RobDownSouth
Resist!
- Joined
- Apr 13, 2002
- Posts
- 77,410
President Donald Trump is belatedly realizing that his razor-thin majority in the United States House of Representatives can be lost this year after he impulsively nominated the always-ambitious Elise Stefanik (Who has constantly envisioned herself on the national stage) to be his ambassador to the United Nation
He has asked Stefanik to withdraw herself from what is considered easy sailing into the ambassadorship.
He COULD unilaterally withdraw her nomination, but that would make Trump appear "weak" to his cult supporters, which simply will not happen.
The reason he needs Stefanik to retain her House seat is an oddity in American politics; this is one of the few congressional districts in the United States with THREE major political parties; Democrat, Republican and Conservative parties.
In normal times, the conservative and republican parties work together and garner 60% of the vote against the Democrat.
But these are no longer "normal times". Trump's gutting of the federal bureaucracy has upset many nominal Republicans in New York's 21st congressional district, plus the district, in the extreme northern part of New York State is heavily dependent upon CANADIAN electricity, and EVERYONE there is pissed off about suddenly having to pay an extra 10-25% per month for electricity.
Trump is savvy enough to recognize "dissension in the ranks".
The man running for the Conservative nomination describes himself as an 'anti-tariff, anti-Trump, REAL conservative'. The Republican candidate(s) are all pledging utter fealty to Donald Trump, and the Democrat will get 40% of the vote regardless of the other two.
This is a REAL problem, one that Project 2025 never envisioned. The Democrat could likely win the election with 40% of the vote if the conservative and republicans split somewhat evenly (30-30 or so). There is no "top two" runoff in New York state. This election could, and most likely will, be seen as an early referendum on DOGE, and can ONLY be avoided if the ambitious Stefanik opts to keep her House seat and give up her dream as a UN ambassador (with an eye of the VP slot in 2028).
We live in interesting times.
He has asked Stefanik to withdraw herself from what is considered easy sailing into the ambassadorship.
He COULD unilaterally withdraw her nomination, but that would make Trump appear "weak" to his cult supporters, which simply will not happen.The reason he needs Stefanik to retain her House seat is an oddity in American politics; this is one of the few congressional districts in the United States with THREE major political parties; Democrat, Republican and Conservative parties.
In normal times, the conservative and republican parties work together and garner 60% of the vote against the Democrat.
But these are no longer "normal times". Trump's gutting of the federal bureaucracy has upset many nominal Republicans in New York's 21st congressional district, plus the district, in the extreme northern part of New York State is heavily dependent upon CANADIAN electricity, and EVERYONE there is pissed off about suddenly having to pay an extra 10-25% per month for electricity.
Trump is savvy enough to recognize "dissension in the ranks".
The man running for the Conservative nomination describes himself as an 'anti-tariff, anti-Trump, REAL conservative'. The Republican candidate(s) are all pledging utter fealty to Donald Trump, and the Democrat will get 40% of the vote regardless of the other two.
This is a REAL problem, one that Project 2025 never envisioned. The Democrat could likely win the election with 40% of the vote if the conservative and republicans split somewhat evenly (30-30 or so). There is no "top two" runoff in New York state. This election could, and most likely will, be seen as an early referendum on DOGE, and can ONLY be avoided if the ambitious Stefanik opts to keep her House seat and give up her dream as a UN ambassador (with an eye of the VP slot in 2028).
We live in interesting times.
