For Those Who Might Be Wondering Why We Might Be In Ukraine

The out and out incompetence of the Russians is beyond comprehension. Is Putin trying to micro-manage the war vis-a-vis Hitler or are the general staff just that backward?

No matter what happens going forward Russia is done as a global power, done.

One end game scenario is someone finally getting to Putin and taking him out. In the ensuing chaos China will definitely take Eastern Siberia back. That's a no brainer. What will the new regime in Moscow do? Go nuclear on the Chinese? In the real world they will have no choice. There is no way they'll be able to counter the Chinese in a land battle

The Chinese desperately need the resources in Eastern Siberia, especially the oil and gas. It relieves them of having to deal with the Straits of Malacca choke point. And then the question on the table will be whether we help the Russians keep the Chinese out or not.

This Geo-politics shit can get really twisted at times.
 
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Ukrainian Army Trapped More Ruzzian Forces in Pokrovsk


Latest update from Denys
- Ukrainian Army contiuing to cut off, trap and eliminate Russia units in Pokrovsk
- Russian moving reserves towards Pokrovsk for another attempt
- Ukraine lost an Su27 pilot somewhere in the southern direction
- Russian drone attack on Poland - POland has closed airspace aling border. FRance has sent 3 Rafaele fighters to reinforce air defences in Poland.
- Poland seeks more air defense systems
- 40k Polish troops being deployed to the Belarus border
= Poland Ukraine have agreed that Ukrainian instructors will train Poland in drone techniques and tactics (only 4 of 20 drones were shot down)

 
Russia’s Donbas Offensive DESTROYED | Chuck Pfarrer

This report is really informative, first-hand based on Chuck's roaming around the frontline areas - and Chuck is an es-SEAL who knows Ukraine and knows his stuff

Russia promised massive summer gains. Instead, they have suffered heavy losses: 210,000 personnel, 1,200 tanks, 2,100 armored vehicles, and more than 7,000 artillery pieces degraded.
At Pokrovsk alone, reporting indicates tens of thousands of Russian troops rendered combat ineffective.

Chuck Pfarrer joins Jason Jay Smart to report firsthand on what is happening at the front.
Despite propaganda, Russia is not advancing; Ukraine’s defenders are holding the line while drone warfare and mobile tactics reshape the battlefield.
The myth of Russian strength is cracking; the reality is operational failure and erosion of combat power.

Key points from Chuck's report
- Chuck followed the zero line around the entire fron from Sumy to Odessa. Away from the zero line, Ukraine is functioning normally, while the Ukrainian military holds the line
- Soent some time around Pokrovsk - Russia has lost 210k soldiers THIS SUMMER alone. 1200 tanke, 2100 IFVs, 7300 artillery. The equivalent of 520 battalions of men / 14 divisions of infantry, They have lost the equivalent of 4-5 armored Divisions (US has 1 Armored Division). An egregarious defeat for Russia.
- 150k Russians sent to attack Pokrovsk, 89k of these are dead. 70% casualties. A US Army unit that has suffered 20% casualties is withdrawn from combat.
- Autumn offensive now planned by Russia: Another 150k troops may be deployed. Russians keep repeating the same attacks and keep dying the same way. Russian commanders dont count the casualties. They have NO combat training and are losing between 48-84% of their men EVERY time they go into combat. They tried a 2 battalion attack in Kupiansk recently, and lost both battalions to HIMARS.
- They're using WW2 tactics aganst drines, artillery and HIMARS. Russia has not come to grips with modern mobile defenses.
- Drones have extended the the battlefield from 5-600 meters deep to 20kms either side of the contact line. Orders of magnitude broader.
- Ukrainian troops: Quite confidence from Ukrainians. High quality of troops. One example (out of many) Spoke to 2 recce soldiers - private soldiers. Both had masters degrees. Experienced soldiers. Highly skilled. Tight unit cohesion and morale. Determined. Motivated. Patriotic. Everywhere he want.
- Russian expectations are an abolute fairy tale. Russians can't even conduct combined arms on WW2 lines. Example: littlw village in Kherson, held by 300 Ukrainian defenders. An entire Russian Paratroop Division failed to dislodge them for 70 days.
-Widening use of chemical weapons by Russians is occurring. Russians are going to use more chemical weapons as they get more desperate.
- Russian air raids - most Ukrainians ignore them until antiaircraft guns open up. No panic. Very orderly.
CHAPTERS:

