Countdown to the midterms: 30 days, 25, 20, 15, 10, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1

What did fivethirtyeight say about the 2016 presidential election?

They said Trump had a 30% chance of winning the presidency.

Let's put this in terms even someone like you can understand...

It's the bottom of the ninth inning, bases loaded and two out.

A .300 hitter comes to the plate to bat.

He gets a hit.

Are you that surprised? After all, he had a 70% chance of being put out.
 
They said Trump had a 30% chance of winning the presidency.

Let's put this in terms even someone like you can understand...

It's the bottom of the ninth inning, bases loaded and two out.

A .300 hitter comes to the plate to bat.

He gets a hit.

Are you that surprised? After all, he had a 70% chance of being put out.



Trump's in the stands, and both teams got new blood.


(my bold)
The polls show a blue wave in November. You don't really believe it's not going to happen, do you?
AWHUMMM......That's was the projections for the 2016 presidential elections too. Didn't happen did it? Don't bank too much on polls. They missed it then, they could miss it again. And one very, very good way to make a swing and a miss happen is over confidence in a blue wave happening. Even a dead wasp can sting.

Comshaw
Only because of the Electoral College, which is not a factor here.
 
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