thør
Karhu-er
- Joined
- May 29, 2002
- Posts
- 92,362
Above certain altitudes, there is a statistical probability of death. Above certain altitudes, there is little or no margin for error from the effects of HAPE and hypothermia. On certain peaks and routes, there are predictably heightened odds of encountering bad weather, rockfalls, avalanches or other potentially life-threatening events.
Those who calculate the odds correctly, survive. Those who don't, receive Darwin Awards. Calculated risk-taking, by definition, means knowing the odds.
There's an old piece of wisdom among sailors. It goes:
Q: When's the best time to reef ( for non-sailors, to reef a sail means to reduce or take in sail in the face of storm conditions)?
A: The first time you think of it.
Similarly, among aviators:
There are old pilots and there are bold pilots but there are no old, bold pilots.
Preaching to the choir, here.
And there's far more probability of me getting whacked by an auto when on my bike than me being hurt on a trip in the mountains. Odds might be even, when paddling the canoe.