00:00 Introduction from Ukraine - Jason and Chuck reconnect in Odessa and set the stage for the discussion about Russia’s war.
01:30 Traveling the Zero Line - Chuck recounts his journey across Ukraine’s frontlines, describing resilience amid constant air raid sirens.
03:20 Russia’s Summer Offensive - Breakdown of Russia’s massive troop and equipment losses around Pokrovsk.
06:00 Pokrovsk: The Center of the Fight - Details on Russia’s failed push for Pokrovsk and staggering casualty rates.
08:30 Autumn Offensive Plans - Russia’s attempts to regroup with another 150,000 troops and why the strategy is flawed.
11:00 Russia’s Tactics and Failures - Why outdated Soviet-style mass attacks fail against Ukraine’s drones and HIMARS.
14:00 The Drone Revolution - How drones have changed the battlefield, from Bayraktar to FPV and fiber-linked systems.
17:00 Ukrainian Morale and Soldier Quality - Conversations with highly educated Ukrainian soldiers and the quiet confidence across the army.
19:30 Russia’s Unrealistic Goals - Why Russia cannot seize major cities like Kyiv, Odessa, or Mykolaiv with current capabilities.
22:00 Chemical Weapons and Escalation - Evidence of Russia’s increasing reliance on banned chemical agents.
24:00 Air Raids and Civilian Resilience - How Ukrainians respond calmly to daily missile and drone strikes.
26:00 What Russia Really Wants - Chuck reflects on the core of the war: Russia’s desire to seize and, if not possible, destroy Ukraine.
28:00 Closing Thoughts - Jason and Chuck wrap up with reflections on Ukrainian strength and the grim reality of Russia’s aims.

 
This is Trump's exit strategy and attempt to avoid any personal blame. It is deeply flawed of course.

Telling Europe to stop imports of Russian OIl & Gas - Turkey, Hungary & Slovakia are the 3 remaining importers of Russian oil, so don’t expect compliance soon. As Orban and Erdoghan are very good friends of Trump (as he keeps reminding us, why doesn’t he call them?? The EU has urged them to stop Riussian oil and gas imports multiple times….

Telling NATO countries to put huge tariffs on China, clearly forgetting that when the US did that, China retaliated and the US quickly backed off realising that it would destroy its exports to China alone.

What is very clear is that Russia has no desire to talk to the US anymore as Trump's outburst implies.

Meanwhile what Trump has not mentioned is that since the start of the USA has continued importing uranium from Russia, primarily low-enriched uranium (LEU) used for nuclear reactor fuel. These imports have not been sanctioned due to the US's heavy reliance on foreign suppliers—Russia provided about 12-27% of US uranium needs during this period.

NATO countries aren’t going to put 100% tariffs on China, the same way Trump won't. This amounts to a statement that he does not intend to follow through on any of his threats.

Trump's humiliation at his inability to influence Russia and Ukraine just bought Putin more time. Hw long before Trump takes that USA out of NATO and completely isolates America from our former allies?
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Well, Russian inspectors fround the mines on the railway lines......Orel region, inside Russia

Wonder how long before we see Ukrainian drones with mines waiting beside railway lines and then moving in just before a train approaches......

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Scraping the barrel. This is a junior officer rank for a 24- 25 year old

It's circumstantial evidence like this that tells you how bad things are getting for Russia. This is likely a 50-60 year old Russian who never served but went through service during study in university. Two years of study in military school resulted in the award of a lieutenant or junior lieutenant rank as a reserve officer. Never done any acrtial military service since, and mobilized off the street.



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The Russian 70th Motorized Rifle Division is falling apart prior to going into combat...

The 70th MR division has some of the best gear and has been training for over a year in the south of Russia... It's one of the last units of the russian army that has not been sent to the front. As they moved into the DPR area they started to take long range fire from the AFU.. they are already breaking and have not even been in combat yet!!!!!

This is fascinating, if these reports are accurate. This unit has been held back and kept in training status far longer than most, which is highly unusual. Normally, Russian units are rushed back to the front even when understrength, just to fill gaps. For one to be withheld this long suggests real manpower shortages, low morale, or even leadership disputes. It tells us much more than people think—serious cracks are showing in the Russian army’s ability to regenerate combat power. If they can’t rebuild and re-deploy units on schedule, it’s a clear sign their system is breaking down under pressure. If they can't move a unit like this up without it starting to break before it even enters combat, they're in a bad way.

