538 forecasting has President Joe Biden as the favorite to win the 2024 election over Donald Trump.

[lessOHmo]

538 forecasting has President Joe Biden as the favorite to win the 2024 election over Donald Trump.



. According to their election simulations, Biden wins 51 times out of 100 with Trump winning 49 times out of 100. As for the Electoral College, 538 has Biden with 271 electoral votes and Trump with 267.


The winner needs 270 electoral votes to win.

"The 538 election model puts a healthy amount of weight on non-polling factors such as economic growth and political indicators. Today these indicators suggest an outcome closer to a 3-point Biden win — clear in the opposite direction of national polls," 538 said

."538’s focus on uncertainty partially explains why our election forecast has not moved much in reaction to new national polls showing Trump gaining on Biden.""In effect, we are hedging our bets, putting more weight on the so-called 'fundamentals' because we believe the campaign could be volatile or polls could be biased."

"The other big factor explaining our model’s relative stability is the flurry of swing-state polls that were published over the weekend, most good for Biden."

 

[Pad_Foot]

Their poll should be “BLANK” VS ‘rump
It’s the Trumplikans who are wasting their money
It doesn’t matter who you put up against your wanna be king

 

[ll74]

It's actually 50(not 51) to 49 - good to have the source -> https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

 

[boytoyjoy]

Interesting, almost every other outlet is painting Biden as toast.

 

[ChloeTzang]

 

[CuriousRick]

Well when you control the voting machines you can elect brain dead like Biden.

 

[Bn2f]

Well when you control the voting machines you can elect brain dead like Biden.

How did Joe Biden rig the voting machines in the state of Georgia?
I eagerly await your response.

 

[MajorRewrite]

View attachment 2364854

Lashing out because an election prediction infuriated you?

Try to stay on topic.

 

[MajorRewrite]

Well when you control the voting machines you can elect brain dead like Biden.

Conspiracy lunatics are funny.

Tell us another wacko story!

 

[Philthy_Phil]

Well when you control the voting machines you can elect brain dead like Biden.

TRUMPTARD ALERT!!!

 

[Aglaopheme]

Interesting, almost every other outlet is painting Biden as toast.

No, they aren’t.

 

[YDB95]

No, they aren’t.

Probably all the sources that guy watches are, though.

 

[RobDownSouth]

How did Joe Biden rig the voting machines in the state of Georgia?
I eagerly await your response.

Georgia's state election board voted 3-1 on Thursday to allow Republican county officials to refuse to certify election results they don't approve of in their county.

I don't see how this will survive Constitutional review, but I suppose Georgia is gambling on the "anything goes" mentality of the morally bankrupt United States Supreme Court.

 

[Bn2f]

Georgia is a purple state with a black population that is waking up to the importance and swaying power of voting. This ruling by the board was a critical must do in order for Republicans to maintain power there.