For Those Who Might Be Wondering Why We Might Be In Ukraine

[Lazaran]

My Guy? I haven't listened to him in a while, but he did predict a year or two ago that Ukraine would be in the position it's in right now. That being on the precipice of defeat.

Russiaguide aka Rightard aka Racistguide is STILL waiting for validation of their claim about the "ARIZONA AUDIT!!!", almost EIGHT YEARS later, and the imbecile is STILL waiting for validation of their claim that Ukraine is "ON THE PRECIPICE OF DEFEAT!!!" almost FOUR YEARS later.



Russiaguide



We. Told. Them. So.

 

[ChloeTzang]

Russian Escalation! Massive Drone Strikes from Russia Hit Givernment Building in Kyiv​

Trump's weakness on Ukraine is inevitably leading to China attacking Taiwan
US cutting aid to Baltic States on the frontline with Russia, weakening critical allies
Venezuela = a second Vietnam fot the USA
USA pushing Ukrainian refugees out

Ryazan Oil Refinery hit and critical damage inflicted by Ukraine

 

[ChloeTzang]

ROSNEFT'S LARGEST REFINERY IN RYAZAN STOPPED AFTER UKRAINIAN STRIKES​

Ryazan oil refinery, that produced 17.1M tons per year, was one of Russia`s top 4 largest refineries and supplied moscow region - now stopped working after the visit of Ukrainian drones. Sixth in a month!
Large fuel depot in Luhansk destroyed - taking out fuel supply for front line vehicles

Ukraine strikes Ryazan Oil refinery as Russia runs DANGEROUSLY LOW on short range defence missiles​

Good assessment from UK's The Sun
Russian using Pantsir air defence missiles up faster than they can produce them....now facing the same issues Ukraine is facing with air defence systems

 

[ChloeTzang]

Putin Out of Money, Out of Time​

Russia's war economy is in a state of collapse. Moscow's public claims of strength are in stark contrast to the reality of its financial ledgers. As military spending soars, the nation faces a massive budget deficit of approximately $37 billion. This economic meltdown is further compounded by a significant 17% drop in vital oil and gas revenues. The regime is desperately drawing on reserves and the National Wealth Fund, but this fails to address core problems.

High interest rates, currently at 18%, are suffocating the Russian economy by choking credit and causing corporate lending to fall to near zero. This has a ripple effect on key industries. In the Kuzbass coal basin, 17 companies have ceased operations, directly impacting steel production, which has declined by 6.3 million tons year-over-year. The collapse extends to the space industry, with the design bureau of Russia's state space agency, Roscosmos, filing for bankruptcy due to unpaid wages. The failure of one part leads to the unraveling of the entire interconnected system.

In this war of attrition, Russia's capacity is shrinking. The economic weakness is a result of a highly interconnected system that is unraveling. The Russian government's financial situation is truly two steps away from total disaster.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 Russia's Economy Is Crumbling From Within
01:32 The Putin Regime is Disintegrating
03:09 The Truth Behind Russia's "Wealth"
04:42 Russia's Industrial Collapse: The Domino Effect
10:27 The Looming Disaster for Russia's Economy
12:07 Outro

 

[ChloeTzang]

Putin’s situation is ‘extremely grave’ | Sir Bill Browder​

 

[Celand]

What I do NOT get is this: In Operation Bagration the Russians moved almost 250 miles in 90 days and destroyed 2 elite German armies. In Ukraine in 3 years they advanced barely 25 miles and destroyed barely 2 battalions. Go figure !?

 

[ChloeTzang]

Ukraine’s Defense Forces strike oil pipeline and refinery in Russia’s Krasnodar Krai ​

Ukraine’s Defense Forces overnight on Sept. 7 struck part of the Stalnoy Kon (Steel Horse) main oil pipeline complex, the Ilsk oil refinery in Russia’s Krasnodar Krai, as well as troop locations and storage sites of Russian military units in Kursk Oblast, Ukraine’s General Staff said on Telegram.

