bellisarius
Literotica Guru
- Joined
- Oct 22, 2017
- Posts
- 16,761
A subject that has been thoroughly destroyed by false "percentages."
Let's start with the disclosure that I' drawing from several sources, Snopes, CIA World Factbook, and the FBI-UCR being among them.
In 2015 1,388 citizens were killed by the police. Of those 318 were black and 560 were white. The balance were of "other" ethnic/racial backgrounds. So in raw numbers more whites were killed than blacks. 17% more as a matter of fact. Those numbers are from 2015 and while the year to year total changes, the proportions remain mostly the same.
But hold on here, blacks only represent 13% of the population. Proportionately only 180 blacks should have been killed by the police. Where as whites represent 66% of the population, therefore 916 should have been killed by police, right? All the numbers (percentages) are correct. Obviously blacks are killed at twice the rate of whites.
Make sense to you?
All of those numbers above are bogus (except the raw number), sleight of math. Bullshit peddled by the press.
Time for a reality check. The proportion of your group that is killed by the police is directly proportional to the felonies your groups commits, NOT your proportion of the population. The reasoning is straight forward, the probability of interaction with the police is proportional to the crime rate for your group. If your group happens to be one-legged, Asian lesbians and your group commits 1% of all felonies then the rules of statistics dictate that your group should be 1% of all citizens killed by the police. If it's .5% then you're under-represented and if it's 1.5% you're over-represented.
Fact, 54% of ALL felonies committed in the US are committed by blacks. Applying the rule of proportionality based on felonious behavior the police should have shot 749 blacks in 2015. They are under-represented by a factor of 2 (200%). Conversely whites are over-represented by a factor of 25% and that's not taking into consideration the Hispanic population (approx. 17%).
Point being that if you start with a false basis you end up with a false conclusion.
Let's start with the disclosure that I' drawing from several sources, Snopes, CIA World Factbook, and the FBI-UCR being among them.
In 2015 1,388 citizens were killed by the police. Of those 318 were black and 560 were white. The balance were of "other" ethnic/racial backgrounds. So in raw numbers more whites were killed than blacks. 17% more as a matter of fact. Those numbers are from 2015 and while the year to year total changes, the proportions remain mostly the same.
But hold on here, blacks only represent 13% of the population. Proportionately only 180 blacks should have been killed by the police. Where as whites represent 66% of the population, therefore 916 should have been killed by police, right? All the numbers (percentages) are correct. Obviously blacks are killed at twice the rate of whites.
Make sense to you?
All of those numbers above are bogus (except the raw number), sleight of math. Bullshit peddled by the press.
Time for a reality check. The proportion of your group that is killed by the police is directly proportional to the felonies your groups commits, NOT your proportion of the population. The reasoning is straight forward, the probability of interaction with the police is proportional to the crime rate for your group. If your group happens to be one-legged, Asian lesbians and your group commits 1% of all felonies then the rules of statistics dictate that your group should be 1% of all citizens killed by the police. If it's .5% then you're under-represented and if it's 1.5% you're over-represented.
Fact, 54% of ALL felonies committed in the US are committed by blacks. Applying the rule of proportionality based on felonious behavior the police should have shot 749 blacks in 2015. They are under-represented by a factor of 2 (200%). Conversely whites are over-represented by a factor of 25% and that's not taking into consideration the Hispanic population (approx. 17%).
Point being that if you start with a false basis you end up with a false conclusion.