Electoral Battle for the White House

[eyer]

270 Electoral College Votes are needed to be Constitutionally elected President.

The Washington Post (10/4/12)...

Obama = 190 solid, 59 leaning

Romney = 170 solid, 36 leaning

Tossup = 77

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/...-in-19-states/


RealClearPolitics (10/11/12)...

Obama = 142 solid, 37 likely, 22 leaning (201)

Romney = 76 solid, 74 likely, 31 leaning (181)

Tossup = 156

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

 

[shoulderblade]

Well it is nice to see electoral college numbers rather than popular vote which is not really of all that great importance. There is a considerable divide betweenn these two sets of numbers though. Are we to believe the Post because it is the Post?

Also: I got "webpage could not be found" for the first link.

 

[phrodeau]

Obama 323, Ties 9, Romney 206

http://electoral-vote.com/

 

[JackLuis]

Huff Po Composite:

O 256 (with Ohio?)

R 206 ( up from ~190 recently)

We'll see who was right soon enough.

 

[shoulderblade]

Obama 323, Ties 9, Romney 206

http://electoral-vote.com/

Thanks for posting.

I checked out "This day in 2008". Not much has changed.

Huff Po Composite:

O 256 (with Ohio?)

R 206 ( up from ~190 recently)

We'll see who was right soon enough.

The maps generally agree with each other as to states that are up for grab. Both parties have double digit leads in quite a few states

 

[eyer]

Personally, everything I've read/observed indicates an upsurge for Romney since the first presidential debate...

...these 2 updated Electoral College projections seem to bear that out; in fact, the line graph in the first source distinctly evidences the downturn for Obama and the upswing for Romney, and the site's article even raises the possibility of an Electoral College vote tie:

fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com (10/14/12):

Projected Electoral College votes:

Obama = 285.6

Romney = 252.4

Projected Popular vote:

Obama = 50%

Romney = 49%

Projected Chance of winning:

Obama = 63.3%

Romney = 36.7%

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/01/new-polls-raise-chance-of-electoral-college-tie/


electionprojection.com (10/13/12):

Projected Electoral College votes:

Obama = 294

Romney = 244

Projected Popular vote:

Obama = 49.2%

Romney = 49.2%

http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/president12.php

BTW:

Both Rasmussen and Gallup are currently showing Romney with the identical lead of 49%-47% among likely voters...

 

[eyer]

realclearpolitics.com is showing Romney now with the Electoral lead:

Romney = 206 (76 solid, 91 likely, 39 leaning)

Obama = 201 (142 solid, 28 likely, 31 leaning)

Tossups = 131

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html


Gallup has published "Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney":

Romney = 52%

Obama = 45%

http://www.gallup.com/poll/157817/election-2012-likely-voters-trial-heat-obama-romney.aspx


Also:

Susquehanna Polling and Research is showing Romney leading Obama in Pennsylvania, 49%-45%.

http://washingtonexaminer.com/poll-...lue-pennsylvania/article/2511153#.UICHI-xPE1o

 

[unregistered]

 

[eyer]

LESSER OF 2 EVILS?
Like Satan debating Beelzebub

by Alan Keyes

http://www.wnd.com/2012/10/like-satan-debating-beelzebub/

Awaiting your labeling Keyes a "Leftist"...

...and/or a "anarchist".

 

[KingOrfeo]

http://www.wnd.com/2012/10/like-satan-debating-beelzebub/

Awaiting your labeling Keyes a "Leftist"...

...and/or a "anarchist".

Romney gets it from his right, Obama gets it from his left.