The statement said missile troops and the Drone Systems Forces, together with other units, attacked the 8-N linear production dispatch station near Naytopovychi in Russia’s Bryansk Oblast. The station is part of the Stalnoy Kon oil pipeline complex, which has a pumping capacity of 10.5 million tons. Multiple hits and a fire were reported near the pumping station and tank farm.

Explosions and a fire were also reported near the Ilsk refinery in Krasnodar Krai, which processes 6.42 million tons of oil annually and is involved in supplying the aggressor’s armed forces.

The General Staff also confirmed successful strikes on Russian troop locations and logistics depots in Kursk Oblast.

https://english.nv.ua/nation/ukrain...in-krasnodar-krai-general-staff-50542959.html

 

[ChloeTzang]

What I do NOT get is this: In Operation Bagration the Russians moved almost 250 miles in 90 days and destroyed 2 elite German armies. In Ukraine in 3 years they advanced barely 25 miles and destroyed barely 2 battalions. Go figure !?

They have very few tanks and IFV's left - and with drones, any that appear on the battlefield are soon taken out. No more mass attacks by armor are possible. War is back to being an infantry war, but now fought in toght coordination with drones. The Russians are now an infantry army with tactics more or less similar to the WW1 German Stoßtruppen, with drones of course, but their drone units are outclassed by the Ukrainians.

Without armor and IFV's, there's no way anyone can move that fast anymore - the tactics have evolved and changed really quickly. The Ukrainians are working on their assault tactics - you can see that with their last few attacks where specialized assault units working with large number of drones and support units move in, clear out the Russians and are themn replaced by regular units in short quick localized assaults. Any units mpving up to the front on either side within 20-40kms (the gray zone) are generally spotted and attacked - 80% of Russian casualties are taken before they even get to the frontlines. The only way they make any progress at all is by puouring in men until enough survive and make it to the front to build up enough strength for another localized attack.

The occassional gap in Ukrainian defences aloows Russians to filter thru but when spotted they are generally eliminated as we have just seen at Pokrovsk. There's no way the Russians can fo a Bagration on Ukraine. AT best they can move forward by a few fields - and in the last month or so Ukraine has actually retaken about 4 or 5 times as much territory as the Russians have "captured". There's going to be no fast win by eityher side here - which is why Ukraine is working away on Russian logistics and their economy. Bringing about Russia's economic collapse will be what wins the war for Ukraine - thet front line Russian units are getting less and less of what they need, units are being shuffled to Pookrovsk fr the "decisive attack" which isn't actually decisive, weakening the Russian front elswhere.

Russia is fighting WW1. Ukraine is fighting WW3, except it's not the WW# anyone imagined. You can see things evolving here. Ukraine is holding the frontlines, using reserves as needed to counter Russian attacks and inflicting massive casualties, and is now stepping up attacks on command posts, logistics and Russian econmuc targets. All while Russia continues with terror attacks on civilian targets - which miltarily achieve nothing - think of the German blitz on London that achieved nothing except pissing off the Brits. Russian air defences are weaker and weaker, Ukraine is getting Belgian F16's and there are quite a few of those - as one commentator pointed out, we can probably expect to see Ukrainian F16's and Mig29's and maybe Mirages flying over Crimea in the not too distant future. Crimea and Kherson are being isolated and it'll be interestng to see where the Ukrainians do strike - because they HAVE been bilding up their tanks and IFV's and re-equipping and building up units which we are just not seeing in combat. There are Ukrainian brigades being held back,

The ZSU is mobilizing 25k men a month, consistently, and their losses are nowehere near that number - while the Russian mobilization is now unable to keep up with losses - 90k casualties in Q2 and 38k recruits from memory - menaing their forces are depleting. They are pulling units from Sumy and Kursk to move them to Pokrovsk - and the key thing to remember is the Russian units are untrained and ill-equipped meat, while the ZSU units are increasingly well-equipped and better and better trained. There have been shortcomings in ZSU training and still are here and there but these are being rectified and the new Corps structure is helping too. Now ask yourself, where are all thse new IFV's that the ZSU is getting going? They're equpping a Briagde a month with their own BTR4's, they have Lynx's and Fuchs rolling off the roduction lines - around 40 Lynx a month since the start of this year. CV90's coming in, and Patria's from Finland and I think it was Lithuania. Not to mention whatever else is filtering in.

