Putin has always placed a high priority on regime preservation. He'll do absolutely anything to stay in power.
So why did he start this hopeless, pointless war, so expensive in blood and treasure, so widely unpopular with his own people? Why do the one thing that could possibly destabilize his regime? What does he want badly enough to take that risk?
Not to keep Ukraine out of NATO. A Ukraine in NATO wouldn't be that dangerous to Russia. (And no country with an ongoing territorial dispute can join NATO anyway.) Ukraine was presenting absolutely no military or economic threat to Russia when this war started. Nobody poked the bear.
What Putin wants is to make Russia a world power of the first rank once again. Like it was when the Communists ruled. Like it was when the tsars ruled.
If simply re-annexing the empire's old territory is politically impossible, the next best thing is a regional hegemony, like the U.S. has over the Western Hemisphere. He already has a puppet state in Belarus -- now he wants one in Ukraine.
So why did he start this hopeless, pointless war, so expensive in blood and treasure, so widely unpopular with his own people? Why do the one thing that could possibly destabilize his regime? What does he want badly enough to take that risk?
Not to keep Ukraine out of NATO. A Ukraine in NATO wouldn't be that dangerous to Russia. (And no country with an ongoing territorial dispute can join NATO anyway.) Ukraine was presenting absolutely no military or economic threat to Russia when this war started. Nobody poked the bear.
What Putin wants is to make Russia a world power of the first rank once again. Like it was when the Communists ruled. Like it was when the tsars ruled.
If simply re-annexing the empire's old territory is politically impossible, the next best thing is a regional hegemony, like the U.S. has over the Western Hemisphere. He already has a puppet state in Belarus -- now he wants one in Ukraine.