpg?oh=3c0a1e62d98b7542a9b7168568ac74a4&oe=54ADE944

Good thing there is no magazine...I just hope there isn't one in the chamber!

Either way, she should keep her finger out of the trigger guard...am I right??

 

[DooleyDarter]

That must be one of them chin massage machines I have heard about

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

If Brown wins, it will be part of a tidal wave and the Republicans will pick up close to ten seats.

RCP has them at +8.

Then there is a new historical low for Democrat Party popularity:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/10/15/the-democratic-party-hits-a-30-year-low/

Politico, not a rw source any any means.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

They think they can! They think they can!

By all the public polling, Democrats should really be sweating the Colorado Senate race at this point. Democratic Sen. Mark Udall trails his Republican challenger, Rep. Cory Gardner, by more than 5 points on average. Election forecasters have pegged Colorado (along with Iowa) as the most likely election to swing control of the Senate.

But Democrats believe they've seen this movie before. In the 2010 Colorado Senate campaign, Democratic nominee Michael Bennet trailed (or was at best tied) in the last 11 polls of his race against Republican Ken Buck. But then on Election Day, Bennet eked out a less-than-1 point win, a rare bright spot in an otherwise tough cycle for Democrats. The win was attributed by the press to his campaign's singular focus on two core Democratic constituencies -- women and Hispanics -- and an unprecedented, data-driven get-out-the-vote effort.

Now Bennet is the chairman of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, and the DSCC has attracted headlines for exporting the Bennet model in 2014 to other tough races like Arkansas and Louisiana in a $60 million effort named for Bannock Street, where Bennet's campaign offices were located in Denver.

But in an ironic twist, the model may be put to its severest test right back where it began, in Colorado, where Democrats are hoping to recreate the Bennet 2010 magic to pull out a win for Udall.

The methods have evolved -- better software this time, an all mail-in ballot election -- but the foundation remains the same, Paul Dunn, DSCC's national field director, told TPM in a phone interview.

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/mark-udall-2014-is-like-michael-bennet-2010

 

[Que]

'Unprecedented, data-driven get out the vote drive' means giving Democrat operatives lists of people unlikely to actually show up to vote so they can helpfully vote for them.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

'Unprecedented, data-driven get out the vote drive' means giving Democrat operatives lists of people unlikely to actually show up to vote so they can helpfully vote for them.

The only voter fraud is Republicans with German Shepherds and fire hoses.



Oh yeah, and poll taxes!

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

So what could possibly forestall a disaster for the Democrats come November?

First, an overwhelming money advantage could save the Democrats. Money matters in politics, especially in low-turnout midterm elections, where a small number of votes could make a big difference. If the Democrats overwhelm the Republicans on the airwaves and with their ground-game operations, Republicans could have a hard time in some of the closest Senate races.

Second, a big Republican debacle or gaffe could crystallize some negative stereotypes about the GOP and turn voters to the Democrats. It is hard to imagine what could happen that could affect multiple races, but Democrats probably need only two or three breaks in individual races to keep the Senate. There is a bias against Republicans in most of the media, and the Democrats are doing everything they can to taunt Republicans, attempting to goad them into saying or doing the wrong thing. Republicans need to be both sure-footed and lucky in these final weeks.

Third, if there is a catastrophic event so severe it causes Americans to rally behind the president, this would benefit the Democrats. Such a scenario is far-fetched, but it could happen. However, one bright spot for Republicans is that even if a crisis were to happen, it’s unlikely that most people would find relief in the fact that Obama is at the helm. At the end of the day, fewer and fewer voters seem to think Obama can effectively manage anything.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs...rs-what-could-save-the-democrats-in-november/

 

[unregistered]

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Sonichu - You do not know what the fuck you are talking about.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

... this week the clouds parted and the year’s best news arrived: Led by Europe’s sinking economies, global economic growth is falling, taking stocks and bonds with it, and the world’s central bankers say they have run out of ideas on doing anything about it.

How this is good news requires explanation.

The annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund concluded in Washington last weekend. This gathering of the world’s finance ministers, central bankers and international financial organizations sets the tone for the direction of the world’s economic prospects.

As the meetings ended Sunday, a WSJ.com headline summarized the consensus: “Governments, central bankers have fewer tools left to revive economies after years of sluggish growth.” European officials are now talking about a “lost decade.” The IMF calls the economic policies in the years after the 2008 financial crisis a succession of “serial disappointments.”

Let’s begin with the first and most significant policy disappointment. The central economic event of the past six years, both as policy and symbol, was the Obama administration’s $834 billion stimulus bill in 2009, the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. Its explicit purpose was to revive the U.S. economy. How was nearly $1 trillion of additional federal spending supposed to do that?

Proponents of the stimulus bill’s theoretical underpinnings, which date to the 1930s and a famous economist with three names, have argued for 80 years that by injecting large quantities of money into a weak economy (public spending), the population will use the unexpected money to make purchases, and this stimulated consumption in turn will cause private companies to hire more workers to produce goods to meet—the key idea—demand.

Beyond this textbook, Depression-based effort at economic stimulus, the only other significant initiative taken by the Obama presidency (not counting the indirect effects of Dodd-Frank, ObamaCare, shutting down power plants, putting bankers under house arrest and whatnot) has been to transfer responsibility for economic growth to the Federal Reserve Bank. The Fed produced three rounds of quantitative easing, a monetary policy that created so-called zero-bound interest rates in the U.S. from late 2008 until now. The Bank of England followed. Early last month, the European Central Bank adopted its own version of quantitative easing. It’s been the greatest monetary experiment since the creation of coins around 700 B.C.