Ukraine is outproducing Russia and the last report I saw said thy were now producing 60% of the military equipment they needed - and there is now no shortage of artillery ammo either. That is now a non-event - and with Trump now seemingly willing to SELL them equipment - and the EU willing to pay, the US supply situation seems to have settled down. So Russia is an infantry army bereft of equipment while yje ZSU is egtting stronger by the day - and let us not forget Syrski i a graduate of the old Soviet system - he understands the maskirovka - and my money is on Ukraine pulling the maskirovka to end all maskiroka's here, and lets us not also forget that Zelensky is an actor above everything - and a good one too - so on the one hand, he pleads and begs for a ceasefire that he knows Russia will never agree to, and portrays Ukraine as weak and on its last legs and yafdda yadda yadda - but its like the last meetung with Trump in Washington

Zelensky sat there listening to Trump and nodding away and buttering him up, all while knowing they were about to decimate Russia's nuclear bomber aircraft units. Maskirovka. Zelensky is playing Putin, he's plaing Trump, all while the ZSU is building up and Russian economy is being take down - and Syrski won't rush it - he'll wait for the right moment and only then will the hammer fall - the Ukrainians too have been learning and they won't roll over for Trump. Trump's "diplomacy" is pretty much done and he's almost irrelevant at this point - and he won't reaize it until after the deed is done. Putin, Zelensky, and Xi for that matter, are all playing him like a violin, alneit Zelensky is nt doing it from a position of strength. Yet.

The latest escalation by Russia, hitting a central Govt Admin building in Kyiv, now means Ukraine can freely target Russian govt admin targets - and there are some lovely targets in Moscow. All well within range of the Ukrainians. As their new missile production steps up and they hit more and more gtargets, Trump may try to save their bacon but at that pouint it will likely be too late and the qyuestion will then be can the Russians internally oust Putin and save something from the wreckage or will the Russian Federation collapse as the colonized states within the RF ake their bids for independance?

 

[ChloeTzang]

Russian Troops in Ukraine Now Suffering from ‘Uncontrolled HIV Epidemic’​

Staunton, Sept. 4 – Russian troops in Ukraine are now suffering from “an uncontrolled epidemic” of HIV, but not so much because of increased sexual activity as because of Moscow has allowed so many men with HIV to join up without the normal safeguards and the infection is being transmitted by inadequate sanitary measures in Russian military clinics, experts say. Russian military regulations ban the recruitment of men with HIV, but that ban has been ignored in Putin’s push to recruit more men to fight in Ukraine and especially his decision to draw men from Russia’s prisons where HIV rates are much higher than in the civilian population.

And it is infections among them rather than sexual activity between soldiers and prostitutes that is the largest source for the spread of the disease because Russian military hospitals do not have enough medications and single-use hypodermics to prevent the spread of the disease from HIV-infected troops to those who had been healthy. As a result, at a time when the World Health Organization is saying that medical advances have made it possible to end the danger that such infections will grow into full-blown AIDS epidemic, the Russian military and, when its veterans return home, Russian society are at risk of a new surge in this deadly disease.