Officers and enlisted are being reported as missing!!!!! Only 0 odd men here but tghose are the ones being reported that we know about. That's likely the tipe of the iceberg, and the units are also likely understrength as well. That officers and senior warrant officers are rported as missing really says somethuing.

- From the 26th Motorized Rifle Regiment (military unit 12267) — 10 servicemen, among them the company commander Senior Warrant Officer Filkin A.A., the battery commander Lieutenant Davydenko D.V., and the platoon commander Lieutenant Klyuev N.V.
- From the 17th Tank Regiment (military unit 12315) — 3 servicemen, including the company commander Junior Lieutenant Kuzovlev V.S., as well as the platoon commander Senior Lieutenant Izokh P.P.

Both units are part of the 70th Motorized Rifle Division. Additionally, from the division headquarters, one serviceman (UAV operator) is also without permit documents in the territory of the DPR and LPR.


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India’s largest port operator bans sanctioned tankers from its harbors

Although India publicly resists the threats of Donald Trump, refusing to officially halt purchases of Russian oil, more and more obstacles are emerging in the way of these supplies. The country’s largest private port operator, Adani Group, has banned any tankers under Western sanctions from entering all of its ports, Reuters reports.

Adani, which manages 14 ports, is expected to deal a blow to shipments carried out in part by Russia’s shadow fleet.

For example, the Indian oil refining company HPCL-Mittal Energy, which owns a refinery with a capacity of 226,000 barrels per day, receives all of its crude through one of Adani’s ports. This port is located in the city of Mundra and is India’s largest commercial port by cargo volume.



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Trump's Foreign Policy Idiocy has cost the US a $9 billion sale of Patriots Systems to Denmark

And after dropping the F35, Portugal has now signed to by Rafale's from France. More wins from Trump. He's cost the US defence industry more than any saboteur possibly could.

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USA Leadership Vacuum is destabilizing the world

Polish fighter jets shot down multiple Russian drones over Poland in what NATO called “reckless” and Poland called a deliberate “provocation”.

Poland invoked Article Four to put NATO powers on alert for escalating tensions while the world called upon the United States to intervene.

Instead, Donald Trump put out a single line Truth Social post.

The geopolitical landscape isn’t evolving, it’s unraveling and the United States is ceding all authority in the world because we have no foreign policy, are battling our allies in a trade war and are pursuing a nonsensical ‘America First’ policy that might leave America last.

 
This is Trump's exit strategy and attempt to avoid any personal blame. It is deeply flawed of course.

Telling Europe to stop imports of Russian OIl & Gas - Turkey, Hungary & Slovakia are the 3 remaining importers of Russian oil, so don’t expect compliance soon. As Orban and Erdoghan are very good friends of Trump (as he keeps reminding us, why doesn’t he call them?? The EU has urged them to stop Riussian oil and gas imports multiple times….

Telling NATO countries to put huge tariffs on China, clearly forgetting that when the US did that, China retaliated and the US quickly backed off realising that it would destroy its exports to China alone.

What is very clear is that Russia has no desire to talk to the US anymore as Trump's outburst implies.

Meanwhile what Trump has not mentioned is that since the start of the USA has continued importing uranium from Russia, primarily low-enriched uranium (LEU) used for nuclear reactor fuel. These imports have not been sanctioned due to the US's heavy reliance on foreign suppliers—Russia provided about 12-27% of US uranium needs during this period.

NATO countries aren’t going to put 100% tariffs on China, the same way Trump won't. This amounts to a statement that he does not intend to follow through on any of his threats.

Trump's humiliation at his inability to influence Russia and Ukraine just bought Putin more time. Hw long before Trump takes that USA out of NATO and completely isolates America from our former allies?
View attachment 2564505

Might as well save some effort and post this reply here as well:

DonOld is making demands that some European countries can’t possibly tolerate. (It sounds like Putin’s demands of Ukraine).

😳 😑 🤬

How about if DonOld does the work of crafting a compromise set of SIGNIFICANT Russian (etc) sanctions with the Europeans that protects the economic stability of the west.

👍

I’m pretty sure the Europeans have a basic framework of sanctions already prepared, and many experts in the U.S. have similar frameworks prepared.

👍

DonOld is just stalling (tapping everyone along) to give Putin more time to achieve "victory".

👎

DonOld Trump is a traitor (among other horrible things).

👎

We. Told. Them. So.

🌷

😑

We. Told. Them. So.

🌷
 
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