JoePepsiCo
Headliner
- Joined
- Jan 31, 2023
- Posts
- 5,334
[/Interlude]
RED DAWN
Over the years, I have come to believe that the Chinese regime is far more stable than some naive Western analysts might hope and infinitely more stable than were the old Soviet and Soviet-aligned regimes. That is not, however, to say that the CCP is invulnerable. The eminent foreign policy scholar Ted Robert Gurr famously theorized that men tend to revolt not when conditions are most dire or at their low point, but when things have been good for a long time and then suddenly take a turn for the worse—or, at least when the people feel they’ve taken a turn for the worse. His Perceived Relative Deprivation theory is consistent both with history and with other depictions of revolutionary conditions, including Alexis de Tocqueville’s observations about the French Revolution.
Additionally—and more ominously—regimes that are struggling and are fearful of losing support at home often resort to greater internal repression and/or foreign adventurism. With Chinese financial executives resigning en masse, we may be seeing early signs of the former. And with Chinese naval forces “slowly but surely” building up their presence near Taiwan, we may be seeing early signs of the latter.
Stephen Soukup, American Greatness
https://amgreatness.com/2024/10/12/the-china-crisis/
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