Indeed, the problem with HIV infections in the Russian military in Ukraine is now so great that some are suggesting that commanders should group all HIV infected men in special units and use them in the front lines both to infect Ukrainians and to ensure that such men die rather than infect other Russians. Russian officials can be counted on to deny that this is taking place given that Moscow does not maintain or at least publish statistics on HIV infection rates in the Russian military, but medical experts and health activists have provided compelling evidence that all this is happening and the worst is still ahead.

https://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2025/09/russian-troops-in-ukraine-now-suffering.html

 

[ChloeTzang]

 

[ChloeTzang]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1964560453247594975

 

[ChloeTzang]

Russia is stripping rear area troops. the disabled, wounded, etc...and they're all being sent to the front at Pokrovsk for this one big push....

It's going to be a bloodbath for the Rissians.. untrained, unmotivated troops and crippled thrown into the attack. Good.

 

[ChloeTzang]

Ukraine CRUSHES Putin’s Pokrovsk Offensive – Denys Davydov​

Denys Davydov joins Jason Smart to deliver a detailed analysis of Russia’s failed offensive in Ukraine. The Pokrovsk front and the Dobropillia front have become the centerpieces of Russia’s autumn campaign, but both operations are already collapsing. Despite launching another massive Russian offensive, Moscow has failed to achieve real gains in Donbas. The reality on the ground is a frontline collapse, with Ukrainian defenses and drone strikes shredding Russian positions. This video exposes why the Pokrovsk front is bleeding out, how the Dobropillia front turned into a trap, and why Putin’s war machine cannot deliver victory in Ukraine’s war of 2025.

Denys Davydov explains how Russian maps mark Odesa and Mykolaiv as future targets, even as the Russian offensive fails in Pokrovsk and Dobropillia. Kremlin propaganda presents imaginary victories while the Russian army suffers huge losses. Ukraine’s use of drones, artillery, and fortified defenses has forced Moscow into a war of attrition it cannot win. Putin’s generals feed him false reports, while the FSB arrests commanders in a desperate attempt to hide the truth. The Kremlin’s map may show expansion, but the reality is a Russian front collapse that mirrors the wider failure of Putin’s entire strategy in Ukraine. Denys Davydov breaks down how this collapse will shape the next phase of the war.

 

[ChloeTzang]

Why Russia Can't Use TANKS Anymore​

Its not just the tank losses, but the crews as well. A newly-trained crew makes a obsolete tank even more useless.

 

[dmallord]

Putin’s statements claiming that “all of Ukraine is ours” reflect historical and cultural rhetoric, not an official military or governance policy.

Putin's words are actionable items for the Russian military and governance. He says jump, and everyone does. That's his policy. He wants Ukraine, not historical or cultural rhetoric there.

In reality, Russia lacks the troop strength, administrative infrastructure, and local support to maintain control over the entire country. Current operations are focused on eastern and southern Ukraine, where resistance is weaker and Russian influence is stronger. Western Ukraine remains staunchly pro-European, making full occupation both logistically and politically unlikely. The gap between imperial rhetoric and practical capability makes a total conquest of Ukraine improbable. There is no confirmed Russian policy, force, or infrastructure capable of full governance over all of Ukraine.

Nearly four years of battle and insignificant gains by Russia. Your words are accurate. So why do you believe Putin has a snowball's chance in hell of furthering his agenda when his economy is failing, his supplies are decimated, and his ability to restore oil is rapidly dwindling?

 

[Lazaran]

Putin's words are actionable items for the Russian military and governance. He says jump, and everyone does. That's his policy. He wants Ukraine, not historical or cultural rhetoric there.

Nearly four years of battle and insignificant gains by Russia. Your words are accurate. So why do you believe Putin has a snowball's chance in hell of furthering his agenda when his economy is failing, his supplies are decimated, and his ability to restore oil is rapidly dwindling?

And all of those ^ problems for Putin despite getting a yuuuuuge assist from DonOld & the MAGAt republicans (traitors) who undermined / sabotaged the Ukrainian defense effort…



We. Told. Them. So.