It is essentially the prescriptive promise of this 2009 to 2014 policy mix that was repudiated by officials at the IMF meetings in Washington the past week. Recognizing the real need, IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde said, “There is too little economic risk-taking, and too much financial risk-taking.”

The U.S. and Europe have paid a high price for six years of stimulus that didn’t stimulate, programmed consumption that fell short, regulatory expansion that froze private producers, and high tax-rate regimes that benefited the public-spending class and beggared everyone else, especially young people and the working poor scrambling for jobs.

No one should underestimate the political dangers of persisting with a Keynesian economic model that looks depleted.

http://online.wsj.com/articles/dan-henninger-a-year-of-living-on-the-brink-1413414887

I wonder how many of the "undecideds" have 401Ks?

 

[Ishmael]

http://online.wsj.com/articles/dan-henninger-a-year-of-living-on-the-brink-1413414887

I wonder how many of the "undecideds" have 401Ks?

Even Keynes himself repudiated the use of his theory to correct the economy during a depression or deep recession. He noted that his theory was intended to be used to smooth out the normal business boom-bust cycles, nothing more. That massive spending on the part of government could not, and would not, correct fundamentally flawed economic policies.

Ishmael

 

[Que]

Sonichu - You do not know what the fuck you are talking about.

Sonichu is rippidydoos weird little alt... He plays multiple alt games on CHOO till they I assume banned his IP. He works at making sure Sonichu doesn't know much so it has a different 'voice' than his own.

He is overly fond at having hs alts communicate with each other.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Even Keynes himself repudiated the use of his theory to correct the economy during a depression or deep recession. He noted that his theory was intended to be used to smooth out the normal business boom-bust cycles, nothing more. That massive spending on the part of government could not, and would not, correct fundamentally flawed economic policies.

Ishmael

Beginning with Bush's last year in office, the Left has had its dreamed for shot at its economic theories.



To date, they have not served us well.

~~~~~~~

Thanks query, I'll keep that in mind.

 

[JAMESBJOHNSON]

Every economic recovery in the history of Earth has been the result of new technologies that are popular with the general public and save serious amounts of labor. The basic refrigerator is an example. The basic automobile is an example. But adding ice makers and white sidewall tires to old technologies don't make any real difference. The technology must be new. The iPhone fit the bill, the iPhone6 does not.

I cant name anything really new since 2003 or so. We aren't innovating as we used to.

We aren't innovating for some basic reasons: The big fish are eating the small fish and killing innovations. The big fish bribe government regulators to bury the small fish in red tape. And the big fish sue the shit outta the small fry, with frivolous legal challenges.

 

[Que]

Beginning with Bush's last year in office, the Left has had its dreamed for shot at its economic theories.



To date, they have not served us well.

~~~~~~~

Thanks query, I'll keep that in mind.

I haven't worked too hard to get my mind all the way around QE and whatever the 'twist' is and all of it, because it cannot possibly work.

I think of it this way. You have oil drums in your city square. You create employment with 3 shifts of armed guards, mandatory voluntary assessment collectors, drum stirring wizards, and redistribution agents.

Every payday the collectors take $10 from everyone that earns too much. It all goes into the drum. The wizards stir it, the guards keep it safe. Next week on payday you do it again except the guards and the wizards and agents are paid out of the drums, and the remainder is redistributed fairly or stirred for a week or two or whatever.

Point being- there isn't one more cent in your town than before you started the exercise.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Indeed.

 

[Ishmael]

I haven't worked too hard to get my mind all the way around QE and whatever the 'twist' is and all of it, because it cannot possibly work.

I think of it this way. You have oil drums in your city square. You create employment with 3 shifts of armed guards, mandatory voluntary assessment collectors, drum stirring wizards, and redistribution agents.

Every payday the collectors take $10 from everyone that earns too much. It all goes into the drum. The wizards stir it, the guards keep it safe. Next week on payday you do it again except the guards and the wizards and agents are paid out of the drums, and the remainder is redistributed fairly or stirred for a week or two or whatever.

Point being- there isn't one more cent in your town than before you started the exercise.

The current problem is that there isn't enough in the drums to pay the guards and wizards so the town writes IOU's. In reality there is actually less money in the town than before. The debt is paid off by handing your grandchild a tax bill upon birth.

Ishmael

 

[Que]

The current problem is that there isn't enough in the drums to pay the guards and wizards so the town writes IOU's. In reality there is actually less money in the town than before. The debt is paid off by handing your grandchild a tax bill upon birth.

Ishmael

Wow, I missed that part in my analogy. Easy to see how the salary of the guards agents and wizard + 'fairness' redistribution money could exceed collection.

Ive used the analogy before, Im steeling the IOU part for the next iteration.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

*chuckle*

 

[RobDownSouth]

Beginning with Bush's last year in office, the Left has had its dreamed for shot at its economic theories.



To date, they have not served us well.

~~~~~~~

Thanks query, I'll keep that in mind.

Classic Keynesian Theory worked as advertised to help bring America back from the Bush Recession, the squealing of the discredited Mises.org folks to the contrary notwithstanding.