 

[Buffalogurl]

So.... what's with all of the radiation detectors sounding off in Ukraine and the fucking ukies are not talking about this?
What? ..... did that homicidal social psychopath Zelensky attempt to construct a "dirty" b@#b? And have it detonate in his face? Now it's spreading the nuke poison over Poland?........ if so..... go godd@#n figure ... fucking nazis....

 

[Lazaran]

So.... what's with all of the radiation detectors sounding off in Ukraine and the fucking ukies are not talking about this?
What? ..... did that homicidal social psychopath Zelensky attempt to construct a "dirty" b@#b? And have it detonate in his face? Now it's spreading the nuke poison over Poland?........ if so..... go godd@#n figure ... fucking nazis....

You. Are. Fucking. Insane.

That. Is. All.



We. Told. Them. So.

 

[ChloeTzang]

 

[ChloeTzang]

THIS is something new

 

[Rebel5soul]

OK China doll, you're spending a ton of time on military moves. At times I want to smack you upside the head with a dead Mackerel. What's going on inside of Russia is probably more important than the battlefield bullshit.

Dig deeper Grasshopper, follow the money.

 

[Sean Renaud]

Russia is stripping rear area troops. the disabled, wounded, etc...and they're all being sent to the front at Pokrovsk for this one big push....

It's going to be a bloodbath for the Rissians.. untrained, unmotivated troops and crippled thrown into the attack. Good.

I chose this one specifically because its your shortest post.

I appreciate your knowledge and deep dives into how and why this is going the way that it is. I am obligated every once in a while to point out I was one of those idiots who was sure Ukraine would crack in weeks not months. I think my original over/under was 2-6 six weeks. I think I slid it once and then just admitted those bastards are made of tough stuff.

 

[Pad_Foot]

T A C O
https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/trump-administration-news-09-08-25
Sure ‘rump is going to give Putin a firm talking to!!

“Keep it up!! Now the Europeans are buying our war shit! We still get the “raw earth” rights from you, right? Could you please kill less people? “Fuck No!” Ok, ok.. I can say I insisted though, right? A little theeeeper! Mmmmhh ‘mmmm!! You have the best ass, my Lord”

How about some notes from his meetings?? Is it because they sound like that? Who the fuck knows! History will have nothing!

 

[ChloeTzang]

I chose this one specifically because its your shortest post.

I appreciate your knowledge and deep dives into how and why this is going the way that it is. I am obligated every once in a while to point out I was one of those idiots who was sure Ukraine would crack in weeks not months. I think my original over/under was 2-6 six weeks. I think I slid it once and then just admitted those bastards are made of tough stuff.

Well, you were in good company. My military buddies were really mixed - a couple were very "Ukraine can do this" - including one who'd been in Ukraine and in Kyiv and has a lot of Ukraine military contacts thru us jib. Rather more, including a couple of Cols and Lt. Cols I know were "Ukraone's done. Russis will win" and they're pretty mich of the same mind as you now - for some it took longer than others, and there's still one who is thinking Russia will still win but he's not as sure now either.

I have to say that at the start I was of the opinion Ukraine woukld hang in there but that's more personal - my dad's family is from outside Lvov and Polish, but it;s what is Western Ukraine now) and they're, putting it politely, pig-headed and stubborn and they hate Russians - I'm a far milder version. LOL ANyhow, for me it's a lot more personal I guess and I enjoy getting into all the info

OK China doll, you're spending a ton of time on military moves. At times I want to smack you upside the head with a dead Mackerel. What's going on inside of Russia is probably more important than the battlefield bullshit.

Dig deeper Grasshopper, follow the money.

Point. There is a LOT going on inside Russia and with the economy and the in-fighting. That Girkin still lives is one of thiose interesting giveaways as to the factional fighting going on. And the turf wars and nose dives out of windows. I have no qualms in saying I have no clue what's happening there and I'd love to know more.

 

[ChloeTzang]